(09-22-2015 07:25 AM)AllTideUp Wrote: (09-21-2015 08:24 PM)JRsec Wrote: (09-21-2015 06:47 PM)AllTideUp Wrote: Did Mizzou get turned down by the Big Ten? Probably. However, it was likely because Nebraska was on the table and the league wasn't moving past 12 at the time. I mean, mercy, the league took Rutgers only a couple of years later.
The odds of Mizzou getting turned down in a vacuum are very low. You don't think the B1G would like to have them on board right now in a perfect world? Of course they would.
Despite that, Mizzou chose the SEC as a very sensible option. Choosing them over the Big 12? Of course, but if Mizzou really wanted the Big Ten that badly then they could have just waited. Would a few more years in the Big 12 have been so bad if that patience would have led to the alleged academic bump from B1G membership? These moves aren't made with short term goals in mind.
Mizzou chose the SEC because the offer was on the table and it was a good offer, thus they took it.
The Big 10 didn't want Missouri because they wanted Eastern expansion and the markets they would bring for the BTN. The Big 10 already had penetration into the Missouri market and compared to Maryland and New Jersey they didn't add enough eyeballs. And at the time the Big 10 thought that they would be able to crack into Virginia and North Carolina. The SEC got Texas A&M when a bigger move of Big 12 names to the ACC was stopped by the Carolina block. The SEC was poised to get Virginia Tech and N.C. State. ESPN helped the SEC land A&M and Missouri instead. A&M alone made up for not landing the North Carolina and Virginia markets which are nevertheless still out there, albeit that they look much less likely now. Missouri was good leave by the Big 10 which got what they wanted, and a nice get for the SEC because of it. But the ACC issue still has both the SEC and Big 10 looking east, only now it also has both jockeying for position should they have to go West again.
I get what you're saying and I do agree that Mizzou was more valuable to the SEC than the Big Ten. However, I do think they are still attractive to the Big Ten in the right circumstance just as FSU, Clemson, or Georgia Tech would be attractive to the SEC despite not adding any new markets.
If the Big Ten moves to 16, 18, or even 20 then Mizzou would have fit nicely under any circumstance. The timing wasn't right and I understand Rutgers helped get more eyeballs in NY/NJ, but I can't buy that the B1G gave a permanent, unequivocal "No" to Mizzou. I just don't see the evidence of that.
The CIC, while a nice organization that provides benefit, still only adds new members when the Big Ten first expands athletically. To me at least, that doesn't sound like an organization that makes or breaks an institution and could lead that institution to the promised land, so to speak. I can't imagine the academicians would be terribly pleased with requiring athletic affiliation in order to qualify for academic inclusion in the group unless, of course, the relative impact was minor and was far outpaced by other sorts of academic partnerships.
I think Mizzou, in part, also chose the SEC because of the demographic trends in the Sun Belt region. Missouri was one of the few states to lose population after the last census. Fifty years from now, this could be a very different country and it's always best to think long term.
At the time, and probably still, Missouri leaders wanted the B1G. It is and always has been apparent, dating back to the 80's. The Big 12 was a hot mess, still is. The only thing we knew was that we wanted out.
Now, from here it is just semi-informed speculation.
When the B1G was considering adding a 12th, they did a study. Pretty much it was the same ones that are always in the conversation. Syracuse, Pitt, Rutgers, Maryland, Missouri, Nebraska, Kansas, Notre Dame.
Anyways, at the time, there were some talks that Penn State might leap to the ACC if they didn't get an eastern partner (but definitely not Pitt). Delany has always made it apparent that he wanted the NYC area market.
Being from New Jersey, there is a good chance he had some sort of personal goal to get Rutgers in.
As for the Western front, and this is only speculation, the whispers were that Illinois and 2 others were on board and pushing for Missouri over Nebraska knowing that Nebraska was in trouble with their AAU standing, provided Notre Dame turned them down again. A few people I know have said that Delany strongarmed the conference into taking Nebraska instead of Missouri. Apparently some weren't very happy about it.
Either way, they take Nebraska, and Missouri is kind of left out in the cold. We were screwed from going back to the Big 12, because of all the public declarations that we were "shopping around".
SEC was not really on the radar until the last minute, in which we got a great deal and would have been stupid not to take. Equal revenue sharing, no junior membership, no Texas.
But there is no doubt that the B1G was our first choice....by a long ways. SEC just happened to provide us with a solid out after we ostracized ourselves from the Big 12. Delany probably assumed that we would still be there in a few years sitting in the Big 12...which turned out to be a mistake. But no one saw the SEC as an option until it happened.