(08-18-2022 12:49 PM)Hokie Mark Wrote: [ -> ] (08-18-2022 11:38 AM)JRsec Wrote: [ -> ] (08-18-2022 10:25 AM)PeteTheChop Wrote: [ -> ]... by taking UW, UO, Cal and Stanford, after which the SEC (with ESPN's blessing) will absorb the most desirable members of the ACC while the rest of the ACC will be shuffled off to this new Big XII/Pac conglomeration?
After which ESPN will swoop in pretty much unchallenged for media rights and land the most valuable parts (if not all) of the available content?
Does such a strategy get you 8 votes for ACC dissolution?
The Big 10's new deal set the cap on the upper tier at 20 schools. Taking the final value of 8 billion for 7 years a 10 billion cap on additions means only 4 have been budgeted. Notre Dame will eclipse the Big 10 in earnings, so they are out. 20 million from the ACC money and 60 million from NBC makes them independent as long as they desire. They likely played the Big 10 until they saw the real numbers and knew what they had to get from NBC.
So, if Cal, Stanford, Washington and Oregon round out the B2G, the question becomes truly who is interested in the PAC and B12 rights? If PAC schools are rolled into the B12 then we may sit pat. The lowest SEC estimate on 14 members was 71.7 million in payouts before OU and UT were added. The B1G estimate is 63 million per school for the average of their new deal in payouts. The SEC may opt to keep the advantage plus OU and UT's money and let nature take its course.
If the SEC expands to 18 or 20 out of the ACC, then ESPN may choose to roll the Best of the B12 and PAC into the ACC making it a tweener. Otherwise, it now looks like should the B12 add the PAC schools we will be an S2 / P2 configuration with the B12 and ACC being under ESPN control and left as is.
TBH, I'm hoping ESPN pays the ACC to annex WVU, Cincy, and possibly UCF + one other, along with at least an extra $10M to $20M in TV money. I'd rather not have the Hokies fly out to Arizona on a regular basis.
Let's say Notre Dame remains Independent and the B2G grows with California, Oregon, Stanford, and Washington. I would see SEC growing to 20 with Clemson, Florida St, North Carolina, and Virginia. The ACC (now at 10) expanding with some combination of XII/AAC schools and the remainder of the XII/PAC merging plus a couple MWC schools.
Independent: Notre Dame
B2G
Atlantic: Maryland, Michigan St, Notre Dame, Penn St, Rutgers
Central: Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Wisconsin
Midwest: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio St, Purdue
Pacific: California, Oregon, Stanford, UCLA, USC
SEC
East: Clemson, Florida St, North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia
South: Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Mississippi, Mississippi St
Southeast: Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt
Southwest: Arkansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, Texas A&M
ACC
Eastern: Boston College, Duke, Georgia Tech, Miami, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Virginia Tech, West Virginia
Metro: Central Florida, Cincinnati, Louisville, Memphis, North Carolina St, South Florida, Temple, Wake Forest
XVI
Central: Baylor, Houston, Iowa St, Kansas, Kansas St, Oklahoma St, TCU, Texas Tech
Western: Arizona, Arizona St, BYU, Colorado, Oregon St, San Diego St, Utah, Washington St
MWC
Mountain: Boise St, Fresno St, Hawaii*, Nevada, San Jose St, UNLV, Utah St, Wyoming
West: Air Force, Colorado St, Navy*, New Mexico, Rice, SMU, Tulane, Tulsa
* Football-only
^ Non-football: Wichita St