Real Clear Politics is predicting the Republicans pick up 3 seats in the Senate to 53, NV, AZ and GA (48-44 with 5 of 8 tossups going R). They're predicting Republicans +2 in governorships to 30, picking up NV, WI, MI and KS while losing MD and MA (24-15 with 6 of 11 tossups going R). They're showing the House from 14 to 48 Republican pickups with an average of 31 (would put them at 243--projections are 227-174 with 34 tossups).
It's going to be curious. Kind of like in 2016 when Trump won while Hilary was favored all over the place.
I think the biggest "upset" is Flowers over MJG in Georgia. Walker and Kemp I think cruise.
(11-08-2022 12:31 PM)TigersOhMy Wrote: [ -> ]
If true, that's gonna leave a mark......
I predict Kari Lake will be a household name after today
I fear we are all going to be saying WTF when the worst candidate in the entire cycle beats Kari Lake....oh, yeah, that would be the Sec of State of AZ who oversees elections.
(11-08-2022 04:02 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote: [ -> ]I fear we are all going to be saying WTF when the worst candidate in the entire cycle beats Kari Lake....oh, yeah, that would be the Sec of State of AZ who oversees elections.
That would be a travesty
(11-08-2022 04:02 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote: [ -> ]I fear we are all going to be saying WTF when the worst candidate in the entire cycle beats Kari Lake....oh, yeah, that would be the Sec of State of AZ who oversees elections.
just following GA...right Brian?
(11-08-2022 05:20 PM)GoodOwl Wrote: [ -> ] (11-08-2022 04:02 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote: [ -> ]I fear we are all going to be saying WTF when the worst candidate in the entire cycle beats Kari Lake....oh, yeah, that would be the Sec of State of AZ who oversees elections.
just following GA...right Brian?
They should definitely have to recuse themselves in these scenarios.
Not a big fan of exit polls but the ones they have been showing are brutal to Dems
(11-08-2022 05:23 PM)solohawks Wrote: [ -> ]Not a big fan of exit polls but the ones they have been showing are brutal to Dems
Agreed, not great at predicting winners, but very insightful to the mood of the country.
(11-08-2022 12:41 PM)mlb Wrote: [ -> ]It's going to be curious. Kind of like in 2016 when Trump won while Hilary was favored all over the place.
Which is why I think it may even be a bigger win tonight than the projections---because the polling methodology used almost ALWAYS favors Democrats. What this tells us is that even a substantial number of Democrats are unhappy with the current path of the nation....which is not surprising because Ive never thought the progressive agenda really accurately reflected the wishes of very many people---even Democrats.
(11-08-2022 04:00 PM)solohawks Wrote: [ -> ]I predict Kari Lake will be a household name after today
I think you are right about that.
Anyone from Kentucky that can provide any insight on their abortion amendment that would basically take it out of the hands of the state Supreme Court?
I would be happy with 52 or even 51. As long as the GOP controls both chambers, Biden cannot cause too much harm although much damage already done.
(11-08-2022 01:43 PM)tigtoodawg Wrote: [ -> ]I think the biggest "upset" is Flowers over MJG in Georgia.
???
(11-08-2022 06:37 PM)random asian guy Wrote: [ -> ]I would be happy with 52 or even 51. As long as the GOP controls both chambers, Biden cannot cause too much harm although much damage already done.
Bear in mind that there 52 or 51 includes names like Collins, Romney and Murkowski.
I think the celebration number for the Senate is 54.
(11-08-2022 06:42 PM)AdoptedMonarch Wrote: [ -> ] (11-08-2022 06:37 PM)random asian guy Wrote: [ -> ]I would be happy with 52 or even 51. As long as the GOP controls both chambers, Biden cannot cause too much harm although much damage already done.
Bear in mind that there 52 or 51 includes names like Collins, Romney and Murkowski.
I think the celebration number for the Senate is 54.
This.
A net gain of +1 or +2 in the Senate would represent a very weak performance for the GOP.