Revised for the global pandemic sitch:
UCF: 0
Memphis: 0
Cincinnati: 0
Navy: 0
SMU: 0
Houston: 0
Tulane: 0
Tulsa: 0
Temple: 0
USF: 0
ECU: 0
I rewatched some Tiger football games recently and it reminded me of the razor thin differences between winning and losing games. For example, Memphis lost or won four games by six points or less.
Yeah, I'm taking the under on UCF. That might be an accurate figure if Milton was coming back 100% but I just don't see that happening.
Of course take the under on Memphis because, well, we're winning the league next season.
And hey, I think the two strongest picks remaining are to take the over on Tulane and ECU. Seriously.
Houston will hit the over on defensive improvement alone. Stealing $$.
This suggests that the entire conference is very capable of reaching 6 wins provided things break right. I fear we are too balanced of a league for our own good.
Was really hoping we'd see another low O/U on UC this year.
UC opened at 5.5 last year. It was a brutal vig, but still. Settled around 6.5. I hammered that while laughing.
Was hoping for 7.5 this year so I could do the same, but 8.5 is a lot more fair. That feels about right.
(04-06-2020 10:40 AM)stxrunner Wrote: [ -> ]Was really hoping we'd see another low O/U on UC this year.
UC opened at 5.5 last year. It was a brutal vig, but still. Settled around 6.5. I hammered that while laughing.
Was hoping for 7.5 this year so I could do the same, but 8.5 is a lot more fair. That feels about right.
You can lose 3 games and collect. UCf away, Memphis home, and Nebraska away are the big three we could lose and still collect. We would have to run the table against notably smu at home, Houston at home and temple away. It still seems like a doable bet.
(04-05-2020 08:53 AM)Bear Catlett Wrote: [ -> ]Yeah, I'm taking the under on UCF. That might be an accurate figure if Milton was coming back 100% but I just don't see that happening.
Of course take the under on Memphis because, well, we're winning the league next season.
And hey, I think the two strongest picks remaining are to take the over on Tulane and ECU. Seriously.
I'm sure they calculated Milton not coming back into that number. Hell, Gabriel had amazing numbers last season. We won 10+ the last few years. Seems like a safe prediction. Not a real reach saying 9.5 for UCF.
UCONN 2.5. That program is looking up already.
(04-06-2020 03:24 PM)Jugnaut Wrote: [ -> ] (04-05-2020 08:53 AM)Bear Catlett Wrote: [ -> ]Yeah, I'm taking the under on UCF. That might be an accurate figure if Milton was coming back 100% but I just don't see that happening.
Of course take the under on Memphis because, well, we're winning the league next season.
And hey, I think the two strongest picks remaining are to take the over on Tulane and ECU. Seriously.
I'm sure they calculated Milton not coming back into that number. Hell, Gabriel had amazing numbers last season. We won 10+ the last few years. Seems like a safe prediction. Not a real reach saying 9.5 for UCF.
Yea was gonna say I thought that one was easy money. I think UCF is 10-3 at worst at seasons end
(04-06-2020 09:06 PM)Fishpro10987 Wrote: [ -> ]UCONN 2.5. That program is looking up already.
We're a +4 at home against Maine LOL
(04-06-2020 09:42 PM)Nameless Wrote: [ -> ] (04-06-2020 03:24 PM)Jugnaut Wrote: [ -> ] (04-05-2020 08:53 AM)Bear Catlett Wrote: [ -> ]Yeah, I'm taking the under on UCF. That might be an accurate figure if Milton was coming back 100% but I just don't see that happening.
Of course take the under on Memphis because, well, we're winning the league next season.
And hey, I think the two strongest picks remaining are to take the over on Tulane and ECU. Seriously.
I'm sure they calculated Milton not coming back into that number. Hell, Gabriel had amazing numbers last season. We won 10+ the last few years. Seems like a safe prediction. Not a real reach saying 9.5 for UCF.
Yea was gonna say I thought that one was easy money. I think UCF is 10-3 at worst at seasons end
The number has to be reached in the 12 game regular season.
(04-06-2020 09:42 PM)Nameless Wrote: [ -> ] (04-06-2020 03:24 PM)Jugnaut Wrote: [ -> ] (04-05-2020 08:53 AM)Bear Catlett Wrote: [ -> ]Yeah, I'm taking the under on UCF. That might be an accurate figure if Milton was coming back 100% but I just don't see that happening.
Of course take the under on Memphis because, well, we're winning the league next season.
And hey, I think the two strongest picks remaining are to take the over on Tulane and ECU. Seriously.
I'm sure they calculated Milton not coming back into that number. Hell, Gabriel had amazing numbers last season. We won 10+ the last few years. Seems like a safe prediction. Not a real reach saying 9.5 for UCF.
Yea was gonna say I thought that one was easy money. I think UCF is 10-3 at worst at seasons end
Milton is a difference maker.
However, without him I think UCF is trending, albeit slowly, downward. Frost's teams never would have lost to Pitt or Tulsa by blowing late leads.
(04-07-2020 12:21 PM)Bear Catlett Wrote: [ -> ] (04-06-2020 09:42 PM)Nameless Wrote: [ -> ] (04-06-2020 03:24 PM)Jugnaut Wrote: [ -> ] (04-05-2020 08:53 AM)Bear Catlett Wrote: [ -> ]Yeah, I'm taking the under on UCF. That might be an accurate figure if Milton was coming back 100% but I just don't see that happening.
