Season Simulation - be interesting to see how this shakes out as the season progresses . . .
http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/projecti...cketology/
76.4% Middle Tennessee
27.1% North Texas
19.3% South Alabama
12.2% Arkansas State
6.1% Western Kentucky
3.4% FAU
2.0% Louisiana Lafayette
0.9% Troy
0.6% FIU
0.1% ULM
[quote='WinstonTheWolf' pid='8505361' dateline='1352740662']
Season Simulation - be interesting to see how this shakes out as the season progresses . . .
http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/projecti...cketology/
76.4% Middle Tennessee
27.1% North Texas
19.3% South Alabama
12.2% Arkansas State
6.1% Western Kentucky
3.4% FAU
2.0% Louisiana Lafayette
/quote]
I am sure last season WKU had a 0.1 percent chance of making tournament, we all know how that turned out...
0.9% Troy
0.6% FIU
0.1% ULM
This is pretty much useless since our conference regular season is worthless.
(11-12-2012 03:41 PM)MTowho Wrote: [ -> ]This is pretty much useless since our conference regular season is worthless.
I don't know how good they are at the simulations . . . but they claim to be simulating the conference tournaments. I'd think that it might be useful in that it factors in schedules (and strengths thereof) in the calculations if it is done as well as I think it is.
Several times a day, we simulate the entire college basketball season. Not only does that include currently scheduled games, plus the conference tournaments, it also includes NCAA tournament selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself.
So I wonder how much their numbers changed after South be FSU in their house???
(11-12-2012 03:52 PM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote: [ -> ] (11-12-2012 03:41 PM)MTowho Wrote: [ -> ]This is pretty much useless since our conference regular season is worthless.
I don't know how good they are at the simulations . . . but they claim to be simulating the conference tournaments. I'd think that it might be useful in that it factors in schedules (and strengths thereof) in the calculations if it is done as well as I think it is.
Several times a day, we simulate the entire college basketball season. Not only does that include currently scheduled games, plus the conference tournaments, it also includes NCAA tournament selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself.
That's fair. I just think that predicting the team that gets our auto bid is similar to drawing straws.
(11-12-2012 03:56 PM)Usajags Wrote: [ -> ]So I wonder how much their numbers changed after South be FSU in their house???
That's the kind of thing I'm interested in following. It should have bumped South Al up nicely.
(11-12-2012 03:56 PM)Usajags Wrote: [ -> ]So I wonder how much their numbers changed after South be FSU in their house???
NT 9.0% - down from 27.5% chance to make the tourney. The computer algos were not impressed with their loss!
http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/projecti...cketology/
USA up to 22.3% from 18.4%.
stAte up to 13.6% from 12.3%.
Hmm, seems like stAte would have benefited more since they are both in the west division.