(09-15-2022 01:07 AM)Win5002 Wrote: [ -> ] (09-07-2022 10:35 AM)Hokie Mark Wrote: [ -> ]ESPN gets involved and decides to broker some moves between the ACC, Big XII, and Pac-12, like this:
WVU and UCF to the ACC
Colorado and Utah to the Big XII
Pac either sits at 8 or adds San Diego St and one other (Boise St?)
Q: How would that deal be viewed by Big XII fans? (Essentially trade WVU & UCF for Colorado & Utah)
I'm curious what you think of this what if. If ESPN kept the B12 on it's current payment trajectory with small increases each year for the new deal and put in a clause they could add any P5 school on a pro-rata basis, the networks signaled the 6 or 8 schools they want in B1G/SEC but assured the others they had a spot(probably PAC and ACC to make it simple) planned to use the ACC Network for the league which essentially would be national for in co ference footprint rates. The kicker the B1G and SEC try to incentive the move by giving the P3 league the same CFP share as they get.
For leftover P5 teams that's better than they will get the next 10 yrs and if it continued better than they would expect.
this idea is void of reality because it ignores the reality of conference finances
1. the Big 12 basically extending their current deal at exactly the same price with just annual increases sucks for the Big 12
2. everyone that talks about "pro rata" increases does not understand conference finances at all.....the Big 12 will be getting about $26 to $27 million per member in just TV money for the final year of their current contract yet they will be paying out about $44 to $45 million per year which means there is $18 to $19 million in other conference money that is not from TV money
some of that is from the CFP and some of that is from The Sugar Bowl deal and other bowl deals that actually make money for the conference (not all do), Big 12 BB tournament money and other Big 12 sponsorships along with NCAA playoff money (mostly mens BB)
new members in the conference contribute zero dollars and zero cents of new money to any of that other than PERHAPS NCAA tournament money where the Big 12 already does extremely well so new members better be doing fantastic to actually CONTRIBUTE to that not just hold their own
so for every new member added you are making LESS money per current member because there is not extra CFP, Sugar Bowl, AlamoBowl By Mack Brown, sponsorship money ect for those new members
this is what all the butt hurt G5 teams could not understand back during the david boren needs attention expansion buffoonery a few years back.....once the Big 12 had the OK to have a CCG with 10 members that money was "free found money" and did not require two new members and new members were going to bring ZERO contributions to The Sugar Bowl paying $50 million 2 out of every 3 years and ZERO contributions to CFP money to the Big 12 in the form of about $50 million per year
so "pro rata" TV money means nothing to anyone that is not math challenged and that understands what comprises a full conference payout and worse yet the more teams you add the worse that "pro rata" nonsense is
and no ESPN and Fox or anyone else is not going to agree to cover 100% of the cost of adding new members
3. unless the members and commissioners of the PAC 12 and ACC and even the Big 12 are even more stupid than anyone imagines I see about ZERO chance they agree to give the SEC SEC SEC and Big 10 larger shares of the CFP.....of course the PAC 12 and ACC are run by idiots it seems and they do like to suck up to and on the Big 10 and SEC SEC SEC and they have been clearly chumped by them before so anything is possible, but the Big 12, ACC, and PAC 12 have the 6 votes to make things happen while the Big 10 and SEC SEC SEC have only 4 and I do not think the G5 and their 5 votes is going to vote with the Big 10 and SEC SEC SEC even if making it equal for all the P5 brings them nothing extra for themselves
4. people need to stop pretending that "in market" is some real thing......cable/sat MSOs are not contractually obligated to just start paying more because there happens to be a team in a conference that has a network in one of their subscriber areas
yes there are agreements for that in SOME markets, but even when aggy was added to the SEC SEC SEC all the cable and sat MSOs in Texas made it clear that just because aggy was in Texas and now in the SEC SEC SEC that did not mean the entire state of Texas was "in market" and would get a higher rate charged/paid
and since that time cable and sat MSOs have pushed back against that more and more and have even started dropping conference networks in some markets entirely including markets that are in a state with a member of a conference with a network they are dropping
the days of ESPN and others endlessly cramming channels on cable MSOs and trying to force rates on them is over and is not coming back to life