03-28-2009, 10:34 AM
The NCAA tournament is over at least for mid-majors. With only 4 at-large bids to the tournament mid majors are looking at a reduction in money received from the NCAA for next season.
Conference USA (1,236,120)
2003-2008 units=44
2004-2009 units=38
With Memphis only making a sweet 16 this season and the conference picking up only 3 units this season to replace 9 from 2003 this conference is looking at over 1 million dollars less for next season.
More disturbing for CUSA is the long term trend. If Memphis is going to drop back to a sweet 16 type program w/ coach cal leaving within 3 years CUSA will lose 4 million dollars. In 2004 this conference earned 11 units. In 2005 the conference earned 10 units. It would take CUSA two participants in the final four next season to replace that cash flow and I'm not seeing it.
Mountain West Conference (412,040)
2003-2008 units=20
2004-2009 units=18
It was a down year for the Mountain West in the tourney with 2 one and dones in the tourney. Fortunately, given that the conference has received 2 NCAA bids every year since its inception it should have no problem maintaining, perhaps even growing its revenue in the future if teams start making sweet 16 runs.
Missouri Valley Conference (206,020)
2003-2008 units=21
2004-2009 units=20
The MVC had a fairly solid regular season this year, the difference once again is only 1 bid for the conference. In 2006 this conference earned 8 units while in most seasons the average is 2-4. Given there is not really a sweet 16 program in this conference, the MVC will probably slide back to the 15-16 unit range in a few years.
Western Athletic Conference (206,020)
2003-2008 units=15
2004-2009 units=14
This conference needs to be concerned about facing an exodus of units over the next few seasons. At one time the WAC was a lock for 2 bids to the NCAAs now this is very possible a 1 and done conference in most years. This conference would lose 5 units in the next 2 years with 1 and done performances.
Horizon League (206,020)
2003-2008 units=16
2004-2009 units=15
2009 looks like a good year for the Horizon on bracket paper with Cleveland State to the second round and Butler also in. The problem though is that 2003 was even a better year with 4 units so the conference actually moved backwards.
Given that the conference does have a sweet 16 program in Butler and has averaged almost 3 units over the last 5 tourneys it should be able to maintain current unit levels.
Mid American Conference (206,020)
2003-2008 units=7
2004-2009 units=6
All the NCAA wins the MAC accumulated in the 90's and early 00's have now passed through the revenue stream. The good news is the MAC can only go up from this point and with talented new coaches in the conference like Orr and Groce the future looks bright to return to a multi-win, multi-bid conference.
West Coast Conference
2003-2008 units=16
2004-2009 units=16
As long as Gonzaga is a sweet 16 program the West Coast Conference is going to be considered a strong mid major conference that will in some years get 2 teams into the dance.
Sun Belt Conference 206,020
2003-2008 units=9
2004-2009 units=10
This is a mid major conference on the rise in both major sports. The traditional sweet 16 program for this conference is Western Kentucky and fortunes for this conference have risen and failed with them.
The Sun Belt is talking about dropping a few underperforming programs like Denver and New Orleans as its gradually becoming more of an all sport conference and this should help improve RPI.
Atlantic 10 Conference 412,040
2003-2008 units=27
2004-2009 units=29
In 2009, this conference placed 1 school in the sweet 16, 1 in the second round, and 1 in the 1st round. That was better than the performance for the A10 in 2003 the year that its replacing.
Traditionally, this has been the strongest non-BCS basketball conference but it was eclipsed by CUSA in the mid-2000's when that conference started placing 5-6 schools in the NCAAs every year. Over the last 5 tourneys though this conference has only averaged about 4 units so the gains of this season may be short lived. The last big A10 year was in 2004 with 10 units and that is probably not replaceable next year for a conference that hasn't placed a team in the final four since the mid 90s.
Conference USA (1,236,120)
2003-2008 units=44
2004-2009 units=38
With Memphis only making a sweet 16 this season and the conference picking up only 3 units this season to replace 9 from 2003 this conference is looking at over 1 million dollars less for next season.
More disturbing for CUSA is the long term trend. If Memphis is going to drop back to a sweet 16 type program w/ coach cal leaving within 3 years CUSA will lose 4 million dollars. In 2004 this conference earned 11 units. In 2005 the conference earned 10 units. It would take CUSA two participants in the final four next season to replace that cash flow and I'm not seeing it.
Mountain West Conference (412,040)
2003-2008 units=20
2004-2009 units=18
It was a down year for the Mountain West in the tourney with 2 one and dones in the tourney. Fortunately, given that the conference has received 2 NCAA bids every year since its inception it should have no problem maintaining, perhaps even growing its revenue in the future if teams start making sweet 16 runs.
Missouri Valley Conference (206,020)
2003-2008 units=21
2004-2009 units=20
The MVC had a fairly solid regular season this year, the difference once again is only 1 bid for the conference. In 2006 this conference earned 8 units while in most seasons the average is 2-4. Given there is not really a sweet 16 program in this conference, the MVC will probably slide back to the 15-16 unit range in a few years.
Western Athletic Conference (206,020)
2003-2008 units=15
2004-2009 units=14
This conference needs to be concerned about facing an exodus of units over the next few seasons. At one time the WAC was a lock for 2 bids to the NCAAs now this is very possible a 1 and done conference in most years. This conference would lose 5 units in the next 2 years with 1 and done performances.
Horizon League (206,020)
2003-2008 units=16
2004-2009 units=15
2009 looks like a good year for the Horizon on bracket paper with Cleveland State to the second round and Butler also in. The problem though is that 2003 was even a better year with 4 units so the conference actually moved backwards.
Given that the conference does have a sweet 16 program in Butler and has averaged almost 3 units over the last 5 tourneys it should be able to maintain current unit levels.
Mid American Conference (206,020)
2003-2008 units=7
2004-2009 units=6
All the NCAA wins the MAC accumulated in the 90's and early 00's have now passed through the revenue stream. The good news is the MAC can only go up from this point and with talented new coaches in the conference like Orr and Groce the future looks bright to return to a multi-win, multi-bid conference.
West Coast Conference
2003-2008 units=16
2004-2009 units=16
As long as Gonzaga is a sweet 16 program the West Coast Conference is going to be considered a strong mid major conference that will in some years get 2 teams into the dance.
Sun Belt Conference 206,020
2003-2008 units=9
2004-2009 units=10
This is a mid major conference on the rise in both major sports. The traditional sweet 16 program for this conference is Western Kentucky and fortunes for this conference have risen and failed with them.
The Sun Belt is talking about dropping a few underperforming programs like Denver and New Orleans as its gradually becoming more of an all sport conference and this should help improve RPI.
Atlantic 10 Conference 412,040
2003-2008 units=27
2004-2009 units=29
In 2009, this conference placed 1 school in the sweet 16, 1 in the second round, and 1 in the 1st round. That was better than the performance for the A10 in 2003 the year that its replacing.
Traditionally, this has been the strongest non-BCS basketball conference but it was eclipsed by CUSA in the mid-2000's when that conference started placing 5-6 schools in the NCAAs every year. Over the last 5 tourneys though this conference has only averaged about 4 units so the gains of this season may be short lived. The last big A10 year was in 2004 with 10 units and that is probably not replaceable next year for a conference that hasn't placed a team in the final four since the mid 90s.