Of course take the under on Memphis because, well, we're winning the league next season.
And hey, I think the two strongest picks remaining are to take the over on Tulane and ECU. Seriously.
I'm sure they calculated Milton not coming back into that number. Hell, Gabriel had amazing numbers last season. We won 10+ the last few years. Seems like a safe prediction. Not a real reach saying 9.5 for UCF.
Yea was gonna say I thought that one was easy money. I think UCF is 10-3 at worst at seasons end
Milton is a difference maker.
However, without him I think UCF is trending, albeit slowly, downward. Frost's teams never would have lost to Pitt or Tulsa by blowing late leads.
No we aren’t. We lost 3 games by a total of like 7 points with a true freshman QB and basically a brand new D line. Gabriel was a freshman all American QB and will be even better this year.
(04-07-2020 07:59 AM)TripleA Wrote: [ -> ] (04-06-2020 09:42 PM)Nameless Wrote: [ -> ] (04-06-2020 03:24 PM)Jugnaut Wrote: [ -> ] (04-05-2020 08:53 AM)Bear Catlett Wrote: [ -> ]Yeah, I'm taking the under on UCF. That might be an accurate figure if Milton was coming back 100% but I just don't see that happening.
Of course take the under on Memphis because, well, we're winning the league next season.
And hey, I think the two strongest picks remaining are to take the over on Tulane and ECU. Seriously.
I'm sure they calculated Milton not coming back into that number. Hell, Gabriel had amazing numbers last season. We won 10+ the last few years. Seems like a safe prediction. Not a real reach saying 9.5 for UCF.
Yea was gonna say I thought that one was easy money. I think UCF is 10-3 at worst at seasons end
The number has to be reached in the 12 game regular season.
Oh ok, the line makes sense then. Thanks
(04-07-2020 12:29 PM)BraveKnight Wrote: [ -> ] (04-07-2020 12:21 PM)Bear Catlett Wrote: [ -> ] (04-06-2020 09:42 PM)Nameless Wrote: [ -> ] (04-06-2020 03:24 PM)Jugnaut Wrote: [ -> ] (04-05-2020 08:53 AM)Bear Catlett Wrote: [ -> ]Yeah, I'm taking the under on UCF. That might be an accurate figure if Milton was coming back 100% but I just don't see that happening.
Of course take the under on Memphis because, well, we're winning the league next season.
And hey, I think the two strongest picks remaining are to take the over on Tulane and ECU. Seriously.
I'm sure they calculated Milton not coming back into that number. Hell, Gabriel had amazing numbers last season. We won 10+ the last few years. Seems like a safe prediction. Not a real reach saying 9.5 for UCF.
Yea was gonna say I thought that one was easy money. I think UCF is 10-3 at worst at seasons end
Milton is a difference maker.
However, without him I think UCF is trending, albeit slowly, downward. Frost's teams never would have lost to Pitt or Tulsa by blowing late leads.
No we aren’t. We lost 3 games by a total of like 7 points with a true freshman QB and basically a brand new D line. Gabriel was a freshman all American QB and will be even better this year.
I said "slowly". I don't think you'll be 5-7 next year.
What I am saying is that there are chinks being discovered in the armor there, though.
D gave up a lot of points. Just could not hold out Pitt and Tulsa, two L's that should have been W's.
One blown game, OK. Two shows a bit of a pattern.
Plus, Fickell and Freeman out coached Heupel pretty well. We were up 11 until you guys scored a TD an 2 pt conversion late to get within three.
(04-06-2020 09:43 PM)Nameless Wrote: [ -> ] (04-06-2020 09:06 PM)Fishpro10987 Wrote: [ -> ]UCONN 2.5. That program is looking up already.
We're a +4 at home against Maine LOL
A Curtis Johnson led Tulane team beat Maine... ...by 31.
(04-07-2020 03:00 PM)Bear Catlett Wrote: [ -> ] (04-07-2020 12:29 PM)BraveKnight Wrote: [ -> ] (04-07-2020 12:21 PM)Bear Catlett Wrote: [ -> ] (04-06-2020 09:42 PM)Nameless Wrote: [ -> ] (04-06-2020 03:24 PM)Jugnaut Wrote: [ -> ]I'm sure they calculated Milton not coming back into that number. Hell, Gabriel had amazing numbers last season. We won 10+ the last few years. Seems like a safe prediction. Not a real reach saying 9.5 for UCF.
Yea was gonna say I thought that one was easy money. I think UCF is 10-3 at worst at seasons end
Milton is a difference maker.
However, without him I think UCF is trending, albeit slowly, downward. Frost's teams never would have lost to Pitt or Tulsa by blowing late leads.
No we aren’t. We lost 3 games by a total of like 7 points with a true freshman QB and basically a brand new D line. Gabriel was a freshman all American QB and will be even better this year.
I said "slowly". I don't think you'll be 5-7 next year.
What I am saying is that there are chinks being discovered in the armor there, though.
D gave up a lot of points. Just could not hold out Pitt and Tulsa, two L's that should have been W's.
One blown game, OK. Two shows a bit of a pattern.
Plus, Fickell and Freeman out coached Heupel pretty well. We were up 11 until you guys scored a TD an 2 pt conversion late to get within three.
Did you read what I said? We had an inexperienced Dline and a freshman QB. Did you forget Heupel outcoached Fickell 36-13 the year before? UCF is going nowhere. We had a down year last year, and we still finished the season ranked.