(05-11-2020 08:38 PM)rosewater Wrote:  

(05-11-2020 08:17 PM)IamYourDad Wrote:  

(05-11-2020 08:09 PM)rosewater Wrote:  

(05-11-2020 06:22 PM)Hurricane Drummer Wrote:  

(05-11-2020 09:52 AM)Pony94 Wrote:  @Brett_McMurphy
Odds to win AAC via @LVSuperBook: UCF Even Memphis 4/1 Cincinnati 5/1 Navy 10/1 Houston, SMU 20/1 Tulane 30/1 Temple 40/1 East Carolina, Tulsa 50/1 USF 100/1

#notlast

Relatively speaking, Smu seems low and UCF seems high. I would take the field against Ucf in an even bet.

There's a reason Vegas is still in business. We're winning the conference and anyone with some common sense knows this

What an ignorant boast. You are right about Vegas, but you have no idea how it works. Half of the people believe that UCF wins the league the other half of the people do not. Vegas makes money on the juice. I guess half of the people do not have common sense.

It was a joke, relax old man

On a serious note, I think the odds are spot on. We lost all 3 of our games last year by a combined 7 points, and all were on the road. On top of that we had a true freshman QB. The easiest road to the championship is ours considering all of our hard games are at home. And once there, Memphis won't beat us because well... They never do

"Group of Five" Teams
NY6 - CCW - CCAppearance
38% - 62% - 71% Boise St
27% - 54% - 77% UCF
12% - 55% - 73% App St
8% - 25% - 57% Cincy
3% - 13% - 32% Memphis
3% - 32% - 44% FAU
3% - 37% - 53% Ohio
1% - 4% - 19% Navy
1% - 8% - 12% Air Force
1% - 17% - 73% Fresno St
1% - 24% - 58% UAB
1% - 28% - 78% Louisiana

(05-12-2020 01:47 AM)Crayton Wrote:  "Group of Five" Teams
NY6 - CCW - CCAppearance
38% - 62% - 71% Boise St
27% - 54% - 77% UCF
12% - 55% - 73% App St
8% - 25% - 57% Cincy
3% - 13% - 32% Memphis
3% - 32% - 44% FAU
3% - 37% - 53% Ohio
1% - 4% - 19% Navy
1% - 8% - 12% Air Force
1% - 17% - 73% Fresno St
1% - 24% - 58% UAB
1% - 28% - 78% Louisiana

"Garbage in, garbage out." They fed garbage into the computers, so of course the computer spits out Boise St. yet again.

Boise State always comes out as the top G5 in the preseason polls and ratings, and is almost always one of the 1 or 2 G5 teams in the preseason top 25. The whole system is corrupted and completely unreliable.

Unless my Owls surpass expectations, I'm rooting for the military academies this year. Go Middies! Go Falcons! WTH, go Black Knights!

(05-12-2020 01:47 AM)Crayton Wrote:  "Group of Five" Teams
NY6 - CCW - CCAppearance
38% - 62% - 71% Boise St
27% - 54% - 77% UCF
12% - 55% - 73% App St
8% - 25% - 57% Cincy
3% - 13% - 32% Memphis
3% - 32% - 44% FAU
3% - 37% - 53% Ohio
1% - 4% - 19% Navy
1% - 8% - 12% Air Force
1% - 17% - 73% Fresno St
1% - 24% - 58% UAB
1% - 28% - 78% Louisiana

Boise’s championship appearances should be at a 100% considering they receive way more money from the TV deal than any other school in the MWC. A “12-1” team shouldn’t be losing 38-7 to a mediocre Washington team. I’m glad the committee notices that much at least. Boise is a middle of the pack team in the AAC, which is why they likely wanted to stay and be a big fish in a small pond

(05-12-2020 10:46 AM)IamYourDad Wrote:  

