(11-25-2017 02:36 PM)usm99 Wrote:  With the way games are playing out I could see 82-84 bowl eligible teams possibly assuming Georgia Tech gets a waiver due to having a game cancelled. If so there could be multiple CUSA bowl eligible teams staying home. Here’s the current CUSA win totals:

FAU - 8
UNT - 9 (reg season complete)
UAB - 8 (reg season complete)
USM - 7
Marshall - 7
FIU - 7
WKU - 6 (regular season complete)
UTSA - 6 (plays La Tech)
ODU - 5 (plays MT)
MT - 5 (plays ODU)
La Tech - 5 (plays UTSA)

UNT won and FAU leads 31-12 after 3 so it should giveus a battle of 9-3 teams for the CUSA CG.

(11-25-2017 03:33 PM)usm99 Wrote:  Updated after Friday early games
73 teams now bowl eligible with at least 3 more today due to head to head 5-6 matchups


Friday: (all times central)
12:00 pm - Buffalo (5-6) host Ohio (8-3) - Buffalo won (#71)
7:00 pm - Texas Tech (5-6) at Texas (6-5) - Texas Tech won (#72)
9:30 pm - Cal (5-6) at UCLA (5-6) - UCLA won (#73)

Saturday:
11:00 am - Georgia Tech (5-5) host Georgia (10-1) - GT lost but could get a waiver
11:00 am - Florida St (4-6) at Florida (4-6) - Florida lost but FSU should get eligible next week vs UL Monroe
11:00 am - Indiana (5-6) at Purdue (5-6) - Purdue won (#74)
11:00 am - Tulane (5-6) at SMU (6-5) - Tulane lost
11:30 am - Duke (5-6) at Wake Forest (7-4) - Duke won (#75)
2:00 pm - ODU (5-6) at Middle Tennessee (5-6)
2:00 pm - UL Monroe (4-6) host Arkansas St (6-3)
2:00 pm - UNLV (5-6) at Nevada (2-9)
2:30 pm - Minnesota (5-6) host Wisconsin (11-0)
3:00 pm - Temple (5-6) at Tulsa (2-9)
3:00 pm - New Mexico St (4-6) host Idaho (3-7)
4:00 pm - UL Lafayette (5-5) host Georgia Southern (1-9)
6:30 pm - La Tech (5-6) host UTSA (6-4)
9:00 pm - Colorado (5-6) at Utah (5-6)

**Georgia Tech and Florida both only play 11 games.
** Florida St, UL Monroe, UL Lafayette and New Mexico St all play game #12 next week

UL Monroe losing
UNLV losing
Minnesota losing
UL Lafayette losing 14-0 after 1
Temple up big

Granted they all couldn’t lose but still getting help to get max teams in a bowl game

Nevada beats UNLV 23-16. Wisconsin has the TKO decision on Minnesota.

77 teams guaranteed to be eligible. 7 other teams still in the running with 83 maximum that can become eligible.

(11-25-2017 03:52 PM)usm99 Wrote:  

(11-25-2017 03:40 PM)Cyniclone Wrote:  But a waiver won't do Georgia Tech any good if there's enough teams to fill the 78 spots, which seems exceedingly likely, right? Because the six-win teams must be selected before the five-win teams. Or would a waiver also waive that requirement and allow GT to be treated like a six-win team?

My assumption would be the waiver allows them to be treated as a 6 win team but hopefully I’m wrong

Since 6-7 teams that play and lose a conference championship game have to wait behind all 6-6 and better teams, 5-6 teams should be no different.

UL Monroe lost
Temple up 17 to start 4th
UL Lafayette down 17-7 to start the 2nd half

ULM eliminated 67-50 by Arkansas State. 77 guaranteed, 6 more still possible.

ULL now down 24-7 to Georgia Southern. Not a must-win for the Cajuns, but it would force a win at Appy State next week.

(11-25-2017 06:47 PM)FriscoDawg Wrote:  ULM eliminated 67-50 by Arkansas State. 77 guaranteed, 6 more still possible.

If only UL Monroe could somehow win at Florida St next weekend

How is GA Southern world beaters all of a sudden?

