Big game tonight. We face arguably the most talented team in the conference. We have an opportunity to basically eliminate Hofstra from the top seed contention. However the guard play at Hofstra is the best in the conference. We gave an amazing effort up in New York, but we will need that same effort at home to have a chance. We are decently rested and should be well-prepared. Key is moving our feet to stay in front of their guards drives. If and when they beat us off the dribble, it could be a big Amari game down low again.
I think this is just a bad matchup for us. The efficiency at which Hofstra plays is troubling for us. I also hope Butler gets right soon. Coletrane has really been progressing nicely and hope he bounces back after his dud against JMU. We will need to shoot well tonight
Vegas: Drexel -1
Hofstra- 84
Drexel- 76
Jalen Ray and Omar Silverio are slumping. In his last six games, Ray is averaged 7.3 points and shot threes .263. Before that, which ends with 18 points against you, he averaged 15.5 points and shot threes .440. In his last seven games, which started against you, Omar Silverio averaged 5.1 points and shot threes .192. In his 12 games before that (starting with his sixth game), he averaged 13.4 points and shot threes .358. With Caleb Burgess being good at assists but rarely scoring, and the same being true for Jaquan Carlos who hasn't been playing, you can hope Hofstra has fewer guards shooting well. Even if those guards don't shoot well, Aaron Estrada, Zach Cooks, and Darlinstone Dubar are good enough to combine for 50.
https://static.caasports.com/custompages...M#team.ind has Hofstra's statistics. Hofstra shot free throws 6-10 in their last game to fall to .800 and fall from second to fourth of 358 teams. Villanova leads at .825, and is on pace to break Harvard's record of .822. Hofstra has the 17th best assist/turnover ratio, tied for the 18th best turnover margin per game, and the 24th fewest turnovers per game.
I've already given up on the top seed. With a split with UNCW, getting swept by Towson, and UNCW having beaten Towson, Hofstra would lose the tiebreaker to either of them. If Hofstra goes 6-1, they need UNCW to go 2-4 or worse. After going to you and Delaware, Hofstra has an easy end with two games against Elon and hosting W&M, Charleston, and Northeastern.
we've been waiting all season to see if this team can break in the right direction. time is starting to run out. i don't think this is a season where you can just turn it on at the tournament. games are happening and teams are improving. we have to be improving too.
i like this matchup better than towson since hofstra's front court isn't as strong. it will be similar to delaware where we have to challenge jump shots. we took asamoah and allen completely out of the game last week. can we do that tonight with estrada, ray, and cooks?
In the frontcourt, Abayomi Iyiola (7.8 points, 8.2 rebounds, .621 field goal percentage) and Jarrod Simmons (2.9 points, 3.7 rebounds, .647 field goal percentage) have been splitting time evenly. They don't shoot much, but you can't say their not good.
The difference between Hofstra and Towson is that Towson (and many teams) start two forwards.
Hofstra has 6 wins when allowing at least 77 points, which is the most in Division I.
I cant find the game anyone have a link or is it stuck on flo.. I can't even listen to radio
Everything is FLO, and flo does great not having bootleg streams anywhere. CBSSN games are the only ones you can find links to. 36-36 at half. We are shooting 10% lower but we are winning the turnover battle 7-4 and points off is 9-3 in our favor
Estrada is their everything, which is no surprise, but we are not doing a good job slowing him down at all. 15 at the half on 6-11 shooting (3-5 from 3)
under 16 media, down 44-40
under 8 down 62-51. Hofstra shooting extremely well
We truly are a live or die by the 3 team. They don't fall we don't win. I think our inconsistencies truly revolve around that, its that simple
We fell 83-73. Estrada crushed us again. 32/6/6
They played a decent first half, but then came out flat after halftime. Hofstra came out in the second half clearly wanting it more. Drexel played that second half to a slow, painful death, and I didn't see much effort or a team that really wanted it, like Hofstra did. Even when Drexel loses at home, they always have that late run in them to at least make the game fun. That's what happened in both of their other home losses. Tonight...nothing. Down by 10 or so with 6 minutes left, I was waiting for the hard full court press. But there was nothing. The biggest turning point was with a few minutes left and Drexel down 9, Cam had a WIDE OPEN 3-point attempt that he clanked, and then Hofstra goes the other way and Estrada nails another 3. So they had was easily could have been a 6 point game and a chance to make it fun turn to a 12 point game in a matter of seconds.
