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Bubas Cup 2018-2019
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HPCAT Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
(04-25-2019 11:51 AM)wewererebels Wrote:  
(04-21-2019 05:05 PM)McLeansvilleAppFan Wrote:  Besides WTen and MTen complete with South Alabama earning 1 pt for both women's and men's tennis tournaments I also have day one of MGolf in the spreadsheet. As predicted last during the last post TxSt is pulling away. If MGolf holds and there could be some movement of course and TxSt performs as they usually do in OTF then I feel pretty confident a new school will be winning the Bubas Cup this year in TxSt.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1...edit#gid=0

TxState would have to do some serious face planting to avoid winning this time.

Yes, TXST should gain 15-20 points on App State in the final four sports yet completed.

Now if only Football would kick in........
04-25-2019 04:41 PM
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wewererebels Offline
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Post: #22
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
(04-25-2019 04:41 PM)HPCAT Wrote:  
(04-25-2019 11:51 AM)wewererebels Wrote:  
(04-21-2019 05:05 PM)McLeansvilleAppFan Wrote:  Besides WTen and MTen complete with South Alabama earning 1 pt for both women's and men's tennis tournaments I also have day one of MGolf in the spreadsheet. As predicted last during the last post TxSt is pulling away. If MGolf holds and there could be some movement of course and TxSt performs as they usually do in OTF then I feel pretty confident a new school will be winning the Bubas Cup this year in TxSt.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1...edit#gid=0

TxState would have to do some serious face planting to avoid winning this time.

Yes, TXST should gain 15-20 points on App State in the final four sports yet completed.

Now if only Football would kick in........


Yes, we would happily settle for last place points, just to have a team.
04-25-2019 04:50 PM
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McLeansvilleAppFan Offline
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Post: #23
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
Softball regular season is done it seems.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1...edit#gid=0

The first number is for sports completed including softball regular season. 1 point is up for grabs with the conference tournament in softball. The second number includes baseball through 4 May at 6 pm.
Including baseball only changes the order for ArkSt and Troy.

Lots more details on the Google Sheets page.

Texas State 99.5 111.5
Appalachian State 97.5 105.5
UTA 91.0 102.0
South Alabama 90.5 95.0
Coastal Carolina 86.0 92.5
Arkansas State 79.5 84.0
Troy 78.5 85.0
Georgia State 78.0 79.0
Georgia Southern 64.0 73.0
Louisiana 61.0 64.0
Little Rock 51.5 61.5
ULM 48.0 50.0
Howard 1.0 1.0
05-04-2019 05:26 PM
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McLeansvilleAppFan Offline
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Post: #24
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
If one includes baseball points which is getting close to winding up the regular season there is only the softball tourney, baseball tourney and MOTF and WOTF which is 24 points points available. Of course baseball points could shuffle around some but I don't see that much movement happening in the standings. Traditionally TxSt does pretty well in OTF for both men and women so even if App State took the softball and baseball tourneys and won both OTF tourneys I still don't see TxSt finishing far enough behind in OTF to fall behind App State in Bubas Points. TxSt would need to be behind App St by two places if App won both softball and the baseball tournaments. App St is not a favorite for either tourney and TxSt generally places ahead of App St in MOTF by a good bit and that would put even more pressure on App's WOTF to place much higher than TxSt in WOTF, and that generally does not happen either. More than likely TxSt will pick up a few points over App State with OTF and the gap in points will grow for TxSt and not shrink.

About the same story with UTA and they are three points further back (though I could see UTA taking 2nd place and App dropping to 3rd place in Bubas Points at the end of the year, and in fact that is my prediction.) South Alabama and CCU are not out of it mathematically but it would take a complete disaster in OTF by TxSt to fall behind either of these schools and that would also require App and UTA to do only slightly better than TxSt. Everyone else is pretty much out of it mathematically.

I think TxSt has the cup this year which was my prediction in the other Bubas thread a week or so ago, but I feel even more so now. Here is my unofficial congratulations to CatMom and the other TxSt fans.
05-04-2019 05:44 PM
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_x_ Offline
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Post: #25
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
(05-04-2019 05:44 PM)McLeansvilleAppFan Wrote:  that would put even more pressure on App's WOTF to place much higher than TxSt in WOTF, and that generally does not happen either.

Women's track has easily been our best program since joining the Sun Belt. I don't follow track close enough to know this for sure, but I'm willing to bet we're one of the favorites to win the league in that sport.
05-06-2019 10:50 AM
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HPCAT Offline
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Post: #26
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
I am sticking with my previous prediction of TXST takes Bubas Cup by 15 points.

