It has come to my attention that there is no pointspread for tonight's cager tilt between two of east Tennessee's finest.
If there was anything else that let us know the SoCon was superior to the A-Sun, yes, the Southern Conference teams and games get pointspreads out in Vegas, but the A-Sun does not.
Regardless, I started thinking if Roxy Roxborough was going to sit down on the job, maybe we could make a line.
My guess is Tennessee would be somewhere around a 20 point favorite.
(12-02-2009 02:48 PM)PittsburghBucs Wrote: [ -> ]If there was anything else that let us know the SoCon was superior to the A-Sun, yes, the Southern Conference teams and games get pointspreads out in Vegas, but the A-Sun does not.
Wow! I didn't know that. I guess that also explains why A-Sun teams are never on ESPN's Streak for Cash either, which sucks.
Anyway I had a dream a few nights ago that we won by 1 point. So I'll go with my dream. The Bucs win by 1.
Are you saying you would set a line making ETSU -6 in this game?
I think you need a course on Pointspread Making 101!
Yea I would say around 20 points. We played well against Louisville, lost by 13, and UT is much better than Louisville. If we can stay within 20 I will be as happy as is possible with a loss
If you're talking to me....I freely admit to not having the first clue to how point spreads are made. I just hope the bucs win by six. This may come as a shock but if you throw out ETSU....I'm not really a sports fan.
Okay, here's what I know. It's not a lot, but regardless-
In football, and possibly basketball too, the home team gets three points. A Detroit Lions might get only two, and a really good home team (say the Broncos or Steelers) might get four, but that's about the first thing.
So, for instance, tomorrow's Jets/Bills game in Toronto has the Bills as a three point underdog. If the game was in Buffalo, it would likely be even money, and if it was at the Meadowlands, the Jets would likely be a six point favorite.
What I look at is that Tennessee has done well against mid-majors this season. Interestingly enough, the Vols generally have not covered much. They were a 26 point favorite against C of C, and only won by 17. They pushed against Purdue (1-point dog), and didn't cover against Austin Peay (24-point favorite, only won by 19) and really slumped against DePaul (4-point victory, 19.5-point favorite).
The Vols did cover against East Carolina, winning by 39 as a 27-point favorite.
So, starting with the Vols being a 3-point favorite as the home team, and then looking at how the line has gone down for them progressively against mid-majors and the Vols 17-point victory in their last game as a mid-major, I say 20 points.
Yes, the Bucs did beat C of C by six. But remember, a line is not a projection of the margin of victory as much as it is a way to even the betting on both sides.
Hence, you'll have the 20-point spread as a way to get the Vols fans and betters that don't know any better to say "This is a nationally ranked team- they ought to win by AT LEAST THAT" to go that way and the ETSU fans who will say "Vols beat C of C by 17, ETSU beat C of C by 6, by that token alone ETSU should stay within 11" and bet on the Bucs, figuring at the very least they'll start out 20 points in the lead.
Where'd ya get that, Fan1?
I made it up...like you wanted me to.
Okay, no, it looked good.
Well, I couldn't find a line on it either. That really surprises me.
No clue about UT spreads so far this year either, just know they're at home with 5 seniors returning, and Arkansas isn't looking as good. And there's going to be more UT action anyway, so you'd need a bigger spread...
22 sounds about right to me, but that's a lot of points. I can't be objective, but I'd take the Bucs getting that many.
Evidently, Vegas considers the A-Sun to be too minor to have a line.
The SoCon, however, has one.