Hello There, Guest! (LoginRegister)

Post Reply 
Realistic Playoff Chances
Author Message
Bookmark and Share
DoubleDDuke Offline
Heisman
*

Posts: 5,616
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 12
I Root For: James Madison
Location:
Post: #21
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
One week at a time is for players and coaches. As fans, we can go out as many weeks as we want. We're pretty much meaningless as far as what happens on the field so I never understand why people on a message board try to reign people in with the 'one week at a time' cliche'.
10-19-2014 10:08 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Oldduke Offline
Special Teams
*

Posts: 627
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 6
I Root For: JMU Dukes!
Location:
Post: #22
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
(10-19-2014 10:08 AM)DoubleDDuke Wrote:  One week at a time is for players and coaches. As fans, we can go out as many weeks as we want. We're pretty much meaningless as far as what happens on the field so I never understand why people on a message board try to reign people in with the 'one week at a time' cliche'.

This from DD ... I knew it would be just a matter of time before someone would try and say we should not be looking ahead. I tried to pre-empt that comment with this in my original post ...

"So, first and foremost, JMU obviously needs to run the table and not lose any more games. A tall task, but it is doable."

Like you say, this is just for us to waste our time with ... if anything said here impacts the actual play on the field, then we have much bigger issues to deal with.
10-19-2014 10:52 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
JMUDukes1750 Online
Special Teams
*

Posts: 650
Joined: Mar 2013
Reputation: 7
I Root For: James Madison
Location:
Post: #23
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
8-4 we are in. Many teams scheduled themselves out of the playoffs by playing non D1 teams or multiple FBS teams. JMU having 8 DI wins will hold up against a 9 win team with 2 non-D1 wins.

As for JMU getting to 8 wins, I think is doable, but I feel they will need to win the next 3 games to do it. I don't want to have to go to Richmond without a buffer. Also, I more worried about the Stony Brook game instead of W&M. W&M struggles at Bridgeforth.
10-19-2014 11:35 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
FreshDad Offline
Bench Warmer
*

Posts: 124
Joined: Apr 2014
Reputation: 1
I Root For: JMU
Location:
Post: #24
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
Let's just hope that the 'Juice' we saw at the Towson game continues flowing for the next 5 weeks ... 02-13-banana
10-19-2014 11:53 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
BleedingPurple Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 12,367
Joined: Mar 2013
Reputation: 100
I Root For: JMU
Location: Amherst County, VA
Post: #25
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
(10-19-2014 10:52 AM)Oldduke Wrote:  
(10-19-2014 10:08 AM)DoubleDDuke Wrote:  One week at a time is for players and coaches. As fans, we can go out as many weeks as we want. We're pretty much meaningless as far as what happens on the field so I never understand why people on a message board try to reign people in with the 'one week at a time' cliche'.

This from DD ... I knew it would be just a matter of time before someone would try and say we should not be looking ahead. I tried to pre-empt that comment with this in my original post ...

"So, first and foremost, JMU obviously needs to run the table and not lose any more games. A tall task, but it is doable."

Like you say, this is just for us to waste our time with ... if anything said here impacts the actual play on the field, then we have much bigger issues to deal with.

I got your back on this one. All of it.
10-19-2014 02:19 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Oldduke Offline
Special Teams
*

Posts: 627
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 6
I Root For: JMU Dukes!
Location:
Post: #26
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
http://www.sportsnetwork.com/merge/tsnfo...id=4732137

In the FCS Huddle: CAA may be too good for itself

By Craig Haley, FCS Executive Director/Senior Editor

Philadelphia, PA (SportsNetwork.com) - On the surface, CAA Football appears to be in terrific shape for having FCS playoff teams next month.

Four of the teams have at least five wins and another four have at least four wins, making it the strongest conference outside the Missouri Valley Football Conference.

But too much of a good thing can catch up to a top FCS conference. The Missouri Valley learned the hard way last season when only two of its teams qualified for the playoffs (although North Dakota State went on to capture its third straight national title). Too many possible playoff squads had their resumes collapse in November.

Over the final five weekends of this year's regular season, the CAA must hope its teams don't do the same as the Missouri Valley did last year, when they knocked each other off in the wrong combination of results. If it happens in the deep CAA, the conference could go from having four or five qualifiers (if the playoffs began today) to only two come Nov. 23.

Fifth-ranked Villanova (6-1, 4-0) and third-ranked New Hampshire (5-1, 3-0) have been the most outstanding of the CAA teams and are the surest bets for playoff berths.

From there, it's anybody guess.

Two results on Saturday were particularly damaging to the CAA's playoff cause. Delaware (4-3, 2-1) and William & Mary (4-3, 1-2) both let a fourth-quarter lead slip away at home and lost a conference game. Delaware's defeat was worse considering it occurred against a Towson team that was 2-5 and already out of the playoff picture.

Delaware visits William & Mary next weekend so the loser will sink even further.

