(12-17-2020 03:32 PM)EigenEagle Wrote: (12-17-2020 02:57 PM)zibby Wrote: Recruiting rankings below the four star level are meaningless. Nobody has any idea if a three star or two star player will be any good or not. Buffalo has consistently been at the bottom of recruiting rankings but clearly has the most talented team in the MAC this year by far. Jaret Patterson was rated two stars. That's all you need to know about these so-called experts.
This.
Ideally 247 hires staffs of people with actual scouting experience evaluating every FBS commit but 247 isn't going to spend the money on that. Anyone can tell a national prospect from a typical 3-star guy but telling this 3 star apart from that 3-star you need more than a few minutes of highlights.
And I notice to CUSA's recruiting is again ranked higher than the SBC's like it has been for years...doesn't reflect reality.
247 defines its ranking system thusly:
5 Star- These are the players that are most likely to be 1st round draft picks. Any player with more than 100 is considered a franchise player that does not come around very often.
4 Star- The players that are most likely to produce college careers that get them drafted.
3 Star- The bulk of prospects and incorporates a large range of ability levels.
2 Star- Players with very limited NFL potential.
I once heard a coach say the five star/high four star players are already body ready when they get to college. The two and three star guys who need developed, either physically or skill wise. How well the players are coached up are the difference.
As someone who has followed Cincinnati's recruiting very closely for 15 years or so, I think there is a big variance within the three star category. Generally speaking, a high three star- (87-89 by 247) is more likely going to be a better player than the guy who is a low three star (80-83). Not always, but very often this is the case.
The other thing I look at is who else is offering this player, where did he come from and what is his experience. When Tommy Tuberville was at UC he would often bring in guys who were low three star recruits who had offers from FCS schools, a service academy and historically bad G5 schools. Several of these guys were so-called diamonds in the rough who played maybe a year or two of HS FB at some high school that was a weak program, but they were impressive at a camp. That kid more often than not flopped. Luke Fickell OTOH, is bringing in high to mid three star recruits who have offers from most of the mid-tier B10 schools, WVU, Iowa State, etc. These guys played football most of their lives at successful high schools. Thus far, these kids have been showing up here the past couple years ready-made. Just my observation.