oasispirate
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Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
by the computers? If so, what kind of damage would collectively have to do OOC to reach that point?
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01-15-2018 07:48 PM |
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HuskyU
Big East Overlord
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
Better chance in basketball.
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01-15-2018 07:50 PM |
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ShockerFever
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
I mean they have a national championship, so of course.
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01-15-2018 07:56 PM |
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Native Georgian
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
(01-15-2018 07:48 PM)oasispirate Wrote: by the computers? If so, what kind of damage would collectively have to do OOC to reach that point?
It’s not realistic, IMHO. But in order for it to maybe/possibly happen?
The conference would have to win 100% of its games — not 75% or 83% but 100% — against FCS and G4 opponents, plus any remaining games against non-Notre Dame independents like Army. And probably helpful if no more than 6 or 7 of those games were agaIsn’t FCS.
Win about 35% of its games against SEC-ACC-B1G-PAC and Big<XII.
So, 28-0 against the first group, and 7-13 against the second group. Total of 35-13. If that happened, we’d at least be in the ballpark of being ranked 4th as a league.
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01-15-2018 07:58 PM |
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rosewater
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
At a minimum, you would need 5 teams in the top 25, 3 in the top 15, 2 in the top 10 and one in the top 5. Is that possible?
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01-15-2018 08:00 PM |
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oasispirate
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
Ok so realistically what is the best case OOC record for each of our teams, and if that were to happen would it get us in the top 4
Cincy 4-0
09/01 - at UCLA
09/08 - at Miami (OH) (at Paul Brown Stadium)
09/15 - Alabama A&M
09/22 - Ohio
ECU 3-1
09/01 - North Carolina A&T
09/08 - North Carolina
09/15 - at Virginia Tech
09/29 - Old Dominion
Temple 3-1
09/01 - Villanova
09/08 - Buffalo
09/15 - at Maryland
09/29 - at Boston College
UCF 4-0
09/15 - at North Carolina
09/22 - Florida Atlantic
09/29 - Pittsburgh
TBA - South Carolina State
UCONN 3-1
09/08 - at Boise State
09/15 - Rhode Island
09/29 - at Syracuse
10/27 - UMass
USF 4-0
09/01 - Elon
09/08 - Georgia Tech
09/15 - at Illinois (at Chicago, IL)
10/06 - at UMass
Houston 4-0
09/01 - at Rice
09/08 - Arizona
09/15 - at Texas Tech
09/29 - Texas Southern
Memphis 4-0
09/01 - Mercer
09/15 - Georgia State
09/22 - South Alabama
10/20 - at Missouri
Navy 4-1
09/01 - at Hawaii
09/15 - Lehigh
10/06 - at Air Force
10/27 - Notre Dame (at San Diego, CA)
12/08 - Army (Philadelphia, PA)
SMU 2-2
9/01 - at North Texas
09/08 - TCU
09/15 - at Michigan
09/22 - Houston Baptist
Tulane 3-1
08/30 - Wake Forest
09/08 - Nicholls State
09/15 - at UAB
09/22 - at Ohio State
Tulsa 3-1
09/01 - Central Arkansas
09/08 - at Texas
09/15 - Arkansas State
10/20 - at Arkansas
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01-15-2018 08:11 PM |
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vick mike
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
