The ever informative Congrove computer rankings are out and posted on CFP.
For background on the unbiased Congrove ranking system visit:
College Football Poll.com
Biggest Surprise
#1 Boisie State! 98.50/81 WOOT!!
The MAC stacks up as follows: power rank/sos
#31 Central MI - 74.82/102
#33 Temple - 74.75/99
#67 Ohio U - 65.64/112
#75 N.Illinois - 64.16/117
#79 Bowlin Green - 62.20/86
#85 Kent St. - 60.94/107
#90 Ball St. - 59.94/119
#91 Buffalo - 59.90/109
#92 Toledo - 59.14/66
#93 Western MI - 59.02/116
#105 Miami OH - 55.54/68
#114 Akron - 50.94/115
#120 Eastern MI - 47.59/100
Notables from Akron schedule:homer:
#88 Syracuse - 60.41/71 (BigE)
#78 Kentucky - 62.35/85 (SEC)
#96 Indiana - 58.52/75 (Delaney'sDozen)
Alright iCoach, it's not an impossible ooc schedule, lets see whatcha got!
Interesting stuff...
You have Temple as #1 in the conference yet losing to CMU in the MAC championship game...
(08-16-2010 11:46 AM)WallyB Wrote: [ -> ]The ever informative Congrove computer rankings are out and posted on CFP.
For background on the unbiased Congrove ranking system visit: College Football Poll.com
Biggest Surprise
#1 Boisie State! 98.50/81 WOOT!!
The MAC stacks up as follows: power rank/sos
#31 Central MI - 74.82/102
#33 Temple - 74.75/99
#67 Ohio U - 65.64/112
#75 N.Illinois - 64.16/117
#79 Bowlin Green - 62.20/86
#85 Kent St. - 60.94/107
#90 Ball St. - 59.94/119
#91 Buffalo - 59.90/109
#92 Toledo - 59.14/66
#93 Western MI - 59.02/116
#105 Miami OH - 55.54/68
#114 Akron - 50.94/115
#120 Eastern MI - 47.59/100
Notables from Akron schedule:homer:
#88 Syracuse - 60.41/71 (BigE)
#78 Kentucky - 62.35/85 (SEC)
#96 Indiana - 58.52/75 (Delaney'sDozen)
Alright iCoach, it's not an impossible ooc schedule, lets see whatcha got!
Computers are never wrong. Back-back MAC titles again!
So... how can it be unbiased and still have teams rated better than others without any games having been played?
Simple. They take out bs
factors like bcs affiliation, stadium capacity and tv exposure and use real facts. Just like Lee Corso
I've followed this site for about five years, and they are as good as anybody with their predictions. They also have the balls to rank every team and predict every game. If you follow your teams "current" page they continue to list their pre-season predictions along w/ game day predictions and actual results. This is easy for a Texas or Ohio State but for all 120 :ncaabbs: that takes balls, and statistically the results pan out over subsequent seasons
I am also a fan of Saragin
Quote:ABOUT THE RANKINGS
Congrove's approach is vastly different from the numerous computer rankings available and the goals can be summarized in two words - simplicity and accountability.
Simplicity. The computer program is designed to predict who is supposed to beat who and by how much.
What actually happens when the game is played directly alters subsequent predictions. A unique "season-averaging variable" prevents wild fluctuations due to anomalies, and renders it meaningless to "run up the score".
A strong team that is supposed to whip an obviously out-matched opponent by 40, but wins by 60, only sees a fraction of the difference added to their power rating. If they win by only 20, the failure to "cover" the other 20 points also declines their power rating only fractionally.
The rise and fall of a team's Power Rating is relevant to the strength of the team it played, whether it won or lost, and how other teams fared against similar opponents.
Accountability. The Congrove Computer Rankings are designed to predict the outcome. Success is determined by how many games were predicted correctly.
College Football Poll.com not only publishes the rankings, but also provides the computer's pick of every game and tracks the success rate by each team and conference. Our users can plainly see where the computer is right, and where it is wrong. Or, as Congrove half-jokingly likes to say, "You can plainly see where teams failed to do what they were supposed to do. Nothing ticks me off more than two football teams blowing a perfectly good prediction."
Additionally, the Season Preview section features team pages that highlight the computer's predicted record of every team for every year since 1993, and compares it to their actual record.
Results. The Congrove Computer Rankings have picked the winner in 74.8% of all games played since 1993 (9,039-3,046) while beating the spread in 53.9% of those games (5,968-5,103). In the 2009 season, the computer won 75.1% SU and 53.8% ATS. (year-by-year record of computer).
For 2009, it projected the exact regular season record of 23 teams, came within one victory on 34 others, and within two victories on 23 more teams.
The computer has predicted the national title match-up three times (1993, 1998 and 2005), and at least one contestant every year except 1994, 1997, 2001 and 2006. The team it picked to win the title did so three times (1993, 1998, and 1999), and lost in the title game four times (2000, 2003, 2004, 2005).
(08-16-2010 11:59 AM)victory engineer Wrote: [ -> ]Interesting stuff...
You have Temple as #1 in the conference yet losing to CMU in the MAC championship game...
0.07 :007: is about as close as it get Moneypenny....
Surely you aren't upset w/ an end of season ranking of #15 are you
CMU finshing at #23 as well would make for an incredible championship game!
(08-16-2010 04:41 PM)WallyB Wrote: [ -> ] (08-16-2010 11:59 AM)victory engineer Wrote: [ -> ]Interesting stuff...
You have Temple as #1 in the conference yet losing to CMU in the MAC championship game...
0.07 :007: is about as close as it get Moneypenny....
Surely you aren't upset w/ an end of season ranking of #15 are you
CMU finshing at #23 as well would make for an incredible championship game!
upset no... but how do the finish 15th and lose to CMU... thats my question
Central Michigan scores more points.
I took Boise in Vegas last March to win the NC. Nice odds (think it was greater then 10:1).
Just hoping they make the NC game and then let's play the game.
(08-16-2010 04:57 PM)victory engineer Wrote: [ -> ] (08-16-2010 04:41 PM)WallyB Wrote: [ -> ] (08-16-2010 11:59 AM)victory engineer Wrote: [ -> ]Interesting stuff...
You have Temple as #1 in the conference yet losing to CMU in the MAC championship game...
0.07 :007: is about as close as it get Moneypenny....
Surely you aren't upset w/ an end of season ranking of #15 are you
CMU finshing at #23 as well would make for an incredible championship game!
upset no... but how do the finish 15th and lose to CMU... thats my question
My understanding is Temple ends the regular season ranked 15th out of 120, while they lose by 0.07 when matched up directly w/ CMU. I assume the rankings would change again before bowl season and one last time after the NC game.....