(03-09-2019 01:57 PM)usffan Wrote: Not that Wolken's an ESPN person, but it's interesting the way the AAC is starting to get friendlier treatment in the press...
USFFan
It was a nice spark for a social media discussion, but one of the biggest reasons why I think it will be difficult for the AAC to "surpass" the Big East is not only the recent on-court success of the BE, but the historical success and perceptions that the BE programs have over many of the AAC programs. To be clear, this is not to disparage programs like UConn, Cincinnati, Memphis, et al. All of the Big East programs are basketball-first institutions, each with a history of strong postseason success at various points, and sustained success (NCAA Tournament-capable) on a yearly basis. The same simply cannot be said about the American.
Eliminating the ECU/Tulane discussion, because I don't think there is any debate here, take UCF, USF, SMU and Houston. Counting (expected) bids for UCF and Houston this year, those four programs have a combined 11 tournament bids in the past 25 years. To be clear, each of the programs have invested in their programs considerably since moving to the AAC. However, the biggest hurdle for each of those programs will be whether they will be able to sustain it (not unlike what each of those programs has been able to do with football). Temple and Tulsa are a strong middle support to the league in basketball (I'm actually surprised that Tulsa has not been more consistent in the AAC). For the AAC to take the next step in men's basketball, from a perception standpoint, they need:
1) a team to make a deep run in the tournament (Houston is capable this year)
2) they need these four programs maintain their level of financial commitment/on-court success (let's assume UConn/Memphis/Cincinnati/Temple will return/remain near-top of the league)
3) UCF, USF, ECU, Tulsa and Tulane all need to increase their basketball attendance (each is below 5k for year)
4) they need a challenge with a P5 conference or the A10 (the latter only so it can separate itself with on-court success)