CSNbbs

The tournament seeding is obvious dependent on who can play due to Covid but the lineup is as follows:

#1 JMU who is 8-1 has only one game against Drexel who is 3-5 and in 7th now. The CAA website shows that game on 2/27 and JMU website shows 2/28. Since they played 1/31 @ JMU the extra game appears cancelled. Only loss is to NE. If they lose to Drexel and NE wins out then NE takes first place with higher win %. Should be noted that W&M played @ Drexel twice and a third game @ W&M.

#2 NE who is 8-2 has two games @ W&M. They cannot finish worse than 2nd and their two losses are to JMU and Towson. Must win both games and JMU lose to Drexel to take first place.

#3 CoC who is 6-4 with UNCW as home and away games left. They are a lock for finishing between 3rd and 5th place depending on Hofstra and DE.

#4 Hofstra who is 8-6 with two games at home against Elon coming off Covid pause and missing games this weekend @ CoC. They are also a lock to finish between 3rd and 5th.

#5 Delaware who is 5-4 with two games @ Towson who beat NE last Sunday at home. If they win out they finish in 3rd or 4th and if they lose out they finish no worse than 7th depending on the Tribe and Drexel.

#6 W&M who is 4-5 with 3 games left. They play @ Elon and two @ home with NE. Win out and finish between 3rd and 5th. Win two games and finish between 3rd and 7th. Win one game and finish between 5th and 7th. Lose all games and finish between 7th and last.

#7 Drexel who is 3-5 with two games at JMU. Lose out and finish between 7th and last. Win out and finish between 3rd and 7th. Split and finish either 6th or 7th.

#8 Towson who is 3-9 with two games @ home with DE. Win out and finish 6th to bottom. Split or lose out and finish 8th to last.

#9 Elon who is 2-7 with 3 games. First @ home against W&M then two away @ Hofstra. Win out and finish 6th to 8th. Win two and finish 7th to 9th and lose all games and finish 9th or bottom.

#10 UNCW who is 1-5 and must play two more games to meet the 8 game minimum. They have home and away against CoC. Win out and finish between 7th and 9th, lose out finish last.

This is based on win percentage assuming all remaining games are played.

Very interesting doings going on with the CAA Tournament.

Elon has scheduled a game with UNCW this weekend (because UNCW's games with Charleston were Covided out). If Elon wins then they would be 4-7 (.364). That would not be enough to overtake W&M (4-6, .400) but it might be enough to pass Drexel if the Dragons lose to JMU (that would make Drexel 3-6, .333). What makes this even more interesting is another line in the article: "The status of the Charleston men’s basketball team for the 2021 Hercules Tires CAA Men’s Basketball Championship remains unchanged at this time.". What does that mean? If it means that CofC is not going to play then there would be only 9 teams and everyone would get a first round bye except for 8 and 9 (presumably Towson and UNCW). The irony of that arrangement is that Delaware would be 4 and W&M would be 5 and would thus play each other in the first game.

https://caasports.com/news/2021/2/23/cha...edule.aspx

The tourney, of course, and all these seedings depends on the random strike of covid on one or more of these teams.

With so few games remaining, seeds are just about locked in now. We can jump you for 6th if we beat JMU but can fall to 8th if Elon wins

(02-25-2021 06:32 AM)bubbadog57 Wrote: [ -> ]The tourney, of course, and all these seedings depends on the random strike of covid on one or more of these teams.

I haven't read all the protocols, but I wonder if the CAA has it set so that if X number of teams can't compete, the auto bid goes to the regular season champ. 2 or 3 teams seeded in the bottom half of the conference missing the tournament wouldn't really be the end of the world, but if, hypothetically, the 1, 2 and 3 seeds all had to miss it due to Covid, I wonder if the CAA tournament still happens.

Regardless, let's just hope for the best, and hope that we're back to normal asap.

(02-25-2021 09:36 AM)TDenverFan Wrote: [ -> ]

(02-25-2021 06:32 AM)bubbadog57 Wrote: [ -> ]The tourney, of course, and all these seedings depends on the random strike of covid on one or more of these teams.

I haven't read all the protocols, but I wonder if the CAA has it set so that if X number of teams can't compete, the auto bid goes to the regular season champ. 2 or 3 teams seeded in the bottom half of the conference missing the tournament wouldn't really be the end of the world, but if, hypothetically, the 1, 2 and 3 seeds all had to miss it due to Covid, I wonder if the CAA tournament still happens.

Regardless, let's just hope for the best, and hope that we're back to normal asap.

If COVID claims some of the top seeds in the CAA tourney, wouldn't those teams also be out for the NCAAs? Seems like the CAA should hold the tournament with whatever teams remain, if only so the league can send someone to the Dance.

(02-25-2021 10:23 AM)TribeFan1983 Wrote: [ -> ]

(02-25-2021 09:36 AM)TDenverFan Wrote: [ -> ]

(02-25-2021 06:32 AM)bubbadog57 Wrote: [ -> ]The tourney, of course, and all these seedings depends on the random strike of covid on one or more of these teams.

