WMU Broncos

Hello There, Guest! (LoginRegister)

Post Reply 
Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
Author Message
Aimless1 Offline
Special Teams
*

Posts: 519
Joined: May 2018
Reputation: 1
I Root For: WMU Bronos
Location:
Post: #221
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
[Image: 7ADC76AE-23D3-44BF-9C1F-3BFB1CB23902.jpe...8c5aa.jpeg]
03-27-2020 03:15 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Bronco'14 Offline
WMU
*

Posts: 12,357
Joined: Aug 2012
Reputation: 201
I Root For: WMU Broncos
Location: Grand Rapids, MI
Post: #222
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(03-27-2020 03:15 PM)Aimless1 Wrote:  [Image: 7ADC76AE-23D3-44BF-9C1F-3BFB1CB23902.jpe...8c5aa.jpeg]

I'd be curious to see breakdown by state.
03-28-2020 08:13 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Boca Rocket Offline
Legend
*

Posts: 25,648
Joined: Mar 2004
Reputation: 105
I Root For:
Location:
Post: #223
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(03-28-2020 08:13 AM)Bronco14 Wrote:  
(03-27-2020 03:15 PM)Aimless1 Wrote:  [Image: 7ADC76AE-23D3-44BF-9C1F-3BFB1CB23902.jpe...8c5aa.jpeg]

I'd be curious to see breakdown by state.

Approximate Populations:
US 331,000,000
Italy 60,000,000
South Korea 51,000,000

Deaths per 1,000,000 pop:
South Korea 3
US 5
Italy 151

First case reported:US 1/20/20
US 1/20/20
South Korea 1/19/20
Italy 1/29/20
(This post was last modified: 03-28-2020 09:40 AM by Boca Rocket.)
03-28-2020 09:31 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Aimless1 Offline
Special Teams
*

Posts: 519
Joined: May 2018
Reputation: 1
I Root For: WMU Bronos
Location:
Post: #224
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
Sobering stats worldwide:

621080 coronavirus cases reported

28662 deaths

137363 recovered

17% death rate of those who contract the disease

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
(This post was last modified: 03-28-2020 10:03 AM by Aimless1.)
03-28-2020 10:02 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
ess Offline
1st String
*

Posts: 1,095
Joined: Dec 2017
Reputation: 25
I Root For: The individual
Location:
Post: #225
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(03-28-2020 10:02 AM)Aimless1 Wrote:  Sobering stats worldwide:

621080 coronavirus cases reported

28662 deaths

17% death rate of those who contract the disease

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Based on your quoted stats

28,662/621,080 is approximately a 4.6% death rate.

It looks to me like the 17% may be of hospitalized (not sure what "recovered/discharged" means) patients?
(This post was last modified: 03-28-2020 10:56 AM by ess.)
03-28-2020 10:55 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Aimless1 Offline
Special Teams
*

Posts: 519
Joined: May 2018
Reputation: 1
I Root For: WMU Bronos
Location:
Post: #226
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
Add the number of deaths to number recovered = total number of cases with an outcome
28662 deaths divided by $166025 cases with an outcome = 17% mortality rate if you contract the disease
03-28-2020 01:46 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
wmubroncopilot Offline
Heisman
*

Posts: 8,027
Joined: Aug 2008
Reputation: 132
I Root For: WMU
Location: Anchorage, AK
Post: #227
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(03-28-2020 01:46 PM)Aimless1 Wrote:  Add the number of deaths to number recovered = total number of cases with an outcome
28662 deaths divided by $166025 cases with an outcome = 17% mortality rate if you contract the disease

At the risk of sounding morbid, it takes longer to recover (and confirm a recovery) than to die.

Countries farther along in the process are nowhere near 17%.

Plus as shown on that site, 95% of current cases are mild or moderate.

Final numbers will be bad, but not anywhere close to 17%.

This thing is bad enough without sensationalizing the numbers.
03-28-2020 02:05 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
RunningGame Offline
All American
*

Posts: 3,310
Joined: Mar 2017
Reputation: 28
I Root For: WMU
Location: Michigan
Post: #228
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
Really, follow the Diamond Princess numbers. About a 1% fatality rate among an older general population with excellent medical care. 20% of passengers got it in tight quarters with social distancing.