NMSU beats Idaho 17-10 to survive for another week. Aggies host South Alabama next week.

Temple will beat Tulsa, and that shuts out all 5-7 teams with at least 78 6-win teams eligible.

(11-25-2017 06:52 PM)eaglebeaver Wrote:  How is GA Southern world beaters all of a sudden?

ULL probably crushed to find out that the New Orleans Bowl wants no part of them this year.

77 teams now bowl eligible with at least 1 more today due to head to head 5-6 matchup


Friday: (all times central)
12:00 pm - Buffalo (5-6) host Ohio (8-3) - Buffalo won (#71)
7:00 pm - Texas Tech (5-6) at Texas (6-5) - Texas Tech won (#72)
9:30 pm - Cal (5-6) at UCLA (5-6) - UCLA won (#73)

Saturday:
11:00 am - Georgia Tech (5-5) host Georgia (10-1) - GT lost but could get a waiver
11:00 am - Florida St (4-6) at Florida (4-6) - Florida lost but FSU should get eligible next week vs UL Monroe
11:00 am - Indiana (5-6) at Purdue (5-6) - Purdue won (#74)
11:00 am - Tulane (5-6) at SMU (6-5) - Tulane lost
11:30 am - Duke (5-6) at Wake Forest (7-4) - Duke won (#75)
2:00 pm - ODU (5-6) at Middle Tennessee (5-6) - MT won (76)
2:00 pm - UL Monroe (4-6) host Arkansas St (6-3) - UL Monroe lost
2:00 pm - UNLV (5-6) at Nevada (2-9) - UNLV lost
2:30 pm - Minnesota (5-6) host Wisconsin (11-0) - Minnesota lost
3:00 pm - Temple (5-6) at Tulsa (2-9) - Temple won (#77)
3:00 pm - New Mexico St (4-6) host Idaho (3-7) - New Mexico St won
4:00 pm - UL Lafayette (5-5) host Georgia Southern (1-9) - ULL lost
6:30 pm - La Tech (5-6) host UTSA (6-4)
9:00 pm - Colorado (5-6) at Utah (5-6) - winner will be #78 at worst

**Georgia Tech and Florida both only play 11 games.
** Florida St, UL Monroe, UL Lafayette and New Mexico St all play game #12 next week

Week 14
FSU (5-6) host UL Monroe (4-7)
UL Lafayette (5-6) at Appalachian St (7-4)
New Mexico St (5-6) host South Alabama (4-7)

UL Lafayette scores with 11:00 left in 4th and now trail 34-24

Final in Lafayette

Georgia Southern 34 ULL 24

ULL still alive but now not projected to qualify.

78 teams will be qualified after the Colorado at Utah game, and 81 are projected to qualify.

Louisiana Tech projected to qualify and up 7-0 after the 1st. Florida State and New Mexico State are projected to win next week. ULL is projected to lose next week.

At most there’ll be 82 bowl eligible teams and a minimum of 78.

In no particular order
78 - winner of Colorado vs Utah tonight
79 - La Tech if they win tonight
80 - Florida St if they beat UL Monroe (4-7) next week
81 - UL Lafayette if they win at 7-4 Appalachian St next week
82 - New Mexico St if they win at home vs South Alabama (4-7) next week

With P5 teams getting preferential treatment, here’s the 6 win teams or teams that can reach 6 wins from G5 conferences that will be fighting for the final few spots as there’s projected to be 81 teams for 78 spots. In other words, at least 3 of these teams won’t be in a bowl game.

AAC - 5 teams with 7+ wins
Navy (6-5) - plays Army in 2 weeks
Temple (6-6)

CUSA - 6 teams with 7+ wins
UTSA (6-4) - playing La Tech now
MT (6-6)
WKU (6-6)
La Tech (5-6) - playing UTSA now

MAC - 5 teams with 7+ wins
Buffalo (6-6)
Western Michigan (6-6)

MWC - 5 teams with 7+ wins
Utah St (6-5) - plays Air Force tonight

Sun Belt - 3 teams with 7+ wins
Georgia St (6-4)
ULL (5-6)
New Mexico St (5-6)

More important than records is to look at conference bowl tie-ins compared to eligible teams.