I haven't read all the protocols, but I wonder if the CAA has it set so that if X number of teams can't compete, the auto bid goes to the regular season champ. 2 or 3 teams seeded in the bottom half of the conference missing the tournament wouldn't really be the end of the world, but if, hypothetically, the 1, 2 and 3 seeds all had to miss it due to Covid, I wonder if the CAA tournament still happens.

Regardless, let's just hope for the best, and hope that we're back to normal asap.

If COVID claims some of the top seeds in the CAA tourney, wouldn't those teams also be out for the NCAAs? Seems like the CAA should hold the tournament with whatever teams remain, if only so the league can send someone to the Dance.

It would depend on the timing of the tests, I think. The CAA tournament starts March 6, the First 4 for the NCAA tournament is March 18.

If a team tests positive between now and March 4th they would be out for the CAA tournament, but would have completed a 2 week quarantine by the NCAA tournament.

I would expect that the tournament will be seeded and then if teams have issues and can't participate they would forfeit and be eliminated. That's the only way for it to work IMO.

NCAA tourney rules for replacing a team if COVID hits

https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basket...ent-begins

Welp, time to tell Dane to bubble up those players real tight.

It would be something if our first ever March Madness berth be given to us by default.

So if a top seed drops out because of COVID, the first team out gets the top seeds draw? I always though 69 was a lucky number!

Hear me out. This is the year we break the curse.

Scenario: Bunch of rookies who play like it. No chance in the tourney, so no pressure and no expectations from fans. We win the tourney to great fanfare of Tribe Nation, even though nobody is there to watch. Selection sunday sees us truly making the tourney, even with a favorable opponent, but hours before the game, we learn of an exposure by a Delaware cheerleader that our walk-on player met on Tinder and was exposed to (obvious set up by The Hens). Player turns positive for COVID and we lose by forfeit. Curse, however, is broken after FINALLY finding the cure...a taste of our own medicine.

See Also: how Stella got her feathers back.

(02-25-2021 04:05 PM)nogretheogre Wrote: [ -> ]Hear me out. This is the year we break the curse.

Scenario: Bunch of rookies who play like it. No chance in the tourney, so no pressure and no expectations from fans. We win the tourney to great fanfare of Tribe Nation, even though nobody is there to watch. Selection sunday sees us truly making the tourney, even with a favorable opponent, but hours before the game, we learn of an exposure by a Delaware cheerleader that our walk-on player met on Tinder and was exposed to (obvious set up by The Hens). Player turns positive for COVID and we lose by forfeit. Curse, however, is broken after FINALLY finding the cure...a taste of our own medicine.

See Also: how Stella got her feathers back.

Even more underhanded, we could find someone who tested positive for COVID and get them to hang out with each of our upcoming opponents. Send the secret video to the league/ NCAA office. We could go all the way!

(02-25-2021 10:35 AM)TDenverFan Wrote: [ -> ]...
If a team tests positive between now and March 4th they would be out for the CAA tournament, but would have completed a 2 week quarantine by the NCAA tournament.

Which would mean absolutely nothing because any team that misses the CAA tournament is automatically missing the NCAA tournament in our one-bid league. The only way that timeframe means anything is if the entire CAA tournament is cancelled and the designated top team was already in protocol.

(02-25-2021 03:06 PM)nogretheogre Wrote: [ -> ]NCAA tourney rules for replacing a team if COVID hits

https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basket...ent-begins

The article says that "[i]f a team from a multibid league, whether it's an at-large team or an automatic qualifier, is forced to withdraw, the last four teams not selected as at-large teams in the original field will be ranked 1-4 and designated as the replacement teams. Replacement teams will be placed in the same bracket position vacated by the withdrawing team."

Wow, if I am reading this correctly, if say UVA is a 4 seed and gets the bug, the last team out now becomes a 4 seed. That's not a bad deal.

JMU and Drexel tip off in less than 30 minutes. A JMU win puts us against Charleston. A JMU loss(Drexel win) means we are in the Keener/Rowe invitational.

Per HyperDuke, Matt Lewis might not play today. That decision might make a Drexel victory more likely.

(02-26-2021 03:42 PM)TribePride91 Wrote: [ -> ]JMU and Drexel tip off in less than 30 minutes. A JMU win puts us against Charleston. A JMU loss(Drexel win) means we are in the Keener/Rowe invitational.

Per HyperDuke, Matt Lewis might not play today. That decision might make a Drexel victory more likely.

Lewis is on crutches and I think that the JMU announcers said that he is out for 8 weeks.

Tough way for his career to end. Also, makes it much more likely the Tribe is off to the play in round.

(02-26-2021 04:04 PM)WMTRIBE75 Wrote: [ -> ]

(02-26-2021 03:42 PM)TribePride91 Wrote: [ -> ]JMU and Drexel tip off in less than 30 minutes. A JMU win puts us against Charleston. A JMU loss(Drexel win) means we are in the Keener/Rowe invitational.

Per HyperDuke, Matt Lewis might not play today. That decision might make a Drexel victory more likely.

Lewis is on crutches and I think that the JMU announcers said that he is out for 8 weeks.

Highly talented player from my home area. Very unfortunate for Matt.

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Drexel likely to be the far more motivated team and the more healthy team as well. Tourney will be wide open for the 6 teams that only have to win 3. Plus 6 seed might catch a big break with Charleston not even certain to play at all due to COVID.