I think we’ll be fine in a few weeks, hopefully back to work with spot individual and city quarantines as needed thanks to greater testing. I don’t think we’ll reach the 66 million cases and 660k deaths the cruise ship number indicates in 2020 or 2021.
03-28-2020 03:07 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Nacho Offline
Heisman
*

Posts: 6,437
Joined: Mar 2011
Reputation: 89
I Root For: WMU
Location: Indianapolis
Post: #229
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
I think we will START getting back to a general sense of normalcy around July 1.
03-28-2020 03:41 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
flushtheherd Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 11,747
Joined: May 2007
Reputation: 88
I Root For: WMU
Location: Grand Rapids, MI
Post: #230
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
I honestly think that by end of April things will have leveled off and some sense of new normal will begin. We are much further along than we may have thought. We’ve been likely spreading this in the US since January.

I hope they can increase testing options that are more available and quicker turn around.
03-28-2020 03:46 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
MajorHoople Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 14,245
Joined: Apr 2007
Reputation: 176
I Root For: WMU Broncos
Location: Waldo, Read, Hyames
Post: #231
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
It may be irresponsible-lead to a second outbreak to "reopen" the country until there is a cure or at least a viable vaccine for this virus.
03-28-2020 03:53 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
bostonbronco Offline
All American
*

Posts: 3,198
Joined: May 2007
Reputation: 52
I Root For:
Location:
Post: #232
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
Interesting: https://www.aol.com/article/news/2020/03.../23964182/

But not sure if that is still the case. Recently heard that some supplies have been sent to the state of Michigan.

Be safe, my friends.
(This post was last modified: 03-28-2020 04:08 PM by bostonbronco.)
03-28-2020 04:07 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
okgc Offline
Heisman
*

Posts: 7,477
Joined: Jul 2007
Reputation: 38
I Root For: WMU
Location:
Post: #233
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(03-28-2020 03:53 PM)MajorHoople Wrote:  It may be irresponsible-lead to a second outbreak to "reopen" the country until there is a cure or at least a viable vaccine for this virus.

A viable vaccine would be 12-18 months away.
03-28-2020 06:46 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
MajorHoople Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 14,245
Joined: Apr 2007
Reputation: 176
I Root For: WMU Broncos
Location: Waldo, Read, Hyames
Post: #234
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(03-28-2020 06:46 PM)okgc Wrote:  
(03-28-2020 03:53 PM)MajorHoople Wrote:  It may be irresponsible-lead to a second outbreak to "reopen" the country until there is a cure or at least a viable vaccine for this virus.

A viable vaccine would be 12-18 months away.

That's not what our Fearless Leader claims.
(This post was last modified: 03-29-2020 06:36 AM by MajorHoople.)
03-28-2020 07:00 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Motown Bronco Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 17,758
Joined: Jul 2002
Reputation: 211
I Root For: WMU
Location: Metro Detroit
Post: #235
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(03-28-2020 06:46 PM)okgc Wrote:  
(03-28-2020 03:53 PM)MajorHoople Wrote:  It may be irresponsible-lead to a second outbreak to "reopen" the country until there is a cure or at least a viable vaccine for this virus.

A viable vaccine would be 12-18 months away.

Yup, and at some point down the road, society will have to ask itself an uncomfortable question that's really a lose-lose scenario.

Open things back up knowing you'll invite a wave of death? Or buckle down and enter a Great Depression (both from an economic and mental health standpoint)?

My hunch is that things "open up" this summer, but to a limited degree. You go back to work, restaurants and stores open, etc. But the big venues with crowds of people will be shut down for a lot longer, like concerts, sporting events, carnivals, etc.