(01-15-2018 08:11 PM)oasispirate Wrote: Ok so realistically what is the best case OOC record for each of our teams, and if that were to happen would it get us in the top 4
Cincy 4-0
09/01 - at UCLA
09/08 - at Miami (OH) (at Paul Brown Stadium)
09/15 - Alabama A&M
09/22 - Ohio
ECU 3-1
09/01 - North Carolina A&T
09/08 - North Carolina
09/15 - at Virginia Tech
09/29 - Old Dominion
Temple 3-1
09/01 - Villanova
09/08 - Buffalo
09/15 - at Maryland
09/29 - at Boston College
UCF 4-0
09/15 - at North Carolina
09/22 - Florida Atlantic
09/29 - Pittsburgh
TBA - South Carolina State
UCONN 3-1
09/08 - at Boise State
09/15 - Rhode Island
09/29 - at Syracuse
10/27 - UMass
USF 4-0
09/01 - Elon
09/08 - Georgia Tech
09/15 - at Illinois (at Chicago, IL)
10/06 - at UMass
Houston 4-0
09/01 - at Rice
09/08 - Arizona
09/15 - at Texas Tech
09/29 - Texas Southern
Memphis 4-0
09/01 - Mercer
09/15 - Georgia State
09/22 - South Alabama
10/20 - at Missouri
Navy 4-1
09/01 - at Hawaii
09/15 - Lehigh
10/06 - at Air Force
10/27 - Notre Dame (at San Diego, CA)
12/08 - Army (Philadelphia, PA)
SMU 2-2
9/01 - at North Texas
09/08 - TCU
09/15 - at Michigan
09/22 - Houston Baptist
Tulane 3-1
08/30 - Wake Forest
09/08 - Nicholls State
09/15 - at UAB
09/22 - at Ohio State
Tulsa 3-1
09/01 - Central Arkansas
09/08 - at Texas
09/15 - Arkansas State
10/20 - at Arkansas
Wow, Cincy in the playoff against Bama and the Buckeyes, as well as Hurricanes! Impressive!
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01-15-2018 08:47 PM |
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oasispirate
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
(01-15-2018 08:47 PM)vick mike Wrote: (01-15-2018 08:11 PM)oasispirate Wrote: Ok so realistically what is the best case OOC record for each of our teams, and if that were to happen would it get us in the top 4
Cincy 4-0
09/01 - at UCLA
09/08 - at Miami (OH) (at Paul Brown Stadium)
09/15 - Alabama A&M
09/22 - Ohio
ECU 3-1
09/01 - North Carolina A&T
09/08 - North Carolina
09/15 - at Virginia Tech
09/29 - Old Dominion
Temple 3-1
09/01 - Villanova
09/08 - Buffalo
09/15 - at Maryland
09/29 - at Boston College
UCF 4-0
09/15 - at North Carolina
09/22 - Florida Atlantic
09/29 - Pittsburgh
TBA - South Carolina State
UCONN 3-1
09/08 - at Boise State
09/15 - Rhode Island
09/29 - at Syracuse
10/27 - UMass
USF 4-0
09/01 - Elon
09/08 - Georgia Tech
09/15 - at Illinois (at Chicago, IL)
10/06 - at UMass
Houston 4-0
09/01 - at Rice
09/08 - Arizona
09/15 - at Texas Tech
09/29 - Texas Southern
Memphis 4-0
09/01 - Mercer
09/15 - Georgia State
09/22 - South Alabama
10/20 - at Missouri
Navy 4-1
09/01 - at Hawaii
09/15 - Lehigh
10/06 - at Air Force
10/27 - Notre Dame (at San Diego, CA)
12/08 - Army (Philadelphia, PA)
SMU 2-2
9/01 - at North Texas
09/08 - TCU
09/15 - at Michigan
09/22 - Houston Baptist
Tulane 3-1
08/30 - Wake Forest
09/08 - Nicholls State
09/15 - at UAB
09/22 - at Ohio State
Tulsa 3-1
09/01 - Central Arkansas
09/08 - at Texas
09/15 - Arkansas State
10/20 - at Arkansas
Wow, Cincy in the playoff against Bama and the Buckeyes, as well as Hurricanes! Impressive!
I just don't view their schedule as that difficult considering Rosen is bolting early at UCLA. Of course Chip Kelly is the X-factor there.
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01-15-2018 08:49 PM |
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mikeinoki
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
ECU fans should get a group together to cheer for UCF at UNC. You could wear UCF National Champion shirts or just wear your Pirate gear.
