(01-23-2020 01:31 AM)Attackcoog Wrote: There arent 5 MW teams that carry that much value. Boise, SDSU, and SF are where the MW value lies.
Oh, these western schools ... so, who is SF again?
Not only would SDSU have no compelling reason to leave with JUST Boise State, but that would leave the AAC looking for a 14th school anyway. 11 could probably be workable long term if TPTB allow it, but if you get past 12 you want to have two equal sized divisions.
So highest probability, the hardball negotiation is settled somewhere between the MWC ambit claim and the Boise State ambit claim, and things settle down with just a bit more bad blood in the MWC between "Boise State and everyone else", and we wait to see if a mid-20s realignment shakes things up.
Next highest probability, just Boise State bolts FB-only for the AAC, finding somewhere to park its Olympic Sports, because after all Boise State is a football-first school, so if its basketball has to find a less-than-ideal home, "oh well".
Lowest probability, a big shake up, which is Boise State, SDSU plus a 3rd join AAC all-sports. I'm a bit skeptical that is workable, but at least it fits in with the whole tweener schtick.
5 MWC schools taking the AAC to 16? I'm not seeing it. I'm not seeing the AAC media partner paying for it, and I'm not seeing a majority of current AAC schools interested in having things set up that way.