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Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
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Nobody4Prez Offline
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Post: #1
Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
With the teams Temple has beat its hard to see we are favored by 6 points

Vegas is usually on the money so I hope we win at their house.

Gonna be a really tough game. They are physical and their defense is damn good
10-08-2019 10:17 PM
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ncrdbl1 Offline
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RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
Was between 4-5 earlier this week
10-08-2019 10:43 PM
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AlonsoWDC Offline
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Post: #3
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
Money has moved hard on Memphis for this spread.
10-08-2019 10:51 PM
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mempho_to_diego Offline
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RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
Vegas knows!
10-08-2019 11:00 PM
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mapdude Offline
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Post: #5
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
(10-08-2019 10:43 PM)ncrdbl1 Wrote:  Was between 4-5 earlier this week
Last line I saw was UofM -3.5
10-08-2019 11:06 PM
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tigernole79 Offline
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Post: #6
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
(10-08-2019 11:06 PM)mapdude Wrote:  
(10-08-2019 10:43 PM)ncrdbl1 Wrote:  Was between 4-5 earlier this week
Last line I saw was UofM -3.5

Use that bookie often. Memphis is a 6 point favorite according to CBS Sports and the over is 50.5
10-09-2019 12:24 AM
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tigernole79 Offline
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Post: #7
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
(10-08-2019 10:17 PM)Nobody4Prez Wrote:  With the teams Temple has beat its hard to see we are favored by 6 points

Vegas is usually on the money so I hope we win at their house.

Gonna be a really tough game. They are physical and their defense is damn good

That's gotta be a joke?!

Temple has beat FCS Bucknell, Maryland (slightly impressive), GA Tech (1-4 including a loss to Citadel) and ECU who might be their toughest win and they only beat them 27-17. Not sure how that shows any toughness in schedule. They lost to 2-4 Buffalo 38-22.

While their defense is pretty good, ranked 20th, it's not like they've been tested: Maryland 41st, GA Tech 124, Buffalo 91st, ECU 97th.
10-09-2019 12:33 AM
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ShilohTiger Offline
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Post: #8
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
(10-09-2019 12:33 AM)tigernole79 Wrote:  
(10-08-2019 10:17 PM)Nobody4Prez Wrote:  With the teams Temple has beat its hard to see we are favored by 6 points

Vegas is usually on the money so I hope we win at their house.

Gonna be a really tough game. They are physical and their defense is damn good

That's gotta be a joke?!

Temple has beat FCS Bucknell, Maryland (slightly impressive), GA Tech (1-4 including a loss to Citadel) and ECU who might be their toughest win and they only beat them 27-17. Not sure how that shows any toughness in schedule. They lost to 2-4 Buffalo 38-22.

While their defense is pretty good, ranked 20th, it's not like they've been tested: Maryland 41st, GA Tech 124, Buffalo 91st, ECU 97th.

Good info. I was just looking at this...
Temple’s Buffalo loss was due to turnovers...3 interceptions and 2 fumbles (1 lost). It wasn’t even close in the beginning of the 4th quarter....31-7. It was a meltdown and Buffalo ran over them, but some points were due to pick 6 and short field.

The Maryland win likely won’t hold up as quality as they were stupidly ranked bc they had beaten stupidly ranked Syracuse team by wild margins.
Here’s the craziness of College Football scores:
Maryland over Syracuse 63-20
Temple over Maryland 20-17
Buffalo over Temple 38-22
Syracuse over Liberty. 24-0
Liberty over Buffalo. 35-17

The more I dig, I think all of these teams are just bad.

Memphis is better than this but the road is dangerous.

I’d say there’s a 60% chance Memphis wins by 6, but maybe a 20% chance we lose. Kinda like the election.
10-09-2019 12:53 AM
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bubbapt Offline
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RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
I wouldn’t take the points on this one. Too many injuries.
10-09-2019 05:42 AM
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cmt Offline
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Post: #10
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
OK here we go, using ESPNs Power Index and threw in Sagarin

Memphis 41...29
W Mississippi 49...57
W Southern U NR...180
W South Alabama 125...170
W Navy 76...62
W LA Monroe 108...124

Temple 77...81
W Bucknell NR...244
W Maryland 44...39
L Buffalo 112...101
W Georgia Tech 111...99
W ECU 116...133

Memphis, tougher schedule
Temple, better win
Temple, waaaay worse loss
Temple's at home, Memphis isn't
Going to be a tough game to win, but if the predictors are right and we pull it out, we will be sitting pretty.
10-09-2019 06:26 AM
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TigerTim Offline
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Post: #11
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
I know there are some sharps that are on Temple to at least cover the spread.
10-09-2019 07:07 AM
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tmoneyinmphs Offline
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Post: #12
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
First 5 games with 3 being at home, we won against 5 teams with a combined record of 11-15.

The next 7 games with 4 of the 6 on the road, tiger's future opponent record is 24-12. Also this group includes 2 teams challenging for the top spot in the conference.

It's time to forget what we have done so far. The goal is to win the conference regular season and win the conference championship. One game at a time. Regardless of all stats, i expect temple to be playing some good ball, and i expect a tough game on the road.
10-09-2019 07:49 AM
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bluecrew Offline
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Post: #13
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
I just don't see it. Is it possible years of being kicked in the nuts as a Tiger fan won't allow me to see us in as good a light as others??
10-09-2019 07:57 AM
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mairving Offline
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Post: #14
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
(10-09-2019 12:53 AM)ShilohTiger Wrote:  
(10-09-2019 12:33 AM)tigernole79 Wrote:  
(10-08-2019 10:17 PM)Nobody4Prez Wrote:  With the teams Temple has beat its hard to see we are favored by 6 points

Vegas is usually on the money so I hope we win at their house.