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01-15-2018 09:18 PM |
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Huskypride
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Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
(01-15-2018 08:11 PM)oasispirate Wrote: Ok so realistically what is the best case OOC record for each of our teams, and if that were to happen would it get us in the top 4
Cincy 4-0
09/01 - at UCLA
09/08 - at Miami (OH) (at Paul Brown Stadium)
09/15 - Alabama A&M
09/22 - Ohio
ECU 3-1
09/01 - North Carolina A&T
09/08 - North Carolina
09/15 - at Virginia Tech
09/29 - Old Dominion
Temple 3-1
09/01 - Villanova
09/08 - Buffalo
09/15 - at Maryland
09/29 - at Boston College
UCF 4-0
09/15 - at North Carolina
09/22 - Florida Atlantic
09/29 - Pittsburgh
TBA - South Carolina State
UCONN 3-1
09/08 - at Boise State
09/15 - Rhode Island
09/29 - at Syracuse
10/27 - UMass
USF 4-0
09/01 - Elon
09/08 - Georgia Tech
09/15 - at Illinois (at Chicago, IL)
10/06 - at UMass
Houston 4-0
09/01 - at Rice
09/08 - Arizona
09/15 - at Texas Tech
09/29 - Texas Southern
Memphis 4-0
09/01 - Mercer
09/15 - Georgia State
09/22 - South Alabama
10/20 - at Missouri
Navy 4-1
09/01 - at Hawaii
09/15 - Lehigh
10/06 - at Air Force
10/27 - Notre Dame (at San Diego, CA)
12/08 - Army (Philadelphia, PA)
SMU 2-2
9/01 - at North Texas
09/08 - TCU
09/15 - at Michigan
09/22 - Houston Baptist
Tulane 3-1
08/30 - Wake Forest
09/08 - Nicholls State
09/15 - at UAB
09/22 - at Ohio State
Tulsa 3-1
09/01 - Central Arkansas
09/08 - at Texas
09/15 - Arkansas State
10/20 - at Arkansas
I think we have a more realistic shot at
2-2
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01-15-2018 11:16 PM |
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Hurricane Drummer
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
(01-15-2018 08:11 PM)oasispirate Wrote: Ok so realistically what is the best case OOC record for each of our teams, and if that were to happen would it get us in the top 4
Cincy 4-0
09/01 - at UCLA
09/08 - at Miami (OH) (at Paul Brown Stadium)
09/15 - Alabama A&M
09/22 - Ohio
ECU 3-1
09/01 - North Carolina A&T
09/08 - North Carolina
09/15 - at Virginia Tech
09/29 - Old Dominion
Temple 3-1
09/01 - Villanova
09/08 - Buffalo
09/15 - at Maryland
09/29 - at Boston College
UCF 4-0
09/15 - at North Carolina
09/22 - Florida Atlantic
09/29 - Pittsburgh
TBA - South Carolina State
UCONN 3-1
09/08 - at Boise State
09/15 - Rhode Island
09/29 - at Syracuse
10/27 - UMass
USF 4-0
09/01 - Elon
09/08 - Georgia Tech
09/15 - at Illinois (at Chicago, IL)
10/06 - at UMass
Houston 4-0
09/01 - at Rice
09/08 - Arizona
09/15 - at Texas Tech
09/29 - Texas Southern
Memphis 4-0
09/01 - Mercer
09/15 - Georgia State
09/22 - South Alabama
10/20 - at Missouri
Navy 4-1
09/01 - at Hawaii
09/15 - Lehigh
10/06 - at Air Force
10/27 - Notre Dame (at San Diego, CA)
12/08 - Army (Philadelphia, PA)
SMU 2-2
9/01 - at North Texas
09/08 - TCU
09/15 - at Michigan
09/22 - Houston Baptist
Tulane 3-1
08/30 - Wake Forest
09/08 - Nicholls State
09/15 - at UAB
09/22 - at Ohio State
Tulsa 3-1
09/01 - Central Arkansas
09/08 - at Texas
09/15 - Arkansas State
10/20 - at Arkansas
Tulsa shall unleash our dreaded wrath upon the Southwest conference and the State of Arkansas!