WOTF is actually going for a three-peat and odds are pretty strong they will achieve it.

TXST gains about 8 points in OTF and 4 in Baseball.
05-06-2019 02:40 PM
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McLeansvilleAppFan Offline
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Post: #27
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
(05-06-2019 02:40 PM)HPCAT Wrote:  I am sticking with my previous prediction of TXST takes Bubas Cup by 15 points.

WOTF is actually going for a three-peat and odds are pretty strong they will achieve it.

TXST gains about 8 points in OTF and 4 in Baseball.

I think it could it be a bigger spread than that to be honest, or it would not surprise me one bit if the spread was bigger than 15.
05-06-2019 05:51 PM
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CatMom Offline
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Post: #28
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
(05-06-2019 02:40 PM)HPCAT Wrote:  I am sticking with my previous prediction of TXST takes Bubas Cup by 15 points.

WOTF is actually going for a three-peat and odds are pretty strong they will achieve it.

TXST gains about 8 points in OTF and 4 in Baseball.
A three peat in Outdoor but they have taken several indoor and, at least, one Xcountry.

I believe in 2017/18, they took all 3.
05-07-2019 02:12 PM
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McLeansvilleAppFan Offline
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Post: #29
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
(05-07-2019 02:12 PM)CatMom Wrote:  
(05-06-2019 02:40 PM)HPCAT Wrote:  I am sticking with my previous prediction of TXST takes Bubas Cup by 15 points.

WOTF is actually going for a three-peat and odds are pretty strong they will achieve it.

TXST gains about 8 points in OTF and 4 in Baseball.
A three peat in Outdoor but they have taken several indoor and, at least, one Xcountry.

I believe in 2017/18, they took all 3.

The last two years TxSt and App have been 1-2 in WXC, and yet the spread in WITF and OTF have been much larger. I think App is not keeping pace in the shorter distances and the field events. Either way it is going to be hard for App to pick up points.
05-07-2019 07:09 PM
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FoUTASportscaster Offline
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Post: #30
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
TXST won’t win by 15. UTA is within 10 and is the Favs on the mens side, will be middle of the pack on the womens and baseball will be top half, regardless of how their tank is going.
05-07-2019 07:40 PM
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_x_ Offline
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Post: #31
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
So we'll make up points on you...

TXST probably the current faves in both WOTF and baseball and probably a top 3 MOTF team.
05-08-2019 10:30 AM
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McLeansvilleAppFan Offline
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Post: #32
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
After day one of OTF. TxSt is still leading in Bubas points.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1...edit#gid=0
05-11-2019 06:48 AM
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McLeansvilleAppFan Offline
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Post: #33
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
Now with day 2 of 3 for OTF and baseball through 11 May. If things hold TxSt will win the Bubas with over a 15 point margin, though a ton of movement can happen in the last day of OTF.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1...edit#gid=0
05-11-2019 08:22 PM
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FoUTASportscaster Offline
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Post: #34
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
Uta’s Men are always in the bottom half entering day three. The heart of the team scores points then. Women usually improve a spot or two.
05-12-2019 12:28 AM
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McLeansvilleAppFan Offline
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Post: #35
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
OTF is in the books and with that TxSt has a lead in the Bubas Cup that can not be overcome with a weekend of baseball and the baseball tournament.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1...edit#gid=0
05-12-2019 08:17 PM
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CatMom Offline
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Post: #36
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
02-13-banana02-13-bananaCOGSCOGSCOGS04-cheers
05-14-2019 01:48 AM
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USAJag2011 Offline
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Post: #37
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
Congrats TXST!!
05-14-2019 11:37 AM
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McLeansvilleAppFan Offline
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Post: #38
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
(05-14-2019 11:37 AM)USAJag2011 Wrote:  Congrats TXST!!

If App can't win the Bubas then it is nice to see a new school win the Cup, and TxSt fans on here seem nice and humble, and I appreciate that in a fan base.
05-14-2019 05:48 PM
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McLeansvilleAppFan Offline
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Post: #39
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
Now with baseball regular season complete. One point left for the baseball tournament.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1...edit#gid=0

I will offer some analysis of the points and some of the other stats I compute after the baseball tournament.

Congrats to Texas State, again.
05-18-2019 08:28 PM
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_x_ Offline
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Post: #40
RE: Bubas Cup 2018-2019
(05-07-2019 07:40 PM)FoUTASportscaster Wrote:  TXST won’t win by 15. UTA is within 10 and is the Favs on the mens side, will be middle of the pack on the womens and baseball will be top half, regardless of how their tank is going.

[Image: source.gif]
05-18-2019 08:32 PM
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