(05-12-2020 01:47 AM)Crayton Wrote:  "Group of Five" Teams
NY6 - CCW - CCAppearance
38% - 62% - 71% Boise St
27% - 54% - 77% UCF
12% - 55% - 73% App St
8% - 25% - 57% Cincy
3% - 13% - 32% Memphis
3% - 32% - 44% FAU
3% - 37% - 53% Ohio
1% - 4% - 19% Navy
1% - 8% - 12% Air Force
1% - 17% - 73% Fresno St
1% - 24% - 58% UAB
1% - 28% - 78% Louisiana

Boise’s championship appearances should be at a 100% considering they receive way more money from the TV deal than any other school in the MWC. A “12-1” team shouldn’t be losing 38-7 to a mediocre Washington team. I’m glad the committee notices that much at least. Boise is a middle of the pack team in the AAC, which is why they likely wanted to stay and be a big fish in a small pond

Funny that Fresno has a higher appearence percentage.

(05-17-2020 07:52 PM)sherekhan Wrote:  

Yeah baby!

(05-06-2020 04:25 PM)Greenwavedrownsacat Wrote:  

(05-06-2020 12:20 PM)NothingButKnight Wrote:  UCF getting Cincy, Tulane, Temple, FIU and UNC at home will be a big help.

We didn’t play a single bowl-eligible team at home last year, every such game was on the road. That makes a huge difference. All it takes is one look at the AAC 2019 season.

I don’t think FIU belonged on that list

Well they still have no linebackers so anyone with a pulse can run against them. They also lost James Morgan to the draft.

CBSSports, Tom Fornelli's SOS rankings for the AAC.

https://www.cbssports.com/college-footba...nce-games/

(05-10-2020 03:09 AM)STL_Wave Wrote:  AAC OOC Dream Scenario

ND v Navy (in Ireland) W
UNC @UCF W
Temple @Miami
USF @ Texas
Houston @ WSU W
Memphis @Purdue W
Tulane @NW W
Tulsa @OkSU
UCF @GT W
Rutgers @Temple W
Cincy @Neb W
Tulane @Miss St W
TCU @SMU W

4-0 vs. Big10
3-1 vs. ACC (+ND)
1-2 vs. Big12
1-0 vs. PAC
1-0 vs. SEC

7-3 vs P5

Tulane taking care of business will be a deciding factor in the success of the conference this year.....time for WF to take a leap forward.

Don't forget ECU @ SC on 9/12
SC was 4-8 last year, but does get this one at home. An ECU win isn't out of the realm of possibility, but probably out of the realm of probability.

(06-06-2020 10:04 PM)mikeinoki Wrote:  

(05-10-2020 03:09 AM)STL_Wave Wrote:  AAC OOC Dream Scenario

ND v Navy (in Ireland) W
UNC @UCF W
Temple @Miami
USF @ Texas
Houston @ WSU W
Memphis @Purdue W
Tulane @NW W
Tulsa @OkSU
UCF @GT W
Rutgers @Temple W
Cincy @Neb W
Tulane @Miss St W
TCU @SMU W

4-0 vs. Big10
3-1 vs. ACC (+ND)
1-2 vs. Big12
1-0 vs. PAC
1-0 vs. SEC

7-3 vs P5

Tulane taking care of business will be a deciding factor in the success of the conference this year.....time for WF to take a leap forward.

Don't forget ECU @ SC on 9/12
SC was 4-8 last year, but does get this one at home. An ECU win isn't out of the realm of possibility, but probably out of the realm of probability.

If Mike Houston can win @SC in his 2nd year w/t Citadel then we should have more than a puncher's chance this year. ECU has an offense that can put up points and have quietly filled in some holes this off-season.

(06-06-2020 10:26 PM)Indiana Bones Wrote:  

(06-06-2020 10:04 PM)mikeinoki Wrote:  

(05-10-2020 03:09 AM)STL_Wave Wrote:  AAC OOC Dream Scenario

ND v Navy (in Ireland) W
UNC @UCF W
Temple @Miami
USF @ Texas
Houston @ WSU W
Memphis @Purdue W
Tulane @NW W
Tulsa @OkSU
UCF @GT W
Rutgers @Temple W
Cincy @Neb W
Tulane @Miss St W
TCU @SMU W

4-0 vs. Big10
3-1 vs. ACC (+ND)
1-2 vs. Big12
1-0 vs. PAC
1-0 vs. SEC

7-3 vs P5

Tulane taking care of business will be a deciding factor in the success of the conference this year.....time for WF to take a leap forward.