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01-15-2018 11:30 PM |
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fanhood
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
(01-15-2018 08:49 PM)oasispirate Wrote: (01-15-2018 08:47 PM)vick mike Wrote: (01-15-2018 08:11 PM)oasispirate Wrote: Ok so realistically what is the best case OOC record for each of our teams, and if that were to happen would it get us in the top 4
Cincy 4-0
09/01 - at UCLA
09/08 - at Miami (OH) (at Paul Brown Stadium)
09/15 - Alabama A&M
09/22 - Ohio
ECU 3-1
09/01 - North Carolina A&T
09/08 - North Carolina
09/15 - at Virginia Tech
09/29 - Old Dominion
Temple 3-1
09/01 - Villanova
09/08 - Buffalo
09/15 - at Maryland
09/29 - at Boston College
UCF 4-0
09/15 - at North Carolina
09/22 - Florida Atlantic
09/29 - Pittsburgh
TBA - South Carolina State
UCONN 3-1
09/08 - at Boise State
09/15 - Rhode Island
09/29 - at Syracuse
10/27 - UMass
USF 4-0
09/01 - Elon
09/08 - Georgia Tech
09/15 - at Illinois (at Chicago, IL)
10/06 - at UMass
Houston 4-0
09/01 - at Rice
09/08 - Arizona
09/15 - at Texas Tech
09/29 - Texas Southern
Memphis 4-0
09/01 - Mercer
09/15 - Georgia State
09/22 - South Alabama
10/20 - at Missouri
Navy 4-1
09/01 - at Hawaii
09/15 - Lehigh
10/06 - at Air Force
10/27 - Notre Dame (at San Diego, CA)
12/08 - Army (Philadelphia, PA)
SMU 2-2
9/01 - at North Texas
09/08 - TCU
09/15 - at Michigan
09/22 - Houston Baptist
Tulane 3-1
08/30 - Wake Forest
09/08 - Nicholls State
09/15 - at UAB
09/22 - at Ohio State
Tulsa 3-1
09/01 - Central Arkansas
09/08 - at Texas
09/15 - Arkansas State
10/20 - at Arkansas
Wow, Cincy in the playoff against Bama and the Buckeyes, as well as Hurricanes! Impressive!
I just don't view their schedule as that difficult considering Rosen is bolting early at UCLA. Of course Chip Kelly is the X-factor there.
Mighty optimistic for a 3-9 football team. 2-2 best case scenario.
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01-16-2018 12:10 AM |
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DownEastPirate
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
(01-16-2018 12:10 AM)fanhood Wrote: (01-15-2018 08:49 PM)oasispirate Wrote: (01-15-2018 08:47 PM)vick mike Wrote: (01-15-2018 08:11 PM)oasispirate Wrote: Ok so realistically what is the best case OOC record for each of our teams, and if that were to happen would it get us in the top 4
Cincy 4-0
09/01 - at UCLA
09/08 - at Miami (OH) (at Paul Brown Stadium)
09/15 - Alabama A&M
09/22 - Ohio
ECU 3-1
09/01 - North Carolina A&T
09/08 - North Carolina
09/15 - at Virginia Tech
09/29 - Old Dominion
Temple 3-1
09/01 - Villanova
09/08 - Buffalo
09/15 - at Maryland
09/29 - at Boston College
UCF 4-0
09/15 - at North Carolina
09/22 - Florida Atlantic
09/29 - Pittsburgh
TBA - South Carolina State
UCONN 3-1
09/08 - at Boise State
09/15 - Rhode Island
09/29 - at Syracuse
10/27 - UMass
USF 4-0
09/01 - Elon
09/08 - Georgia Tech
09/15 - at Illinois (at Chicago, IL)
10/06 - at UMass
Houston 4-0
09/01 - at Rice
09/08 - Arizona
09/15 - at Texas Tech
09/29 - Texas Southern
Memphis 4-0
09/01 - Mercer
09/15 - Georgia State
09/22 - South Alabama
10/20 - at Missouri
Navy 4-1
09/01 - at Hawaii
09/15 - Lehigh
10/06 - at Air Force
10/27 - Notre Dame (at San Diego, CA)
12/08 - Army (Philadelphia, PA)
SMU 2-2
9/01 - at North Texas
09/08 - TCU
09/15 - at Michigan
09/22 - Houston Baptist
Tulane 3-1
08/30 - Wake Forest
09/08 - Nicholls State
09/15 - at UAB
09/22 - at Ohio State
Tulsa 3-1
09/01 - Central Arkansas
09/08 - at Texas
09/15 - Arkansas State
10/20 - at Arkansas
Wow, Cincy in the playoff against Bama and the Buckeyes, as well as Hurricanes! Impressive!