Airlines and hotels will take a long time to recover. Businesses, having gotten used to Skype and such, will keep the lock down on business travel. Both for safety and cost savings. And "staycations" or local travel will be the norm for at least those 12-18 months. Places like Disney World, a crowded melting pot in itself, is gonna really suffer.
03-28-2020 08:00 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
ess Offline
1st String
*

Posts: 1,095
Joined: Dec 2017
Reputation: 25
I Root For: The individual
Location:
Post: #236
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
03-28-2020 08:06 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Charm City Bronco Offline
Fights for Justice
*

Posts: 5,201
Joined: Jun 2010
Reputation: 46
I Root For: WMU
Location: 20011
Post: #237
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
I'm brand new to this thread after 12 pages, but let me guess, World Genius Bronco Phiwwwy has been calling it a hoax from the beginning.
03-28-2020 08:13 PM
Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Charm City Bronco Offline
Fights for Justice
*

Posts: 5,201
Joined: Jun 2010
Reputation: 46
I Root For: WMU
Location: 20011
Post: #238
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(03-26-2020 06:45 AM)Boca Rocket Wrote:  It's Toilet Paper Thursday here in S FL. Radio listeners call in with toilet paper sightings. Good news, a number of locations are back in stock.
A restaurant was giving away a toilet paper roll
with a large take out/delivery order.
My brother flew in from Philly yesterday. There were 8 on his flight. He talked to an airlines employee
and was told a flight came in with only one passenger. Saw occupancy rates in hotels vary from 7-29%, averaging about 19-20%. Traffic is picking up
on the streets.

[Image: giphy-downsized-large.gif]
03-28-2020 08:16 PM
Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Motown Bronco Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 17,758
Joined: Jul 2002
Reputation: 211
I Root For: WMU
Location: Metro Detroit
Post: #239
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
WMU student dies of coronavirus. :(

https://www.mlive.com/coronavirus/2020/0...virus.html
03-29-2020 11:48 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
RunningGame Offline
All American
*

Posts: 3,310
Joined: Mar 2017
Reputation: 28
I Root For: WMU
Location: Michigan
Post: #240
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(03-28-2020 08:00 PM)Motown Bronco Wrote:  
(03-28-2020 06:46 PM)okgc Wrote:  
(03-28-2020 03:53 PM)MajorHoople Wrote:  It may be irresponsible-lead to a second outbreak to "reopen" the country until there is a cure or at least a viable vaccine for this virus.

A viable vaccine would be 12-18 months away.

Yup, and at some point down the road, society will have to ask itself an uncomfortable question that's really a lose-lose scenario.

Open things back up knowing you'll invite a wave of death? Or buckle down and enter a Great Depression (both from an economic and mental health standpoint)?

My hunch is that things "open up" this summer, but to a limited degree. You go back to work, restaurants and stores open, etc. But the big venues with crowds of people will be shut down for a lot longer, like concerts, sporting events, carnivals, etc.

Airlines and hotels will take a long time to recover. Businesses, having gotten used to Skype and such, will keep the lock down on business travel. Both for safety and cost savings. And "staycations" or local travel will be the norm for at least those 12-18 months. Places like Disney World, a crowded melting pot in itself, is gonna really suffer.

I’ve seen a lot sniping back and forth on this in general, but this is really the discussion we should all be focused on right now.

A depression comes with its own lost lives and an impact over generations.

This virus is in the strange zone between severe and benign, Ebola and a bad common cold, sparing the children. I think most agree we must avoid swamping hospitals, but after that, what is an acceptable level of risk?

My hope is testing makes this an easy choice.
03-29-2020 12:57 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Post Reply 




User(s) browsing this thread: 2 Guest(s)


Copyright © 2002-2024 Collegiate Sports Nation Bulletin Board System (CSNbbs), All Rights Reserved.
CSNbbs is an independent fan site and is in no way affiliated to the NCAA or any of the schools and conferences it represents.
This site monetizes links. FTC Disclosure.
We allow third-party companies to serve ads and/or collect certain anonymous information when you visit our web site. These companies may use non-personally identifiable information (e.g., click stream information, browser type, time and date, subject of advertisements clicked or scrolled over) during your visits to this and other Web sites in order to provide advertisements about goods and services likely to be of greater interest to you. These companies typically use a cookie or third party web beacon to collect this information. To learn more about this behavioral advertising practice or to opt-out of this type of advertising, you can visit http://www.networkadvertising.org.
Powered By MyBB, © 2002-2024 MyBB Group.