As early signing day approaches, I figured it would be a good time to take a deep dive into the current recruiting rankings across conferences and within the AAC. Below is a picture of how the numbers are shaking out. All data is taken from 247's composite ratings and rankings. This dataset does not include transfer rankings (sorry USF lol).
![[Image: dmunXoZh.png?1]](https://i.imgur.com/dmunXoZh.png?1)
A couple of takeaways...
The AAC is recruiting better: Overall the AAC continues to separate the gap between the G4 but still lags significantly behind the P5 conferences in terms of average recruit rating with a weighted average of 84.08. This is an improvement from 83.59 last year.
The future of the AAC isn't as bright: Most of these recruiting gains are being driven by projected historic classes for Cincy and UCF so that does not bode well for the future once those programs join the Big 12. Without Cincy, UCF, and Houston, the AAC weighted average for recruiting rankings drops to 83.08, so still ahead of the other G4 conferences but obviously the margin is much tighter.
The gap between the SEC and everyone else widens: The SEC is recruiting head and shoulders above every other conference with an average recruit ranking of 89.32. This gap will continue to widen once Texas and Oklahoma join the conference. The SEC will be getting close to a 90 average recruit ranking which is pretty insane when you think about it.
It will be interesting to see how everything shakes out after the late signing period. I will periodically post updates.
If you like this type of analytical approach to recruiting rankings, let me know because there is a lot more data I can show, especially related to recruiting rankings by program/conference over the years. Happy to put together more data sets and even add some visuals for funsies when I have the time.
I should add, this is a real-time model so every 247 update to each program's recruiting class updates the rankings. So this is a snapshot from 1:10 PM EST today.
(12-14-2021 01:18 PM)UCbball21 Wrote: [ -> ]As early signing day approaches, I figured it would be a good time to take a deep dive into the current recruiting rankings across conferences and within the AAC. Below is a picture of how the numbers are shaking out. All data is taken from 247's composite ratings and rankings. This dataset does not include transfer rankings (sorry USF lol).
A couple of takeaways...
The AAC is recruiting better: Overall the AAC continues to separate the gap between the G4 but still lags significantly behind the P5 conferences in terms of average recruit rating with a weighted average of 84.08. This is an improvement from 83.59 last year.
The future of the AAC isn't as bright: Most of these recruiting gains are being driven by projected historic classes for Cincy and UCF so that does not bode well for the future once those programs join the Big 12. Without Cincy, UCF, and Houston, the AAC weighted average for recruiting rankings drops to 83.08, so still ahead of the other G4 conferences but obviously the margin is much tighter.
The gap between the SEC and everyone else widens: The SEC is recruiting head and shoulders above every other conference with an average recruit ranking of 89.32. This gap will continue to widen once Texas and Oklahoma join the conference. The SEC will be getting close to a 90 average recruit ranking which is pretty insane when you think about it.
It will be interesting to see how everything shakes out after the late signing period. I will periodically post updates.
If you like this type of analytical approach to recruiting rankings, let me know because there is a lot more data I can show, especially related to recruiting rankings by program/conference over the years. Happy to put together more data sets and even add some visuals for funsies when I have the time.
Why would USF be sorry about it? Recruiting is all a crap shoot and we all like to see the rankings but what will make a difference will be do they pan out on the field.
With that said USF recruiting avg among those ranked is above the league avg. That’s pretty good for a team that is 3-18 in last two seasons.
(12-14-2021 02:25 PM)Cubanbull1 Wrote: [ -> ] (12-14-2021 01:18 PM)UCbball21 Wrote: [ -> ]As early signing day approaches, I figured it would be a good time to take a deep dive into the current recruiting rankings across conferences and within the AAC. Below is a picture of how the numbers are shaking out. All data is taken from 247's composite ratings and rankings. This dataset does not include transfer rankings (sorry USF lol).
A couple of takeaways...
The AAC is recruiting better: Overall the AAC continues to separate the gap between the G4 but still lags significantly behind the P5 conferences in terms of average recruit rating with a weighted average of 84.08. This is an improvement from 83.59 last year.
The future of the AAC isn't as bright: Most of these recruiting gains are being driven by projected historic classes for Cincy and UCF so that does not bode well for the future once those programs join the Big 12. Without Cincy, UCF, and Houston, the AAC weighted average for recruiting rankings drops to 83.08, so still ahead of the other G4 conferences but obviously the margin is much tighter.
The gap between the SEC and everyone else widens: The SEC is recruiting head and shoulders above every other conference with an average recruit ranking of 89.32. This gap will continue to widen once Texas and Oklahoma join the conference. The SEC will be getting close to a 90 average recruit ranking which is pretty insane when you think about it.
