Ohio @ Idaho......Ohio -11
Charlotte @ Georgia State.......Georgia State -7.5
New Mexico State @ Florida.....Florida -35.5
ULM @ Georgia.....Georgia -36
Cajuns @ Kentucky......Kentucky -13.5
Texas State @ Florida State......Florida State -33.5
stAte @ USC.....USC -31
http://www.5dimes.eu/livelines/livelines.aspx#al_25
(06-17-2015 08:38 PM)CajunFanatico Wrote: [ -> ]Ohio @ Idaho......Ohio -11
Charlotte @ Georgia State.......Georgia State -7.5
New Mexico State @ Florida.....Florida -35.5
ULM @ Georgia.....Georgia -36
Cajuns @ Kentucky......Kentucky -13.5
Texas State @ Florida State......Florida State -33.5
stAte @ USC.....USC -31
http://www.5dimes.eu/livelines/livelines.aspx#al_25
Well, at least we're not The Biggest SBC Dog of the week .. . . .
I think that stAte line will shift some, the rest i'm not so sure.
After AState beats USC, will it be the biggest upset in league history, or was ULM a bigger underdog against the pigs?
I wonder if anyone would notice if the Belt swept those opening week games?
:( guess us and WVU are chopped liver
(06-17-2015 09:27 PM)chiefsfan Wrote: [ -> ]After AState beats USC, will it be the biggest upset in league history, or was ULM a bigger underdog against the pigs?
Closing line was 30. That is probably the biggest Sun Belt upset so far.
Incidentally, I think Stanford over USC is still the biggest point spread upset. USC was 40/41 point favorites and lost.
http://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball...hian-state
This may be Idaho's only chance for a win...
(06-17-2015 09:49 PM)boroeagle2 Wrote: [ -> ]:( guess us and WVU are chopped liver
Snot my fault they didn't list you guys.
Nice to see GSU favored by nearly 8.
(06-17-2015 09:36 PM)CajunFanatico Wrote: [ -> ]I wonder if anyone would notice if the Belt swept those opening week games?
I would spend it all......and not look back cause the END is coming....but at least a chuckle and a smile to go out with....
(06-17-2015 09:49 PM)boroeagle2 Wrote: [ -> ]:( guess us and WVU are chopped liver
Georgia Southern....by 1
likely not going to happen....but it could...
I would assume WVU by 15, but maybe they are having a hard time with this one. GS is like 20-1 (maybe not that high, but I think we've only not be the spread when given once) against the spread. If they come out with anything higher than WVU -17.5, take GS to beat the spread.
(06-18-2015 08:39 AM)trueeagle98 Wrote: [ -> ]I would assume WVU by 15, but maybe they are having a hard time with this one. GS is like 20-1 (maybe not that high, but I think we've only not be the spread when given once) against the spread. If they come out with anything higher than WVU -17.5, take GS to beat the spread.
NC State was something like -22 and so was Georgia Tech. If it's anything like that then it's easy money just like those games were.
It usually is easy money. That may be why the bookies are having a hard time. Of course the spread is more influenced on them trying to get people betting as much as them trying to predict the outcome. Of course listening to WVU fans, you would think anything less than 35 point spread is insulting to them. Go ahead and set it that high. I'll take the money and a win in hilly billy land.
Just realized the stAte game doesn't start until 11:00pm EST.
(My sister lives in Cali, so I get it)
But geez... I wanted to try and catch that game somehow, not sure I'll make it.
(06-18-2015 08:48 AM)trueeagle98 Wrote: [ -> ]It usually is easy money. That may be why the bookies are having a hard time. Of course the spread is more influenced on them trying to get people betting as much as them trying to predict the outcome. Of course listening to WVU fans, you would think anything less than 35 point spread is insulting to them. Go ahead and set it that high. I'll take the money and a win in hilly billy land.
