(07-28-2018 08:16 AM)owl at the moon Wrote: I didn’t realize Tulane had so much talent on the court and on the bench last year. Looks to me like they clearly underperformed as #9 AAC (KenPom 171) at 14-17.
Had they played in CUSA they would surely also have underperformed. Their true “comp” toss-up on a neutral court was UTSA #7 C-USA (KenPom 174) at 20-14.
So if you actually believe RPI is a valid metric... then yay, Tulane is awesome!
If you believe 20 wins is proof you’ve got a top notch national program then yay, UTSA does! And a valid- but very poorly made- point —Tulane could have had 20 wins playing in CUSA.
Truth is both teams played true mid-pack-D1 ball last year. That’s great for UTSA as they’re on a nice upswing. For what Tulane put on the floor... that’s severely underperforming no matter how you slice it. The AD can kick himself privately since they could have definitely had a winning record playing in another league. But it’s a pretty lame excuse to do so publicly.
(Kenpom.com — Check it out if you want a true measure of basketball performance on the court. And yeah USM #8 CUSA (KenPom 206) 14-16 would have been a 4-point underdog to either team, so UTSA is a better Comp)
a very basic counter to your argument, all because Tulane has talent doesnt mean everyone else n the aac didnt have talent
ecu was the only aac team without atleast 1 4star on roster...
ucf is the only top 9 aac team that hasnt made a ncaa tournament since being in the aac (and that is because tacko fall cant stay healthy, but they are the preseason favorite next year)
andy katz just released his aac preview, he literally says he wouldnt be surprised if anyone in his aac projected top 9 made the tournament, and thinks we put 5 in
tulane didnt underperform they finished where they were expected too in the playing field of the aac. which was my very point, about the disparity on level...
by all measuring sticks tulane should have finished 10th in the aac, those same measuring sticks would have had Tulane 4th or 5th in the C-usa and likely 20 wins in the cbi or cit
also ive had this dumb long debate with wichita fans last year, kenpom is unless in judging teams that are playing at different levels...kenpom is almost completely based on point differential with a slight adjustment for SOS (and the adjustment isnt that big, normally around 10pts)..good teams in bad conferences will always be over-hyped in kenpom
if people believed in kenpom gonzaga should have been a 3 seed, they were a 8 seed
according to kenpom last year Wichita should have wiped the floor with everyone in the aac with EASE, all in blowouts. we tried to tell them that you cant use kenpom ratings based around mvc blowouts as a measuring stick to how you will do in the aac (spoilers they didnt)....you wont get those kind of differentials in this league....good mid-majors love kenpom for that reason
i like ken-pom but i dont like it for judging teams that arent anywhere in the same level of play