03-06-2011, 10:24 AM
Well, this formula has been dealt a death-blow by the way this year's ratings turned out. Buffalo is the favorite to win the MAC Tournament.
This is based on the log5 formula made by Bill James and the Offensive and Defensive ratings of each team (factoring in home court advantage in the first round).
This is based on the log5 formula made by Bill James and the Offensive and Defensive ratings of each team (factoring in home court advantage in the first round).
Code:
Seed Team Quarters Semis Finals Win
8 Buffalo 92.68% 50.21% 31.97% 20.42%
6 Akron 90.79% 58.66% 37.65% 19.01%
1 Kent St 100.00% 48.71% 29.10% 17.47%
2 WMU 100.00% 72.75% 34.97% 14.68%
5 Ohio 96.65% 52.92% 21.64% 11.43%
4 Ball St 100.00% 46.84% 17.05% 8.22%
3 Mami 100.00% 38.99% 19.56% 7.06%
7 BGSU 69.12% 19.62% 5.37% 1.21%
10 NIU 30.88% 7.63% 1.82% 0.35%
11 EMU 9.21% 2.35% 0.63% 0.10%
9 CMU 7.32% 1.08% 0.22% 0.05%
12 Toledo 3.35% 0.24% 0.01% 0.0008%