There's also five-win teams in Richmond and Albany, and high-scoring James Madison and defensive-dominant Stony Brook are surging but come from far off the pace. Any analysis of these teams' remaining schedules creates great pause because of their toughness.

Anything short of eight wins may not be enough for an at-large bid. It won't be easy for most of the teams to get there, and only one will receive the CAA's automatic bid to the playoffs.
10-19-2014 04:33 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Oldduke Offline
Special Teams
*

Posts: 627
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 6
I Root For: JMU Dukes!
Location:
Post: #27
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
Same source as above .... his projected playoff field ....

PLAYOFF FIELD

Looking at where teams may stand in a projected playoff bracket on Nov. 23, and not based on current records or conference standings:

Southern Illinois/Montana State winner at No. 1 seed North Dakota State

Jacksonville/Fordham winner at No. 8 seed Illinois State

RU/Chattanooga winner at No. 5 seed Jacksonville State

Bethune-Cookman/James Madison winner at No. 4 seed New Hampshire

North Carolina A&T/Liberty winner at No. 6 seed Coastal Carolina

Sacred Heart/Youngstown State winner at No. 3 seed Villanova

McNeese State/Montana winner at No. 7 seed Southeastern Louisiana

Eastern Kentucky/South Dakota State winner at No. 2 seed Eastern Washington
10-19-2014 04:34 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Potomac Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 12,732
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 59
I Root For: James Madison
Location:
Post: #28
Realistic Playoff Chances
He's a moron if he thinks the 2nd ranked Fcs conference is only getting two teams at minimum in. The CAA will get the top four teams in, regardless of their total wins.
He also has Liberty in the field. Lol
(This post was last modified: 10-19-2014 05:17 PM by Potomac.)
10-19-2014 05:14 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
BleedingPurple Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 12,367
Joined: Mar 2013
Reputation: 100
I Root For: JMU
Location: Amherst County, VA
Post: #29
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
So, in that match-up we will be on track to play RU in the 3rd round and NDSU in the Championship. Furthermore, if we'll get off our butt, we need to be preparing our bid for the 1st and 3rd round against Bethune-Cookman and that D-III school over in Richmond. UNH will be at home throughout with a #4 seeding, making our 2nd round bid meaningless. Don't bids have to be submitted before the next to last season game?

Am I not putting the cart before the horse? Nah, just killing time and trying to get under the skin of a tick.
10-19-2014 05:24 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
DoubleDDuke Offline
Heisman
*

Posts: 5,616
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 12
I Root For: James Madison
Location:
Post: #30
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
Putting together any type of playoff projection at mid-season is a waste of time. I can see at least kicking the can around at FBS as to which 4 teams are currently in position and even that will change but it's at least worthy of a prediction and discussion. Projecting a 24 team field in mid October is just having nothing else to do like me typing this message waiting for the Sunday night NFL game to start.
10-19-2014 07:08 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
BDKJMU Offline
Heisman
*

Posts: 9,737
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 47
I Root For: James Madison
Location:
Post: #31
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
Agreed. Putting together a playoff field 6 weeks left is retarded. Who cares what some clown from Sports Network has to say? His projection (and any complete 24 team field projection before Nov) is worthless as tits on a bull..
10-19-2014 10:45 PM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Yesolitis Offline
Special Teams
*

Posts: 821
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 13
I Root For: JMU
Location: the developing world
Post: #32
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
Who cares? We do apparently. We're talking about it.

This is all just fun conjecture and these pinheads (I use that term in an endearing way) purposefully throw in some outlandish lines or thoughts to provoke the masses to keep their material alive and make it relevant somehow. I don't try to over-analyze it, it's just fun entertainment to read.

I don't care where we are come playoffs as long as we're in, and we're a long ways from in yet for sure.
10-20-2014 03:55 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
BleedingPurple Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 12,367
Joined: Mar 2013
Reputation: 100
I Root For: JMU
Location: Amherst County, VA
Post: #33
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
I posted only to provoke some thought among us about the possibility of a couple of home games. Its almost like we aren't even in the playoffs when we go to EKY to play.

No real excitement lead up to that weekend of travel for the team. We were expected to win the bid, we didn't. We were expected to win the game, we did, but had we lost, it would have been a very long drive home.

Going to a road game where its a toss up or even expected to lose and we come away on the short end of the score, is not nearly as bad as losing to someone you should beat with the game played at their home.