AAC has 7 eligible teams, 7 primary tie-ins, and likely gets the Access spot. One AAC spot likely needs a team.

MAC has 7 eligible teams, 5 primary tie-ins, and secondary tie-ins in Boca (doesn't help C-USA) and Detroit. One eligible MAC team might get left out.

MWC has 6 eligible teams and 5 primary tie-ins. Wyoming didn't help its cause to fill a replacement spot by losing to San Jose State, but probably all 6 teams find a spot.

SBC has 5 projected eligible teams if NMSU qualifies and ULL doesn't. It also has 5 primary tie-ins.

If 81 teams qualify, I think C-USA would get 8 of 10 teams in and the MAC would get 6 of 7.

(11-25-2017 10:03 PM)FriscoDawg Wrote:  More important than records is to look at conference bowl tie-ins compared to eligible teams.

AAC has 7 eligible teams, 7 primary tie-ins, and likely gets the Access spot. One AAC spot likely needs a team.

MAC has 7 eligible teams, 5 primary tie-ins, and secondary tie-ins in Boca (doesn't help C-USA) and Detroit. One eligible MAC team might get left out.

MWC has 6 eligible teams and 5 primary tie-ins. Wyoming didn't help its cause to fill a replacement spot by losing to San Jose State, but probably all 6 teams find a spot.

SBC has 5 projected eligible teams if NMSU qualifies and ULL doesn't. It also has 5 primary tie-ins.

If 81 teams qualify, I think C-USA would get 8 of 10 teams in and the MAC would get 6 of 7.

Agreed on your breakdown. With La Tech about to wrap up win #6 for them which would give CUSA 10 teams with 6 wins, I’m afraid 2 cusa teams will be left out

There are now 79 teams bowl eligible with the possibility of up to 3 more next weekend


Friday: (all times central)
12:00 pm - Buffalo (5-6) host Ohio (8-3) - Buffalo won (#71)
7:00 pm - Texas Tech (5-6) at Texas (6-5) - Texas Tech won (#72)
9:30 pm - Cal (5-6) at UCLA (5-6) - UCLA won (#73)

Saturday:
11:00 am - Georgia Tech (5-5) host Georgia (10-1) - GT lost but could get a waiver
11:00 am - Florida St (4-6) at Florida (4-6) - Florida lost but FSU should get eligible next week vs UL Monroe
11:00 am - Indiana (5-6) at Purdue (5-6) - Purdue won (#74)
11:00 am - Tulane (5-6) at SMU (6-5) - Tulane lost
11:30 am - Duke (5-6) at Wake Forest (7-4) - Duke won (#75)
2:00 pm - ODU (5-6) at Middle Tennessee (5-6) - MT won (76)
2:00 pm - UL Monroe (4-6) host Arkansas St (6-3) - UL Monroe lost
2:00 pm - UNLV (5-6) at Nevada (2-9) - UNLV lost
2:30 pm - Minnesota (5-6) host Wisconsin (11-0) - Minnesota lost
3:00 pm - Temple (5-6) at Tulsa (2-9) - Temple won (#77)
3:00 pm - New Mexico St (4-6) host Idaho (3-7) - New Mexico St won
4:00 pm - UL Lafayette (5-5) host Georgia Southern (1-9) - ULL lost
6:30 pm - La Tech (5-6) host UTSA (6-4) - La Tech won (#78)
9:00 pm - Colorado (5-6) at Utah (5-6) - Utah won (#79)

**Georgia Tech and Florida both only play 11 games.

Week 14
FSU (5-6) host UL Monroe (4-7)
UL Lafayette (5-6) at Appalachian St (7-4)
New Mexico St (5-6) host South Alabama (4-7)

If only 80 teams qualify, I think C-USA might get that 9th team in. I just don't see a way that all 10 C-USA teams make it in.

(11-25-2017 11:19 PM)FriscoDawg Wrote:  If only 80 teams qualify, I think C-USA might get that 9th team in. I just don't see a way that all 10 C-USA teams make it in.

Got a $1000 who that 10th team will be.