(09-27-2023 06:47 PM)Garden_KC Wrote: As I said there is no urgency to decide.
They could wait until mid 2024 to decided autoqualifiers for 2024 according to Bill Hancock. Thus the powers that be could wait all the way up to 2026 for 2026.
The concession I would want wouldn't be a guaranteed autobid but major bowl for each conference champion. Require at least 12 FB members for it (looking at you CUSA). Add the major bowl games as part of the CFP package.
Something I always thought about is a B-tier of Bowl games (CFP is the A-tier) played as standalone games after Christmas building up to the CFP quarterfinals (Orange, Cotton, Sugar, and Rose Bowls). 18 teams are selected with all top 25 ranked teams (13 teams) and conference champs (4 champs) that missed the CFP. I think if a G5 conference's champ makes the CFP, their runnerup can take their place for the 18th team, but I'm not too picky on this. If G5 champs are ranked, the CFP committee selects the next best teams (26th, 27th, 28th, etc.) until 18 teams are selected for B-tier.
The rest of the bowl games (~25 games) could be played between Army-Navy and the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve (with the 1st round of the CFP playing in their 4 weekend slots as standalones). These bowls can be your P4 vs. P4 and G5 vs. G5 bowls ESPN pays for.
Last year, the teams would've been (assuming we had a 12 team CFP in place):
#12 Washington
#13 Florida St.
#14 Oregon St.
#15 Oregon
#17 LSU (#16 Tulane in 12 team CFP)
#18 UCLA
#19 South Carolina
#20 Texas
#21 Notre Dame
#22 Mississippi St.
#23 NC State
#24 UTSA (CUSA champ)
#25 Troy (SBC champ)
Fresno St. (MWC champ)
Toledo (MAC champ)
UCF (AAC runner-up)
2 unranked at-large teams (North Carolina & Ole Miss)
Notes:
- UCF would be ranked similar to UNC, as both were ranked going into their CCGs, and likely still gets in as an at-large if we didn't include the runner-up of the G5 conference represented in the CFP.
- No B1G team in this tier so maybe Purdue takes Ole Miss' spot, but I'm not requiring a P4 team from each conference in this tier, especially if they have a team in the CFP. Purdue also never made a CFP top 25 appearance and probably wouldn't have been selected as an at-large even they didn't have to play in the B1G CCG (4th in divisionless B1G)
- Cincinnati could also get in ahead of Ole Miss, but I think the committee takes Ole Miss over Cincinnati.
For what it's worth, G5 representation should be at 20% most years in the CFP and B-tier bowl games, which is equivalent to their CFP payout I believe. This would probably be their best case scenario.