(01-18-2020 08:16 PM)fallsdog Wrote: And also....out of timeouts....Kent stinks
I wanted to address this. To reiterate, my post about the last play isn't meant to be an indictment of Sendy, or a "sky is falling" type thing. Again, just that specific play I think is stale and we need to stop using.
As far as how we perform out of Timeouts, I've never personally looked into the numbers in the past but I know I've heard in previous years that Sendy teams are normally stack up pretty well. Personally, I'm not sure I'm a big believer that these numbers mean much. I doubt any coach is drawing up a play in every huddle and it's not like they're going to be making things up on the fly that their players haven't already practiced. However, I went ahead and crunched the numbers through 5 MAC games so we have something quantitative to add to the debate.
Here's the rules I'm working with.
- I'll count the first offensive opportunity after the timeout for the coach.
- If a foul occurred before the timeout so free throws are the first thing, I'm looking at the team not shooting the free throw's possession.
- If a foul occurred before the timeout so free throws are the first thing, and they result in an offensive rebound, I don't include this timeout (assuming anything drawn up goes out the window here).
- If the first offensive opportunity results in a missed shot and an offensive rebound that counts as a missed shot and whatever happens after the rebound isn't counted. I feel it's safe to assume no coach is drawing up a play that includes getting an offensive rebound.
- For points per opportunity I'll count any possession ended in drawing a shooting foul as 2 points regardless of the outcome of the free throws. Ie. Don't penalize the coach for drawing up a play that draws a foul, but his guy misses the free throws.
Coming out of timeouts where Kent gets the first offensive opportunity these are the numbers:
-32 opportunities; 6-11 2FG 54.5%; 5-11 3FG 45.5%; 3 FT drawing fouls; 7 turnovers; 1.03 points per opportunity; 43.8% success rate; 21.9% turnover rate.
Coming out of timeouts where Kent's opponent gets the first offensive opportunity these are the numbers:
-31 opportunities; 6-15 2FG 40%; 4-9 3FG 44.4%; 2 FT drawing fouls; 5 turnovers; 0.90 pointer per opportunity; 38.7% success rate; 16.1% turnover rate.
Comparing these numbers to Kent's season numbers on the same type of scale (for the same 5 MAC games).
-397 opportunities; 95-186 2FG 51.1%; 46-106 3FG 43.4%; 35 FT drawing fouls; 70 turnovers; 1.00 points per opportunity; 44.3% success rate; 17.6% turnover rate.
So the conclusions I'll draw from this...
We're shooting slightly higher percentages, and scoring slightly more points coming out of timeouts than we are on average. Our success rate is slightly lower and it seems to be entirely from the high turnover rate coming out of timeouts. If we cut that turnover rate a bit our out of timeout numbers would look significantly better.
And while we're slightly more efficient coming out of timeouts than we are on average, we're significantly better than our opponents are. Our 2pt% is much better and our points per possession and success rate are also much better than our opponents.
So my conclusion is we're doing fine coming out of timeouts. Could stand to cut a few TO's but, our performance out of timeouts is not a problem.