As the AAC Turns
Looking at all schools that might be interested, the AAC could consider, and their Football success over the last 5 seasons plus factoring in stadium size here are my worthless ranking of the candidates
CUSA
UAB 34 - 16 .680 (45,000)
Marshall 35 - 26 .573 (38,019)
FAU 35 - 26 .573 (30,000)
WKU 34 - 30 .531 (22,000)
So. Miss 31 - 29 .517 (36,000)
N. Tx 31 - 31 .500 (30,850)
ODU 25 - 36 .410 (19,818)
Charlotte 19 - 36 .345 (15,314)
Rice 11 - 43 .204 (70,000)
SBC
App St. 52 - 13 .800 (24,050)
Louisiana 39 - 24 .619 (31,000)
Troy 41 - 22 .650 (30,000)
GA So. 32 - 31 .508 (24,300)
Coastal 24 - 24 .500 (21,000)
MAC
Buffalo 32 - 26 .551 (29,013)
N. IL 26 - 32 .448 (30,998)
SO, considering just this, I say UAB is a lock, Marshall (my biased opinion) App. St. but the 4th spot is a little tougher I guess it will be between (Rice, Charlotte, FAU, So. Miss and Louisiana). Given the AAC is losing most of its upper tier football schools, football will likely receive the highest weighting in who gets picked. CUSA, SBC schools that haven't had success in recent years won't get much consideration, with the exception of Rice and Charlotte due to their television markets. As far as MWC, I don't see any schools who would want to be considered, unless it's Air Force and Colorado St., there's always a chance the MWC will extend invites to Tulsa and SMU just to weaken AAC further.
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