It will be interesting to see how everything shakes out after the late signing period. I will periodically post updates.
If you like this type of analytical approach to recruiting rankings, let me know because there is a lot more data I can show, especially related to recruiting rankings by program/conference over the years. Happy to put together more data sets and even add some visuals for funsies when I have the time.
Why would USF be sorry about it? Recruiting is all a crap shoot and we all like to see the rankings but what will make a difference will be do they pan out on the field.
With that said USF recruiting avg among those ranked is above the league avg. That’s pretty good for a team that is 3-18 in last two seasons.
Recruiting rankings are certainly not a perfect predictor of future success alone but there is definitely a strong correlation.
(12-14-2021 02:42 PM)UCbball21 Wrote: [ -> ] (12-14-2021 02:25 PM)Cubanbull1 Wrote: [ -> ] (12-14-2021 01:18 PM)UCbball21 Wrote: [ -> ]As early signing day approaches, I figured it would be a good time to take a deep dive into the current recruiting rankings across conferences and within the AAC. Below is a picture of how the numbers are shaking out. All data is taken from 247's composite ratings and rankings. This dataset does not include transfer rankings (sorry USF lol).
A couple of takeaways...
The AAC is recruiting better: Overall the AAC continues to separate the gap between the G4 but still lags significantly behind the P5 conferences in terms of average recruit rating with a weighted average of 84.08. This is an improvement from 83.59 last year.
The future of the AAC isn't as bright: Most of these recruiting gains are being driven by projected historic classes for Cincy and UCF so that does not bode well for the future once those programs join the Big 12. Without Cincy, UCF, and Houston, the AAC weighted average for recruiting rankings drops to 83.08, so still ahead of the other G4 conferences but obviously the margin is much tighter.
The gap between the SEC and everyone else widens: The SEC is recruiting head and shoulders above every other conference with an average recruit ranking of 89.32. This gap will continue to widen once Texas and Oklahoma join the conference. The SEC will be getting close to a 90 average recruit ranking which is pretty insane when you think about it.
It will be interesting to see how everything shakes out after the late signing period. I will periodically post updates.
If you like this type of analytical approach to recruiting rankings, let me know because there is a lot more data I can show, especially related to recruiting rankings by program/conference over the years. Happy to put together more data sets and even add some visuals for funsies when I have the time.
Why would USF be sorry about it? Recruiting is all a crap shoot and we all like to see the rankings but what will make a difference will be do they pan out on the field.
With that said USF recruiting avg among those ranked is above the league avg. That’s pretty good for a team that is 3-18 in last two seasons.
Recruiting rankings are certainly not a perfect predictor of future success alone but there is definitely a strong correlation.
Which is why I feel good on USF’s future.
(12-14-2021 01:18 PM)UCbball21 Wrote: [ -> ]As early signing day approaches, I figured it would be a good time to take a deep dive into the current recruiting rankings across conferences and within the AAC. Below is a picture of how the numbers are shaking out. All data is taken from 247's composite ratings and rankings. This dataset does not include transfer rankings (sorry USF lol).
A couple of takeaways...
The AAC is recruiting better: Overall the AAC continues to separate the gap between the G4 but still lags significantly behind the P5 conferences in terms of average recruit rating with a weighted average of 84.08. This is an improvement from 83.59 last year.
The future of the AAC isn't as bright: Most of these recruiting gains are being driven by projected historic classes for Cincy and UCF so that does not bode well for the future once those programs join the Big 12. Without Cincy, UCF, and Houston, the AAC weighted average for recruiting rankings drops to 83.08, so still ahead of the other G4 conferences but obviously the margin is much tighter.
The gap between the SEC and everyone else widens: The SEC is recruiting head and shoulders above every other conference with an average recruit ranking of 89.32. This gap will continue to widen once Texas and Oklahoma join the conference. The SEC will be getting close to a 90 average recruit ranking which is pretty insane when you think about it.
It will be interesting to see how everything shakes out after the late signing period. I will periodically post updates.
If you like this type of analytical approach to recruiting rankings, let me know because there is a lot more data I can show, especially related to recruiting rankings by program/conference over the years. Happy to put together more data sets and even add some visuals for funsies when I have the time.
this is really neat -thanks for doing it!
Navy will always drag down the AAC recruiting average. It is hard enough anyway, but just from a rating standpoint even if we recruit someone highly ranked otherwise, they will downgrade his ratings if he commits to us (true of the other service academies too).