CSNbbs

(08-30-2023 04:55 PM)BeatWestern! Wrote: [ -> ]https://twitter.com/RossDellenger/status...9086072212

He'll bring in FIU to even things out in Florida and Texas.

SMU must be gone.

With MWC teams not available he will either go into the Sunbelt or CUSA:

Georgia State: Atlanta Market

FIU: Miami Market

JMU/ODU/Liberty: Gets into Virginia

Could see all being options.

Good thing we got that win.

Do they have a contingency for UNT & UTSA to the MWC?

I’d bet they stand pat at 13. We shall see.

Contingency plan:

1. Do what ESPN says to do.

(08-30-2023 05:08 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote: [ -> ]Do they have a contingency for UNT & UTSA to the MWC?

Only have to worry about that if/when OSU and Wazzu merge with the MWC and even then wouldn't be until 2025 but if it does happen a very good chance both will be gone.

With the loss of Cincy, Houston, UCF and SMU the AAC won't be able to beat a new PAC/MWC Media deal. My predictions for the merger:

-MPAC (Mountain Pacific Conference) fully merges to get as much $$, Credits ex out of it. They hold for 2024 due to having to set up schedules, new media deal ex.

-New media deal will beat current AAC one which will enable the MPAC in 2025 to invite UTSA and UNT if they add value and they should (San Antonio and Dallas/Fw Markets). Especially since both are only making 2 Million.

-At the same time they go after and could/should get Gonzaga giving them 16 full time members and 16 Football playing members (Hawaii). Would be a strong Football and Basketball Conference and the only predominantly Western FBS Conference in the country. Also 16 teams is the ideal number Gloria (MWC Comissioner) mentioned as wanting to reach.

(08-30-2023 05:06 PM)e-parade Wrote: [ -> ]Good thing we got that win.

Feel UMASS needs to do whatever they can to convince Delaware to move up. There is alot of talk that Navy is not happy right now in the AAC after losing the big schools and now probably SMU. Try to work together with Army, Navy, Deleware and UCONN and see if all 4 can find a home in the same Conference.

(08-30-2023 05:03 PM)Utgrizfan Wrote: [ -> ]With MWC teams not available he will either go into the Sunbelt or CUSA:

Georgia State: Atlanta Market

FIU: Miami Market

JMU/ODU/Liberty: Gets into Virginia

Could see all being options.

It would be an ultimate fail if FIU ended up back in the SBC, and Georgia State ends up in the AAC.

(08-30-2023 05:08 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote: [ -> ]Do they have a contingency for UNT & UTSA to the MWC?

These schools would pay the exit fees & jump for $1.5M? When they'll get raises every year in the AAC..... don't think so.

(08-30-2023 05:03 PM)Utgrizfan Wrote: [ -> ]With MWC teams not available he will either go into the Sunbelt or CUSA:

Georgia State: Atlanta Market

FIU: Miami Market

JMU/ODU/Liberty: Gets into Virginia

Could see all being options.

I could see Army football and Georgia St./Texas St. for 15 FB/14 olympic. Football is 2 rivals annually, everyone else every other year. Basketball is 1 rival twice annually rotate playing 6 teams twice and the other 6 once (play everyone 3 times every 2 years). Army and Georgia St./Texas St. split SMU's share 20/80 so Georgia St./Texas St. doesn't get a full AAC share, but it'll be more than the CUSA schools got, which might be enough to make the move from CUSA. ESPN also gets a little extra football inventory without paying additional money

(08-30-2023 05:28 PM)Atlanta Wrote: [ -> ]

(08-30-2023 05:08 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote: [ -> ]Do they have a contingency for UNT & UTSA to the MWC?

These schools would pay the exit fees & jump for $1.5M? When they'll get raises every year in the AAC..... don't think so.

If/when the PAC merges with the MWC + probably Gonzaga they're going to beat the current AAC deal.

(08-30-2023 04:55 PM)BeatWestern! Wrote: [ -> ]https://twitter.com/RossDellenger/status...9086072212

He said AAC can play with an odd number.

Meaning you take WSU/OSU in 24' and MWC schools in 26' when their media deal is done to save them the exit fees.

(08-30-2023 05:09 PM)Nerdlinger Wrote: [ -> ]Contingency plan:

1. Do what ESPN says to do.

^This^

(08-30-2023 05:37 PM)Utgrizfan Wrote: [ -> ]

(08-30-2023 05:28 PM)Atlanta Wrote: [ -> ]

(08-30-2023 05:08 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote: [ -> ]Do they have a contingency for UNT & UTSA to the MWC?

These schools would pay the exit fees & jump for $1.5M? When they'll get raises every year in the AAC..... don't think so.

If/when the PAC merges with the MWC + probably Gonzaga they're going to beat the current AAC deal.

Gonzaga would have gone MWC in the past if not the WCC agreeing to 1 million per year of back unit credits from their efforts in the NCAA tourney.

Money which I believe runs out after 2024-25.

I think they are on the move this cycle depending on where WSU/OSU go.

(08-30-2023 05:37 PM)Utgrizfan Wrote: [ -> ]

(08-30-2023 05:28 PM)Atlanta Wrote: [ -> ]

(08-30-2023 05:08 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote: [ -> ]Do they have a contingency for UNT & UTSA to the MWC?

These schools would pay the exit fees & jump for $1.5M? When they'll get raises every year in the AAC..... don't think so.

If/when the PAC merges with the MWC + probably Gonzaga they're going to beat the current AAC deal.

If OSU and WSU go to the MWC they will probably be able to lure AAC schools over, no doubt. If the AAC is the one who adds OSU and WSU, then they will be able to lure MWC programs, no doubt.

Losing SMU would not affect things much, if at all. As much as I like the Mustangs the truth is that they just don't move the needle much competitively or in terms of viewership, historically. What their exit would do is further damage the perception of the AAC; this is debatable as the only schools to "move up" so far have come from the American and it could be argued that the brand is still stronger than the MWC's.

This has been said many times before: who wins the battle for OSU and WSU (assuming Califord is gone, at least) will be able to build the "best of the rest" conference around it's core group.

I'm hoping that we're able to do so in the AAC but time will tell. I'd say that things are 50/50 right now.

It should also be added that we're not even sure that Califord or SMU is going to the ACC yet...

They need to add GSU. If they can’t get them, Texas St. If they can’t get that, FIU.

(08-30-2023 05:55 PM)RUScarlets Wrote: [ -> ]They need to add GSU. If they can’t get them, Texas St. If they can’t get that, FIU.

I don't think Georgia State bothers with the AAC unless they can establish themselves moving forward as the 5th strongest FB conference.

Let's say the AAC is able to pull off WSU/OSU +MWC schools this round to establish itself as the clear #5. Then 6-7 years down the road has some defections. At that point it would be clearly desirable for GSU to go AAC.

AAC has to capture the west first IMO to make it desirable. If it loses that battle to the MWC they might as well be CUSA 3.0 at that point, hardly desirable for a SBC program.

(08-30-2023 05:08 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote: [ -> ]Do they have a contingency for UNT & UTSA to the MWC?

For less money, less TV exposure and more travel? Ok.

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