(06-14-2022 04:53 PM)shizzle787 Wrote: (06-14-2022 04:50 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote: For years we’ve talked about a P4 but I’ve concluded that there will never be a P4.
For there to be a P4, the others would have to gobble up the majority of one of the weaker leagues. If this was going to happen, the prime time for that to happen was after the Texas/Oklahoma SEC announcement yet the others passed on the remaining 8.
Kansas is probably the only Big 12 school left that holds any interest to the Big 10 or SEC. While the PAC 12 has talked about a CTZ foothold the institutional and cultural differences proved to be a bridge too far and I’m guessing the money isn’t there.
The ACC Is locked into that meddlesome GOR so they aren’t a good candidate to be dissolved. While it’s feasible that it’s members could be dispersed across the Big 10, SEC, and Big 12 the power structure would be more akin to a Power 2 (SEC, Big 10) and then 2 leagues (PAC 12 and Big 12) who are a significant step down.
Dissolving the Pac 12 has geography working against us. Even if there was a scenario where the Big 10 cherry picked the PAC 12 and what was left merged into the Big 12 this would undoubtedly spur the SEC to raid the ACC in response and again, the end result is a Power 2 and then 2 lesser leagues.
The power dynamics just don’t lend themselves to a P4.
The Big 12 is the next league to disappear (ala the Big East). It doesn’t have a top 30 brand.
There's a contradiction your assertion. If, as you contend, the B12 doesn't have a top-30 brand, then there'd be no incentive for a so-called P2 conference to poach any of its members, and if none of its members are poached and the conference remains intact, then how exactly, would the B12 disappear? That said, will it ever make as much money as the B1G and the SEC? No. Does that matter? No.
Cincy, in particular, has a long history of doing more with less, and whatever the future holds for my
Alma Mater is fine with me. Cincy prospered in the old Big East and in the AAC, and it'll continue to prosper in the B12 and beyond, if there
is a beyond. As the old saying goes, "Bloom wherever you're planted."
Here's hoping UConn enjoys its basketball rivalries in the new Big East, the body-bag games where it gets paid a few bucks to lose, and its regional football games with the flagship institutions in neighboring states -- UMass and the Universities of New Hampshire, Vermont, and Maine. I don't think UConn needs to worry about being poached, either.