Gonna be a really tough game. They are physical and their defense is damn good

That's gotta be a joke?!

Temple has beat FCS Bucknell, Maryland (slightly impressive), GA Tech (1-4 including a loss to Citadel) and ECU who might be their toughest win and they only beat them 27-17. Not sure how that shows any toughness in schedule. They lost to 2-4 Buffalo 38-22.

While their defense is pretty good, ranked 20th, it's not like they've been tested: Maryland 41st, GA Tech 124, Buffalo 91st, ECU 97th.

Good info. I was just looking at this...
Temple’s Buffalo loss was due to turnovers...3 interceptions and 2 fumbles (1 lost). It wasn’t even close in the beginning of the 4th quarter....31-7. It was a meltdown and Buffalo ran over them, but some points were due to pick 6 and short field.

The Maryland win likely won’t hold up as quality as they were stupidly ranked bc they had beaten stupidly ranked Syracuse team by wild margins.
Here’s the craziness of College Football scores:
Maryland over Syracuse 63-20
Temple over Maryland 20-17
Buffalo over Temple 38-22
Syracuse over Liberty. 24-0
Liberty over Buffalo. 35-17

The more I dig, I think all of these teams are just bad.

Memphis is better than this but the road is dangerous.

I’d say there’s a 60% chance Memphis wins by 6, but maybe a 20% chance we lose. Kinda like the election.

Not entirely. They only had 31 rushing yards on 23 attempts and were 2-16 on 3rd down. Just a really bad game for them in general. Buffalo had 2 turnovers.
10-09-2019 08:28 AM
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TiminMem23 Offline
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Post: #15
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
(10-09-2019 07:57 AM)bluecrew Wrote:  I just don't see it. Is it possible years of being kicked in the nuts as a Tiger fan won't allow me to see us in as good a light as others??

You are not alone. Going to be tough to win at Temple. I don't think we are as good as our record or ranking indicates. Credit to the Tigers for being 5-0, but I think reality sets in this week.
10-09-2019 08:35 AM
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gusrob Offline
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Post: #16
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
The movement is a result of bets coming in. -3.5 was the first line I saw.
10-09-2019 08:50 AM
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TIGERBUDDY Offline
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Post: #17
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
(10-09-2019 07:57 AM)bluecrew Wrote:  I just don't see it. Is it possible years of being kicked in the nuts as a Tiger fan won't allow me to see us in as good a light as others??
Yea man I remember also. We now have new better jock straps so let's **** and get and poop and scoot. I mean we can believe what we are seeing.
10-09-2019 09:00 AM
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Tiger87 Offline
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Post: #18
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
Don't be skeered. I don't think Temple's D is as tough as some are making it to be. We're getting to the point in the season where raw stats mean something, although we're still a couple weeks away (have to get a few games into conference scheduling). So the OOC schedule still carries a lot of weight on stats.

One way I use to handicap the schedule is to see how our opponents opponents have performed. For example, we scored 35 against Navy and that's the most Navy has given up all year. On the other side of the ball, we allowed 23 to Navy and that's the fewest Navy has scored all year. So we rank 1st in O against Navy, and 1st in D - compared to all of their schedule. (Our best scoring game of the year.)

On offense we are (with 5 games for most opponents):
5th - Old Miss
1st - Southern
1st - USA
1st - Navy
2nd - Monroe
Popular narrative aside, our O has fared pretty well since the anemic 1st game of the year.

On defense we are:
1st, 2nd, 2nd, 1st, 4th
As our eyes told us, last week was our worst D performance of the year. The guys out were missed and I hope Claybrooks returns this week.

Meanwhile, Temple's O - opponent - D:
1st - Bucknell - 3rd
2nd - Maryland - 2nd
4th - Buffalo - 5th
4th - Ga Tech - 1st
3rd - ECU - 3rd
On O, Temple has shown to be a little below average - especially since week 1. However, D is where they are supposedly strong. Not so fast. They've been inconsistent with a couple of good performances and one bad performance. All in, looks pretty average on D when you handicap the schedule this way.

Memphis wins, and covers yet again.
10-09-2019 09:38 AM
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MemTigers1998 Offline
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Post: #19
RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
Unfortunately, neither SMU nor Liberty is playing this week, so the sports books won’t be handing out free money. Sad.
10-09-2019 09:52 AM
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mairving Offline
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RE: Tigers are a 6 point favorite @ Temple
(10-09-2019 07:49 AM)tmoneyinmphs Wrote:  First 5 games with 3 being at home, we won against 5 teams with a combined record of 11-15.

The next 7 games with 4 of the 6 on the road, tiger's future opponent record is 24-12. Also this group includes 2 teams challenging for the top spot in the conference.

It's time to forget what we have done so far. The goal is to win the conference regular season and win the conference championship. One game at a time. Regardless of all stats, i expect temple to be playing some good ball, and i expect a tough game on the road.

Once past Temple, we play 2-3 Tulsa, 2-3 Houston and 2-3 USF on the road. Still some possible hard games but we have our toughest games at home, 4-1 Tulane, 4-1 Cincy and 6-0 SMU. So 14-2 combined for home games and 6-9.
10-09-2019 10:02 AM
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