Don't forget ECU @ SC on 9/12
SC was 4-8 last year, but does get this one at home. An ECU win isn't out of the realm of possibility, but probably out of the realm of probability.

If Mike Houston can win @SC in his 2nd year w/t Citadel then we should have more than a puncher's chance this year. ECU has an offense that can put up points and have quietly filled in some holes this off-season.

If Mike Houston were to beat SC this year and turn in a halfway respectable record, he is their HC next year. Just my guess.

But no, I don't think it's impossible. SC lost to App State last year. If we can get the offense clicking again ah la Cindy and SMU, then I think we've got a shot. Just need the defense's bus to make it to Columbia.

(05-12-2020 06:44 AM)jedclampett Wrote:  

(05-12-2020 01:47 AM)Crayton Wrote:  "Group of Five" Teams
NY6 - CCW - CCAppearance
38% - 62% - 71% Boise St
27% - 54% - 77% UCF
12% - 55% - 73% App St
8% - 25% - 57% Cincy
3% - 13% - 32% Memphis
3% - 32% - 44% FAU
3% - 37% - 53% Ohio
1% - 4% - 19% Navy
1% - 8% - 12% Air Force
1% - 17% - 73% Fresno St
1% - 24% - 58% UAB
1% - 28% - 78% Louisiana

"Garbage in, garbage out." They fed garbage into the computers, so of course the computer spits out Boise St. yet again.

Boise State always comes out as the top G5 in the preseason polls and ratings, and is almost always one of the 1 or 2 G5 teams in the preseason top 25. The whole system is corrupted and completely unreliable.

Unless my Owls surpass expectations, I'm rooting for the military academies this year. Go Middies! Go Falcons! WTH, go Black Knights!

I'm not going to argue that they are a terrible bet. As stated elsewhere, they make a disproportionate share of revenue in the next best conference. A bet for Boise is basically betting the field if we produce a multiple loss champ.

(05-12-2020 06:44 AM)jedclampett Wrote:  

(05-12-2020 01:47 AM)Crayton Wrote:  "Group of Five" Teams
NY6 - CCW - CCAppearance
38% - 62% - 71% Boise St
27% - 54% - 77% UCF
12% - 55% - 73% App St
8% - 25% - 57% Cincy
3% - 13% - 32% Memphis
3% - 32% - 44% FAU
3% - 37% - 53% Ohio
1% - 4% - 19% Navy
1% - 8% - 12% Air Force
1% - 17% - 73% Fresno St
1% - 24% - 58% UAB
1% - 28% - 78% Louisiana

"Garbage in, garbage out." They fed garbage into the computers, so of course the computer spits out Boise St. yet again.

Boise State always comes out as the top G5 in the preseason polls and ratings, and is almost always one of the 1 or 2 G5 teams in the preseason top 25. The whole system is corrupted and completely unreliable.

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

And how the hell is SMU not even listed?? I get that we aren't the favorites, but we aren't even mentioned? Bullsh.....

@betonline_ag
has 2021 NFL draft odds, including first QB to be taken: Trevor Lawrence is the big favorite at 4/13 followed by Justin Fields at 7/2. But also on the board: Kellen Mond 25/1, Sam Ehlinger 30/1 and Shane Buechele 50/1.

(05-10-2020 03:09 AM)STL_Wave Wrote:  AAC OOC Dream Scenario

ND v Navy (in Ireland) W
UNC @UCF W
Temple @Miami
USF @ Texas
Houston @ WSU W
Memphis @Purdue W
Tulane @NW W
Tulsa @OkSU
UCF @GT W
Rutgers @Temple W
Cincy @Neb W
Tulane @Miss St W
TCU @SMU W

4-0 vs. Big10
3-1 vs. ACC (+ND)
1-2 vs. Big12
1-0 vs. PAC
1-0 vs. SEC

7-3 vs P5

Tulane taking care of business will be a deciding factor in the success of the conference this year.....time for WF to take a leap forward.