If we show JB and Company, that we are excited about being able to attend a home playoff game, maybe, just maybe, he'll stick he's neck out and approach Charlie King with our need to make a real attempt at a bid. We cannot allow the four years that has past to soften our stance on the embarrassing position it was for all of JMU. Not to mention the strain it placed on our team in its ability to prepare for NDSU.
10-20-2014 07:08 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Deez Nuts Offline
Moderator. Go Dukes!
*

Posts: 7,435
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 100
I Root For: the Dukes
Location:
Post: #34
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
the only bracketology site I trust is http://www.nobowls.com
10-20-2014 08:24 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
capn kitt Offline
2nd String
*

Posts: 339
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 2
I Root For: JMU
Location: Virginia Beach
Post: #35
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
(10-19-2014 05:14 PM)Potomac Wrote:  He's a moron if he thinks the 2nd ranked Fcs conference is only getting two teams at minimum in. The CAA will get the top four teams in, regardless of their total wins.
He also has Liberty in the field. Lol

As he explained, the MVC was probably last year's 2nd-ranked FCS conference, but they only got 2 in because too many front-runners lost late in the season. It could happen in the CAA, too, with only 'Nova and UNH (who don't play each other) getting bids. But in his projected field he has four CAA teams, so he's not saying it's likely.
10-20-2014 08:27 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
capn kitt Offline
2nd String
*

Posts: 339
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 2
I Root For: JMU
Location: Virginia Beach
Post: #36
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
(10-19-2014 04:34 PM)Oldduke Wrote:  Same source as above .... his projected playoff field ....

PLAYOFF FIELD

Looking at where teams may stand in a projected playoff bracket on Nov. 23, and not based on current records or conference standings:

Southern Illinois/Montana State winner at No. 1 seed North Dakota State

Jacksonville/Fordham winner at No. 8 seed Illinois State

RU/Chattanooga winner at No. 5 seed Jacksonville State

Bethune-Cookman/James Madison winner at No. 4 seed New Hampshire

North Carolina A&T/Liberty winner at No. 6 seed Coastal Carolina

Sacred Heart/Youngstown State winner at No. 3 seed Villanova

McNeese State/Montana winner at No. 7 seed Southeastern Louisiana

Eastern Kentucky/South Dakota State winner at No. 2 seed Eastern Washington

I'm not sure why he has swapped us in and W&M out at this point in the season. They played 'Nova much closer than we did and have a better quality win (over decent Stony Brook) than we do. Is it simply because they are 1-2 in conference?
10-20-2014 08:31 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
DirtyDukes Offline
All American
*

Posts: 3,678
Joined: Mar 2013
Reputation: 124
I Root For: Dukes, bud!
Location: Museum District
Post: #37
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
If you're going to look for playoff prognostication, the only source I trust is NoBowls.com
10-20-2014 08:31 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
capn kitt Offline
2nd String
*

Posts: 339
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 2
I Root For: JMU
Location: Virginia Beach
Post: #38
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
(10-20-2014 08:31 AM)DirtyDukes Wrote:  If you're going to look for playoff prognostication, the only source I trust is NoBowls.com

It think he's right; I think the CAA only gets 3 teams in. I don't like it, but I think there's a good chance it will play out that way. I also would be mad if the committee put all 3 CAA teams in the same quarter bracket.
10-20-2014 08:35 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
DirtyDukes Offline
All American
*

Posts: 3,678
Joined: Mar 2013
Reputation: 124
I Root For: Dukes, bud!
Location: Museum District
Post: #39
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
(10-20-2014 08:35 AM)capn kitt Wrote:  
(10-20-2014 08:31 AM)DirtyDukes Wrote:  If you're going to look for playoff prognostication, the only source I trust is NoBowls.com

It think he's right; I think the CAA only gets 3 teams in. I don't like it, but I think there's a good chance it will play out that way. I also would be mad if the committee put all 3 CAA teams in the same quarter bracket.

Well, it specifically is if the playoffs were THIS WEEK - I bet Pitz would put more than 3 CAA Teams in at the end of the season. Pitz?
10-20-2014 08:39 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
All Dukes_All Day Offline
All American
*

Posts: 4,336
Joined: Apr 2013
Reputation: 62
I Root For: JMU, Pitt
Location:
Post: #40
RE: Realistic Playoff Chances
If we end up winning 4 of our next 5, it means we would've beaten two of the W&M, Richmond and Stony Brook gauntlet that is coming up...finishing 8-4 (5-3) with two wins over those three squads would almost certainly get us in.
10-20-2014 09:31 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Post Reply 




User(s) browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)


Copyright © 2002-2024 Collegiate Sports Nation Bulletin Board System (CSNbbs), All Rights Reserved.
CSNbbs is an independent fan site and is in no way affiliated to the NCAA or any of the schools and conferences it represents.
This site monetizes links. FTC Disclosure.
We allow third-party companies to serve ads and/or collect certain anonymous information when you visit our web site. These companies may use non-personally identifiable information (e.g., click stream information, browser type, time and date, subject of advertisements clicked or scrolled over) during your visits to this and other Web sites in order to provide advertisements about goods and services likely to be of greater interest to you. These companies typically use a cookie or third party web beacon to collect this information. To learn more about this behavioral advertising practice or to opt-out of this type of advertising, you can visit http://www.networkadvertising.org.
Powered By MyBB, © 2002-2024 MyBB Group.