(02-09-2015 03:50 PM)monarchoptimist Wrote: Marshall being left out last year had much more to do with who they played out of conference than in.
46.23 = Marshall Sagarin OoC Opponents
55.00 = Marshall Sagarin All Opponents
58.84 = ECU Sagarin All Opponents
59.81 = Marshall Sagarin All Opponents EXCEPT Sub UofL for Rhode Is
61.19 = Marshall Sagarin All Opponents EXCEPT Sub ECU OoC instead
62.69 = Marshall Sagarin All Opponents EXCEPT Sub Boise OoC instead
66.49 = Boise Sagarin All Opponents
Too often we get into this thing where we think it's one not both. The numbers suggest the greatest area of opportunity for improvement for Marshall is, indeed, out-of-conference.
BUT.
Big but.
Even had Marshall played Louisville instead of URI... played midseason front runner ECU's OOC instead... even Boise's same OOC... Marshall still would have come up short in, at least, this fairly well-regarded, objective measure (Sagarin)... ie, Boise's regular season SOS still would have bested the Herd by a considerable number.
Shouldn't surprise... we're talking about 2/3 of the schedule in comparison to 1/3 of the schedule.
So, yeah, not one or the other, but
both.