(01-11-2021 04:49 PM)AllTideUp Wrote: If Oklahoma and Kansas moved to the Big Ten then it does make sense for Texas and Texas Tech to move to the SEC together.
I also think it makes sense for ESPN to grab a school like TCU and put them in the ACC if Notre Dame is willing to join in football. The ACC would probably snub West Virginia and they wouldn't be valuable to anyone else.
However...let us consider what Texas and Oklahoma leaving the Big 12 could cause as far as a ripple effect.
Texas and Texas Tech would have a safe home in the SEC. Oklahoma and Kansas would fit pretty well with the Big Ten. But this sort of maneuver would still put a lot of pressure on Notre Dame and the ACC as a whole to some degree.
ESPN controls the destiny of the ACC, but they also want Big Ten rights. The package from the Big Ten is coming open about the same time the Big 12 GOR ends. That's strategic, of course, but we should also consider FOX's diminished position. They will still want content, but they've given up on pursuing certain properties. They've reduced their own platform and they've sold off the very studios that would have made a streaming service viable.
The ACC is in an inferior economic position without question and if both the SEC and Big Ten get another raise with significant powers coming on board then the leaders of the ACC will have to consider giving up the ghost. They have no means of making up the gap as things stand now and the addition of Notre Dame in football is only going to do so much. That's compounded by the length of the ACC contract.
So let's consider that one of the reasons that ESPN made the ACC sign such a long term deal is to have leverage over them. At this stage, ESPN could make those schools do just about anything because there's no help coming otherwise.
The ACC powers will desperately want an outlet. ESPN will be happy to give them one provided they do exactly what ESPN wants.
If you moved Florida State, Georgia Tech, Clemson, and Virginia Tech to the SEC then you have a very solid 20.
If you moved Notre Dame, Virginia, North Carolina, and Duke to the Big Ten then you have another very solid 20.
FWIW, I played with a divisional split of the two groups. I had a very hard time coming up with any reasonable scenario that splits the Alabamian programs, as that split complicated many other areas. Therefore, I had to keep the two together, then pair LSU with them. Georgia and Georgia Tech together is a no-brainer, especially when you also can pair GT with Vanderbilt and Tennessee. Putting all the former B8 and SWC programs together is also another obvious idea. None of the original SEC members would end up in a division with former SWC and B8 programs, which is about as fair as I could come up with.
On the Big Ten, I had connect the plains programs with one of the recruiting areas, so I paired Northwestern with Nebraska and Oklahoma. The Illini is paired with the upper lakes programs. Each division is to have at least two historical programs but that proved to be nearly impossible: separating the Michigans and Wisconsin/Minnesota make no sense, so I had to put the two pairs together, thus necessarily split Michigan and Ohio State. Therefore, not only did I split Michigan/Ohio State but also the Illinois programs and ND kept away from the Michigans and Indiana public schools.
Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Northwestern
Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan State, Michigan, Illinois
Indiana, Purdue, Ohio State, Penn State, Rutgers
Notre Dame, Duke, Maryland, North Carolina, Virginia
Texas Tech, Arkansas, Missouri, Texas, Texas A&M
Mississippi, Mississippi State, Louisiana State, Alabama, Auburn
Vanderbilt, Georgia, Florida, Georgia Tech, Tennessee
Florida State, Clemson, South Carolina, Kentucky, Virginia Tech