I just don't view their schedule as that difficult considering Rosen is bolting early at UCLA. Of course Chip Kelly is the X-factor there.
Mighty optimistic for a 3-9 football team. 2-2 best case scenario.
You seem mighty cocky for a football team that won 10 games last year and still only had 3 more top 25 votes than a 3-9 football team.
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01-16-2018 09:20 AM |
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Chappy
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
(01-15-2018 09:18 PM)mikeinoki Wrote: ECU fans should get a group together to cheer for UCF at UNC. You could wear UCF National Champion shirts or just wear your Pirate gear.
If we don't have a home game that day I'll go!
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01-16-2018 09:25 AM |
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Chappy
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
(01-15-2018 08:11 PM)oasispirate Wrote: Ok so realistically what is the best case OOC record for each of our teams, and if that were to happen would it get us in the top 4
Cincy 4-0
09/01 - at UCLA
09/08 - at Miami (OH) (at Paul Brown Stadium)
09/15 - Alabama A&M
09/22 - Ohio
ECU 3-1
09/01 - North Carolina A&T
09/08 - North Carolina
09/15 - at Virginia Tech
09/29 - Old Dominion
Temple 3-1
09/01 - Villanova
09/08 - Buffalo
09/15 - at Maryland
09/29 - at Boston College
UCF 4-0
09/15 - at North Carolina
09/22 - Florida Atlantic
09/29 - Pittsburgh
TBA - South Carolina State
UCONN 3-1
09/08 - at Boise State
09/15 - Rhode Island
09/29 - at Syracuse
10/27 - UMass
USF 4-0
09/01 - Elon
09/08 - Georgia Tech
09/15 - at Illinois (at Chicago, IL)
10/06 - at UMass
Houston 4-0
09/01 - at Rice
09/08 - Arizona
09/15 - at Texas Tech
09/29 - Texas Southern
Memphis 4-0
09/01 - Mercer
09/15 - Georgia State
09/22 - South Alabama
10/20 - at Missouri
Navy 4-1
09/01 - at Hawaii
09/15 - Lehigh
10/06 - at Air Force
10/27 - Notre Dame (at San Diego, CA)
12/08 - Army (Philadelphia, PA)
SMU 2-2
9/01 - at North Texas
09/08 - TCU
09/15 - at Michigan
09/22 - Houston Baptist
Tulane 3-1
08/30 - Wake Forest
09/08 - Nicholls State
09/15 - at UAB
09/22 - at Ohio State
Tulsa 3-1
09/01 - Central Arkansas
09/08 - at Texas
09/15 - Arkansas State
10/20 - at Arkansas
I'd say if we do that well OOC collectively, we might be the #1 conference.
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01-16-2018 09:38 AM |
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geosnooker2000
I got Cleopatra in the basement
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
That would be 49-8. That would be Killer.
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01-16-2018 10:19 AM |
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fanhood
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
Since we are doing ridiculously way too early predictions. I will play. Keep in mind, this is early, and we have no idea which Freshman are going to play, JC transfer etc.