They've got to show up and give us a better effort against last place Northeastern on Saturday.
Your 84-76 prediction was close. In addition to Estrada, Ray shot 6-7 and scored 20. Ray averaged 19 points against you and 7.3 points in the six games in between. Hofstra outrebounded you 37-26. Abayomi Iyiola had the only double-double with 10 points and 10 rebounds. He and Jarrod Simmons combined for 18 rebounds, and Williams and Butler combined for 6.
rob brooks even said there was a lack of urgency in the last few minutes. i thought it was the whole second half. we played like we knew estrada was just going to come down and hit another shot so it didn't matter. i'm not sure what we could've done to stop it...but it was disappointing we did nothing different. it was obvious we couldn't defend him 1 on 1. we threw different guys on him like bell and wynter. i don't think of them as defensive stoppers. maybe a zone like a 2-1-2 or 3-2 or full court pressure not just to force turnovers but to speed up their offense might have worked.
the alarming part is how much better they were than us in the 2nd half. we've shown up for parts of games. they were clearly better.
dan...to your point about being a 3 point shooting team...the strange thing is i don't feel like we're a team that bombs away from 3. in fact...we're last in the caa in 3 point attempts although with 3 less games.
https://caasports.com/stats.aspx?path=mbball&year=2021
it doesn't seem like we run a lot of plays to open up 3 point shots for certain people. we usually get the corner open for okros through ball rotation. melik just kind of ends up with the ball in an open spot. coletrain doesn't get enough looks on a consistent basis.
it goes back to not knowing what kind of team we are. part of it is inconsistencies with the players. we were throwing up bad shots at the rim for some reason. melik and amari had good games but could have done more. the best thing i can say about cam last night is his stat line seems more impressive than that impact he had on the game.
What I meant is that if we are hitting 3s we win, if we dont we lose. We certainly dont have an identity, to your point. But a bad shooting night from 3 always ends in a loss for this team. Ifw e are shooting well form 3 we typically win and feel good. With that said when we move the ball we get open looks and tend to hit them, when we are stagnant nothing happens and we are painful to watch
yeah...the women can find ways to win even when they shoot poorly. last sunday notwithstanding and they even managed to make that game competitive by going into brugler and pressing.
(02-11-2022 08:06 AM)hiroshimacarp Wrote: [ -> ]dan...to your point about being a 3 point shooting team...the strange thing is i don't feel like we're a team that bombs away from 3. in fact...we're last in the caa in 3 point attempts although with 3 less games.
The way to compare is to calculate what percent of each teams field goal attempts are threes:
Elon: exactly 46%
Hofstra: 44.2%
Northeastern: 40.9%
W&M: 40.5%
CAA: 40.0%
Delaware: 39.9%
UNCW: 38.3%
NCAA: 38.1%
Charleston: 38.03%
Towson: 38.02%
JMU: 37.3%
You: 36.7%
(02-11-2022 09:43 AM)dan10 Wrote: [ -> ]What I meant is that if we are hitting 3s we win, if we dont we lose. We certainly dont have an identity, to your point. But a bad shooting night from 3 always ends in a loss for this team. Ifw e are shooting well form 3 we typically win and feel good. With that said when we move the ball we get open looks and tend to hit them, when we are stagnant nothing happens and we are painful to watch
You're 6-6 when you shoot threes better than your average of .360, and 5-5 when you shoot threes worse than your average. Your last five games include shooting threes .412 and .400 in losses and .296 in a win.