CSNbbs

No votes in either poll this week. New Mexico is barely getting votes (3) and UNC only moved up three spots to 18 in the Coaches Poll after their win over Kentucky. Also, LSU isn't getting any votes either.

I believe UNC's win over UKY was seen as more an indictment of UKY than a big plus for UNC, at least for the time being. If Bellmont and UAB, as well as UNC, continue to win, UNC's losses might be perceived differently later in this season.

Kansas beat New Mexico by 17 points two days ago. New Mexico did beat Cincinnati by 9 points over a week ago.

KenPom.com has North Carolina at 10, New Mexico at 35, and UAB 83.

Four C-USA teams are in the top 100: Southern Miss - 72, La Tech - 75, UAB - 83, UTEP - 91, and Charlotte - 99.

Middle TN is 115.

it is not football, the ranking mean nothing .
kenPOM got some bias toward bcs conference for some strange reason
UAB need to keep winning as many games as possible and win the conference tournament to be sure to be in .
We got all the ingredients (except playing in bhm) to win the cusa tournament
Game like yesterday was bad for the rpi but it was a good game for the bench players
Beside winning all the rest of the game except losing one game maybe 2 ,,,I dont see UAB getting an at large bid

I was looking at the Massey Ratings site for UAB. He does a win probability for each game, and there are only three games left on the schedule that we aren't favored to win. @LSU is 21%, @Middle is 41%, and @Charlotte is 42%. Things are never that clean, but that would put us finishing with a 25-5 record. We only had a 26% probability of winning the UNC game and 30% against New Mexico. Our toughest home games remaining are Southern Miss at 54% and Louisiana Tech at 56%. Interesting data.

http://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=87&s=203290

Even if we win out, we probably aren't looking at being ranked until late February. And then it will be the fact that we are something like a gazillion and 2.

And as stated above. It doesn't matter

ALL UAB can do is win, win and win. It can't decide how its wins will be regarded by others. It also is helpless to get wins for Bellmont, UNC or any other school in the nation. So much of a team's national evaluation is out of its direct control that it is only distracting from "the prize" to get involved in wishing for different judges. UAB has one of its best teams in recent history so let's just enjoy being along for the ride.

RPI forecast has us losing to @LSU, @MTSU, @Tulsa, @Charlotte, & La tech

I don't get why anyone listens to KenPom around here. Does he still have Alabama 30-40 spots higher than UAB? Because he did after they lost to Drexel and UAB beat UNC.

(12-16-2013 02:32 PM)mixduptransistor Wrote: [ -> ]I don't get why anyone listens to KenPom around here. Does he still have Alabama 30-40 spots higher than UAB? Because he did after they lost to Drexel and UAB beat UNC.

He still does.

(12-16-2013 02:29 PM)BAMANBLAZERFAN Wrote: [ -> ]ALL UAB can do is win, win and win. It can't decide how its wins will be regarded by others. It also is helpless to get wins for Bellmont, UNC or any other school in the nation. So much of a team's national evaluation is out of its direct control that it is only distracting from "the prize" to get involved in wishing for different judges. UAB has one of its best teams in recent history so let's just enjoy being along for the ride.

Belmont means very little to us.

So does Bellmont.

This isnt really pertinent to this thread but I didnt want to start a new topic. Can someone explain the conference tourney format for this year? I understand seeds 1-4 get a double bye and seeds 5-9 get a bye, so that leaves 10-15 (I think FIU is excluded for some reason).

NM. I see how its going to work. We need a top 4 seed. Double bye is huge.

Lose to LSU, we won't be ranked. beat lsu and aamu. I think we will be ranked.

(12-16-2013 03:56 PM)BlazintheATL Wrote: [ -> ]This isnt really pertinent to this thread but I didnt want to start a new topic. Can someone explain the conference tourney format for this year? I understand seeds 1-4 get a double bye and seeds 5-9 get a bye, so that leaves 10-15 (I think FIU is excluded for some reason).

NM. I see how its going to work. We need a top 4 seed. Double bye is huge.

Yep. Seeds 1-4 only need to win three straight. 5-9 would need to win four straight, and 10-15 would need to win five straight.

(12-16-2013 02:32 PM)mixduptransistor Wrote: [ -> ]I don't get why anyone listens to KenPom around here. Does he still have Alabama 30-40 spots higher than UAB? Because he did after they lost to Drexel and UAB beat UNC.

UAT - 43
UAB - 83

UAT's non-conference strength of schedule - 97
UAB's non-conference strength of schedule - 218

(12-16-2013 04:04 PM)BlazeNBham Wrote: [ -> ]Lose to LSU, we won't be ranked. beat lsu and aamu. I think we will be ranked.

(12-16-2013 06:23 PM)BamaScorpio69 Wrote: [ -> ]

(12-16-2013 04:04 PM)BlazeNBham Wrote: [ -> ]Lose to LSU, we won't be ranked. beat lsu and aamu. I think we will be ranked.

I should have said "I think we should be ranked"

We're currently 8-2. We're in C-USA. IMO, we need to be at least 18-2 to be ranked (i.e. not just receiving votes but in the Top 25). Even then, there would only be two notable wins -- UNC and LSU -- for the voters to chew on.

Final answer
win win win
Final Record Expected RPI Probability
26-2 25.5 0.02%
25-3 27.7 0.15%
24-4 37.4 0.80%
23-5 46.4 3.39%
22-6 57.9 8.82%
21-7 69.5 15.99%
20-8 82.6 20.25%
19-9 95.8 20.35%
18-10 111.9 15.17%
17-11 129.0 9.06%
16-12 148.8 4.26%
15-13 170.5 1.30%
14-14 195.2 0.31%
13-15 209.5 0.11%
12-16 217.0 0.01%