(03-02-2017 05:25 PM)TerryD Wrote: ND is leading Duke, Louisville, FSU and UVA in the conference standings(and equal in overall record) and is second in the ACC, but is currently projected as a fifth seed.............
The season isn't over yet, and the teams you mentioned may have movement, especially if ND beats UofL on Saturday. The committee will of course be looking at full resumes, and non-conference play is more than 40% of the schedule.
For comparison out of conference:
Louisville: 12-1, RPI #2, #7 SOS, loss to Baylor, wins over Kentucky, Purdue, Wichita St, Indiana. 2 wins vs sub-200 RPI teams.
Duke: 12-1, RPI #12, #77 SOS, loss to Kansas, wins over Florida, Michigan St, Rhode Island, Penn St. 4 wins vs sub-200 RPI teams.
Florida St 12-1, RPI #24, #106 SOS, loss to Temple, wins over Florida, Minnesota, Illinois, Winthrop. 5 wins vs sub-200 RPI teams.
Notre Dame: 11-2, RPI #56, #182 SOS, losses to Villanova & Purdue, wins over Northwestern & Iowa. 7 wins vs sub-200 RPI teams.
This was the smartest non-conference scheduling UofL has had recently. They did play 4 ranked opponents, but Pitino also said even with home buy games, they tried to schedule teams that finished near the top of 1 bid leagues last year and had at least 3 starters returning. It worked as 10 of the 13 opponents finished at least .500 in their conference. Nearly half the schedule for UofL was home games vs teams ranked #101-200. For top teams, your odds of a win at home are only slightly lower for those opponents compared to teams rated #200-351, but the SOS hit is much less. I hope they continue that approach.
Just look at the difference that can make, even when scheduling HBCU's. UofL played #133 Texas Southern, who leads the SWAC. No big hit to the SOS. Notre Dame alternatively played NC A&T, who is 1-28 out of the MEAC. They are #350 of 351 D1 schools. It really makes a SOS difference.