Vegas sets and moves the lines in an attempt to clear 5% off of all money wagered on each game in "juice", a.k.a. "vig" (for football, it's +10% for each losing wager) in a best case scenario. The intent is to have (for example) just as many dollars wagered on Ohio -11 and Idaho +11. If there were $10M bet each way, Vegas makes 10% on half of the money wagered (+$100K), which is why the lines move up and down regularly. If 80% of the money is wagered on Ohio -11 and 20% on Idaho +11 and Ohio covers, Vegas (and bookies) only make 10% on the Idaho bettors (+$40K) and LOSE 100% of the Ohio wagers (-$10M) resulting in a disastrous Vegas loss of -$19,960,000 on the deal. This doesn't happen often because, again, the oddsmakers move those lines back and forth to keep it as close as possible to their 50/50 goal.
Individual bookies, at least the successful ones, do the same thing which is why their lines might be different than the Vegas lines at any given time. Here's an example. Down here in LA (Lower Alabama) everybody takes Auburn and Alabama to cover the spread, so since Alabama doesn't have legal sportsbetting they (the bookies) don't have to compete with Vegas and therefore; they may increase their line to Alabama -20 while Vegas has -15 to encourage more bettors to take the underdog.
The books don't set the lines at what the individual oddsmakers really THINK will be the result as much as they go by what they THINK will entice bettors to lay down equal money on both the underdog and the favorite.
Just in case anybody was wondering
***FULL DISCLOSURE: I am a professional sports handicapper.
(06-17-2015 08:38 PM)CajunFanatico Wrote: [ -> ]Ohio @ Idaho......Ohio -11
Charlotte @ Georgia State.......Georgia State -7.5
New Mexico State @ Florida.....Florida -35.5
ULM @ Georgia.....Georgia -36
Cajuns @ Kentucky......Kentucky -13.5
Texas State @ Florida State......Florida State -33.5
stAte @ USC.....USC -31
http://www.5dimes.eu/livelines/livelines.aspx#al_25
Arkansas State and the Cajuns cover. Ohio and Charlotte also out-do themselves.
(06-18-2015 09:12 AM)airtroop Wrote: [ -> ] (06-18-2015 08:48 AM)trueeagle98 Wrote: [ -> ]It usually is easy money. That may be why the bookies are having a hard time. Of course the spread is more influenced on them trying to get people betting as much as them trying to predict the outcome. Of course listening to WVU fans, you would think anything less than 35 point spread is insulting to them. Go ahead and set it that high. I'll take the money and a win in hilly billy land.
Vegas sets and moves the lines in an effort to make 10% on each game in "juice", a.k.a. "vig". The intent is to have (for example) just as many dollars wagered on Ohio -11 and Idaho +11. If there were $10M bet each way, Vegas makes 10% on the entire $20M, which is why the lines move up and down regularly. If 80% of the money is wagered on Ohio -11 and 20% on Idaho +11 and Ohio covers, Vegas (and bookies) only make 10% on the Idaho bettors (+$40K) and LOSE 100% of the Ohio wagers (-$19,960,000) resulting in a disastrous Vegas loss of -$19,920,000 on the deal.
Individual bookies, at least the successful ones, do the same thing which is why their lines might be different than the Vegas lines at any given time. Here's an example. Down here in LA (Lower Alabama) everybody takes Auburn and Alabama to cover the spread, so since Alabama doesn't have legal sportsbetting they (the bookies) don't have to compete with Vegas and therefore; they may increase their line to Alabama -20 while Vegas has -15 to encourage more bettors to take the underdog.
The books don't set the lines at what the individual oddsmakers really THINK will be the result as much as they go by what they THINK will entice bettors to lay down equal money on both the underdog and the favorite.
Just in case anybody was wondering
***FULL DISCLOSURE: I am a professional sports handicapper (NOT to be confused with a bookie. My profession is 100% legal in every state).
Thanks airtroop. Glad you could explain this clearly. Too often people see these lines and misinterpret their meaning (in other words, disrespecting your team, thinking highly of your team, etc.). When they're really there to entice bettors as a whole to put equal money on both sides.