Cincy 2-2
09/01 - at UCLA - L
09/08 - at Miami (OH) (at Paul Brown Stadium) - W
09/15 - Alabama A&M - W
09/22 - Ohio - L
ECU 2-2
09/01 - North Carolina A&T - W
09/08 - North Carolina - L
09/15 - at Virginia Tech - L
09/29 - Old Dominion - W
Temple 2-2
09/01 - Villanova - W
09/08 - Buffalo - W
09/15 - at Maryland - L
09/29 - at Boston College - L
UCF 4-0
09/15 - at North Carolina - W
09/22 - Florida Atlantic - W
09/29 - Pittsburgh - W
TBA - South Carolina State - W
UCONN 1-3
09/08 - at Boise State - L
09/15 - Rhode Island - W
09/29 - at Syracuse - L
10/27 - Mass - L
USF 2-2
09/01 - Elon - W
09/08 - Georgia Tech - L
09/15 - at Illinois (at Chicago, IL) - W
10/06 - at Mass - L
Houston 3-1
09/01 - at Rice - W
09/08 - Arizona - W
09/15 - at Texas Tech - L
09/29 - Texas Southern - W
Memphis 3-1
09/01 - Mercer - W
09/15 - Georgia State - W
09/22 - South Alabama - W
10/20 - at Missouri - L
Navy 3-2
09/01 - at Hawaii - W
09/15 - Lehigh - W
10/06 - at Air Force - W
10/27 - Notre Dame (at San Diego, CA) - L
12/08 - Army (Philadelphia, PA) - L
SMU 2-2
9/01 - at North Texas - L
09/08 - TCU - L
09/15 - at Michigan - L
09/22 - Houston Baptist - W
Tulane 2-2
08/30 - Wake Forest - L
09/08 - Nicholls State - W
09/15 - at UAB - W
09/22 - at Ohio State - L
Tulsa 2-2
09/01 - Central Arkansas - W
09/08 - at Texas - L
09/15 - Arkansas State - W
10/20 - at Arkansas - L
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01-16-2018 10:47 AM |
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STL_Wave
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
(01-16-2018 10:19 AM)geosnooker2000 Wrote: That would be 49-8. That would be Killer.
This year the SEC went 49-15 and ended with the 2nd highest winning % OOC. Here are the the top 7:
Big 10 39-11 0.755563
SEC 49-15 0.691916
ACC 43-21 0.636098
Big 12 25-13 0.629234
Pac-12 29-16 0.606341
American 29-22 0.522624
MWC 24-31 0.408332
So to answer the OP, we'd have to have a winning % somewhere around 63%, going something like 35/36 - 22/21.
Sweeping FCS gets us 12 (SEC and ACC both had 13 FCS wins this year!). 17 more games against G5+UMASS+Army. We gotta win at least 14 of those. That leaves:
Cincy@UCLA
UNC@ECU
ECU@VT
Temple@MD
Temple@BC
UCF@UNC
Pitt@UCF
UCONN@Syracuse
GT@USF
USF@Illinois
ZONA@Houston
Memphis@Mizzou
ND v Navy
TCU@SMU
SMU@Michigan
Wake @ Tulane
Tulane @ Ohio State
Tulsa @ Texas
Tulsa @ Arkansas.
I see maybe 5-7 wins there, at best. We need at least 9.
So would it be possible? Sure. Go undefeated against FCS, 14-3 against G5/UMASS/Army, and 9-10 against P5/ND.
That gets us to 35-22. That would be essentially the same results Big12 had this year.
(This post was last modified: 01-16-2018 10:55 AM by STL_Wave.)
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01-16-2018 10:52 AM |
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HuskyU
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Joined: Jan 2014
Reputation: 1182
I Root For: UCONN
Location: The Big East
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
UCONN
09/08 - at Smurfs - W
09/15 - Rhode Island - W
09/29 - at Sryxcuse - W
10/27 - UMass - L
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01-16-2018 11:24 AM |
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fanhood
All American
Posts: 2,593
Joined: Dec 2015
Reputation: 71
I Root For: San Diego State
Location:
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RE: Is it realistic for the AAC to rate as a top 4 conference in football
(01-16-2018 11:24 AM)HuskyU Wrote: UCONN
09/08 - at Smurfs - W
09/15 - Rhode Island - W
09/29 - at Sryxcuse - W
10/27 - UMass - L
I am impressed, that you recognize UMASS is going to be good this coming year. Lot coming back.
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01-16-2018 11:34 AM |
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