Do we think OU+Texas to the SEC is a done deal? I know JRSEC would say "Yes", but then, he's an SEC guy. There are PROs, but also CONs for everybody involved...
The biggest PRO: Money, and lots of it.
For Texas and OU, an extra $25-$30M/year, minimum.
For the rest of the SEC, it's hard to say - maybe a few extra million each?
Now for the CONs:
1. Texas A&M is opposed - but the rest of the SEC could simply outvote them.
2. The Big XII GoR - this means all those SEC-at-Texas/OU games would technically belong to the Big XII. We're either talking a massive buyout (4 seasons worth) or have 16 teams share the revenue of 14 (albeit probably a higher revenue) until the SEC can negotiate for all 16 teams
3. Exit Fees - in addition to the GoR, the Big XII also imposes exit fee equivalent to 2 years of payouts, plus you get no payouts from the day you notify them you're leaving until you go.
4. State legistlatures of Texas, Oklahoma - will the Horns and Sooners be allowed to leave their little brothers behind? Texas seems to have timed this to coincide with a break in the state legislature (which, for some reason, doesn't reconvene until 2023!), but that doesn't mean they're 100% in the clear.
5. Tougher road to the playoffs - not sure how many playoff teams there will be once the smoke clears, but I am sure of one thing: it's harder to win the SEC than the Big XII. The flip side: it will be even harder than before to win the SEC once these two are added.
6. More losses for bottom SEC teams - it was already hard to get to 6 or more games before; now it will be that much harder for teams like Arkansas, Missouri, Ole Miss, Miss. State... but also Vanderbilt, Kentucky, Tennessee, and South Carolina. Adding these two may mean the difference between going to a bowl and staying at home.
BONUS, for Texas only: the LHN contract goes through 2031, and while it may not be renewed, the Longhorns are looking at an escalating payout that's estimated to be worth $300 million between now and the expiration date - so independence is absolutely an option for Texas!
All the gory details are here:
https://accfootballrx.blogspot.com/2021/...o-sec.html