RE: If the SEC did expand again...
I did some thinking on TCU and Baylor being snubbed by the CFP committee over the weekend and then I realized that, regardless of whether they belonged in the top 4 or not, both have essentially enhanced their argument to be taken by another conference.
- Both are located in a fertile state for football purposes
- Both have been able to utilize the advantages being in a conference that gave them the best ability to compete to their benefit
I think the ACC, if they're not looking at the two of them, should start soon. TCU and Baylor fit the profile of the conference with schools such as Duke, Pitt, BC, Syracuse, Wake, GT and Miami. Both get the ACC into the central Texas and DFW areas. Finally, the ACC wouldn't need to offer a partial deal in order to get into a huge football recruiting state with programs already in a P5 conference.
With TCU and Baylor taken care of, the math becomes much easier for the B12 to disband. Texas can now include Kansas in a four-school, as both are familiar with each and would not want to separate. The PAC becomes the more likely destination for the two of them, taking Oklahoma and Texas Tech along for the ride. The PAC gets the major pieces in the deal, with only Tech as a hanger-on.
Oklahoma State becomes the SEC representative in that state, with West Virginia to fill the #16 spot and access to the D.C. market.
The Big 10 would have to go East and the most likely place to go is Virginia Tech as Virginia would not budge. So it's Virginia Tech and UConn to the B1G. It also fulfills the motto of Delany of being in two regions at the same time, which he reinforced in his press conference today at Madison Square Garden. The ACC fills in with either Cincinnati or Iowa State (probably take Cincinnati, Iowa State and Kansas State to account for all the remaining B12 schools).
UT, OU, TT, KU
AZ, ASU, CO, UU
Cal, Stanford, USC, UCLA
WSU, UO, OSU, UW
NE, IA, MN, WI
IL, MSU, NU, IN
MI, OSU, PU, RU
CT, PSU, VT, UMD
TAMU, LSU, AR, OSU
MO, KY, VU, UT
MS, MSU, AL, AU
GA, FL, SC, WV
TCU, BU, FSU, Miami
GT, Clemson, NCSU, WF
Duke, UNC, UVA, Louisville
Pitt, Cincinnati, Syracuse, BC
or
TCU, Baylor, Florida State, Miami, Georgia Tech, Clemson
NC State, Wake Forest, Louisville, UNC, Duke, Virginia
Kansas State, Iowa State, Cincinnati, Pitt, Syracuse, BC
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