The best case scenario for our conference isn't necessarily that we have the most wins or even a winning record. In a year where we don’t expect to win more than we lose against P5 teams we need to win the ones that matter.

The best case scenario is that we have two undefeated teams at the end of the year and that the OOC teams those two beat somehow end up in their respective conference championship games, maybe one even winning. So...

Houston beats Wazzou and they somehow make the Pac 12 game.
SMU beats TCU and they somehow make the Big XII game.
UCF beats UNC and Ga Tech and they somehow make the ACC game, and
Cincy beats Nebraska and they somehow make their game.

Those are the best scenarios, IMO, of both the AAC team winning and the P5 opponent making their CCG. Memphis should beat Purdue but I don't think Purdue makes it to the Big 10 CG. I can see ECU beating USCe but the gamecocks aren't going to the SEC CG. I don't think Temple beats Miami or USF beats UT, no offense.

UCF winning and UNC facing Clemson in the CCG is the most likely, IMHO.

But we need more traction leading us to a CFP participant, and that's how we get it, I think.

(06-08-2020 12:30 PM)Pony94 Wrote:  @betonline_ag
has 2021 NFL draft odds, including first QB to be taken: Trevor Lawrence is the big favorite at 4/13 followed by Justin Fields at 7/2. But also on the board: Kellen Mond 25/1, Sam Ehlinger 30/1 and Shane Buechele 50/1.

It’s great to see Buechele but Mond? That kid hasn’t proven a damn thing yet.

(06-08-2020 12:32 PM)SMUleopold Wrote:  

(05-10-2020 03:09 AM)STL_Wave Wrote:  AAC OOC Dream Scenario

ND v Navy (in Ireland) W
UNC @UCF W
Temple @Miami
USF @ Texas
Houston @ WSU W
Memphis @Purdue W
Tulane @NW W
Tulsa @OkSU
UCF @GT W
Rutgers @Temple W
Cincy @Neb W
Tulane @Miss St W
TCU @SMU W

4-0 vs. Big10
3-1 vs. ACC (+ND)
1-2 vs. Big12
1-0 vs. PAC
1-0 vs. SEC

7-3 vs P5

Tulane taking care of business will be a deciding factor in the success of the conference this year.....time for WF to take a leap forward.

The best case scenario for our conference isn't necessarily that we have the most wins or even a winning record. In a year where we don’t expect to win more than we lose against P5 teams we need to win the ones that matter.

The best case scenario is that we have two undefeated teams at the end of the year and that the OOC teams those two beat somehow end up in their respective conference championship games, maybe one even winning. So...

Houston beats Wazzou and they somehow make the Pac 12 game.
SMU beats TCU and they somehow make the Big XII game.
UCF beats UNC and Ga Tech and they somehow make the ACC game, and
Cincy beats Nebraska and they somehow make their game.

Those are the best scenarios, IMO, of both the AAC team winning and the P5 opponent making their CCG. Memphis should beat Purdue but I don't think Purdue makes it to the Big 10 CG. I can see ECU beating USCe but the gamecocks aren't going to the SEC CG. I don't think Temple beats Miami or USF beats UT, no offense.

UCF winning and UNC facing Clemson in the CCG is the most likely, IMHO.

But we need more traction leading us to a CFP participant, and that's how we get it, I think.

at this point, I can't get worked up over anybody beating Purdue - it seems like everybody they've played has done that recently

Beats losing to ‘em and that one receiver is a beast.

(05-06-2020 11:44 AM)Fishpro10987 Wrote:  Temple: I know we are predicted for 6 wins, but we are an 8-4 team with an 8-4 quarterback and an 8-4 coach. We will beat somebody we shouldn't (UCF, Cincy looking at you), so I am going to go out on a limb and say we will be 8-4.

Hey Fishpro hope you are right but see 7-5. Maybe 8 wins if everything breaks right but 6 wins if injuries mount.