CSNbbs

=>Per the Spreadsheet!

% Chance of Reaching Quarterfinals
1. BGSU: 100% -- has bye
8. WMU: 45%
9. Ohio U.: 55%
4. Miami: 100% -- has bye
5. Akron: 95%
12. Toledo: 5%
2. BSU: 100% -- has bye
7. CMU: 65%
10. EMU: 35%
3. Buffalo: 100% -- has bye
6. Kent: 90%
11. NIU: 10%

% Chance of Reaching Semifinals
1. BGSU: 74%
8. WMU: 6.75%
9. Ohio U.: 19.25%
4. Miami: 47.5%
5. Akron: 52.25%
12. Toledo: 0.25%
2. BSU: 55.25%
7. CMU: 32.5%
10. EMU: 12.25%
3. Buffalo: 54%
6. Kent: 45%
11. NIU: 1%

% Chance of Reaching Finals
1. BGSU: 37.08%
8. WMU: 1.86%
9. Ohio U.: 6.75%
4. Miami: 25.76%
5. Akron: 28.52%
12. Toledo: 0.03%
2. BSU: 19.53%
7. CMU: 11.49%
10. EMU: 1.56%
3. Buffalo: 36.75%
6. Kent: 30.35%
11. NIU: 0.32%

% Chance of Winning MAC Tourney
1. BGSU: 22.85%
8. WMU: 0.62%
9. Ohio U.: 2.73%
4. Miami: 14.43%
5. Akron: 16.73%
12. Toledo: 0.0003%
2. BSU: 5.66%
7. CMU: 2.79%
10. EMU: 0.18%
3. Buffalo: 18.92%
6. Kent: 15.17%
11. NIU: 0.02%

Gotta love how Akron and KSU have a better shot than Miami according to this!

(03-09-2009 12:01 PM)thanksjim Wrote: [ -> ]Gotta love how Akron and KSU have a better shot than Miami according to this!

The post was written by a Miami fan. Try to lose your two Senior starting guards for the season, it has been a struggle to earn that bye.

=>I have it pretty much wide open among the top 5 teams in the East (high with BSU of 22.85% and low of Miami at 14.43%). Those 5 account for 88% of the chances of winning the MAC tourney. After Miami it is a huge dropoff to BSU at 5.66%.

(03-09-2009 11:56 AM)mollautt Wrote: [ -> ]=>Per the Spreadsheet!

% Chance of Reaching Quarterfinals
1. BGSU: 100% -- has bye
8. WMU: 45%
9. Ohio U.: 55%
4. Miami: 100% -- has bye
5. Akron: 95%
12. Toledo: 5%
2. BSU: 100% -- has bye
7. CMU: 65%
10. EMU: 35%
3. Buffalo: 100% -- has bye
6. Kent: 90%
11. NIU: 10%

% Chance of Reaching Semifinals
1. BGSU: 74%
8. WMU: 6.75%
9. Ohio U.: 19.25%
4. Miami: 47.5%
5. Akron: 52.25%
12. Toledo: 0.25%
2. BSU: 55.25%
7. CMU: 32.5%
10. EMU: 12.25%
3. Buffalo: 54%
6. Kent: 45%
11. NIU: 1%

% Chance of Reaching Finals
1. BGSU: 37.08%
8. WMU: 1.86%
9. Ohio U.: 6.75%
4. Miami: 25.76%
5. Akron: 28.52%
12. Toledo: 0.03%
2. BSU: 19.53%
7. CMU: 11.49%
10. EMU: 1.56%
3. Buffalo: 36.75%
6. Kent: 30.35%
11. NIU: 0.32%

% Chance of Winning MAC Tourney
1. BGSU: 22.85%
8. WMU: 0.62%
9. Ohio U.: 2.73%
4. Miami: 14.43%
5. Akron: 16.73%
12. Toledo: 0.0003%
2. BSU: 5.66%
7. CMU: 2.79%
10. EMU: 0.18%
3. Buffalo: 18.92%
6. Kent: 15.17%
11. NIU: 0.02%

=>Updated after end of 1st round:

% Chance of Reaching Semifinals
1. BGSU 65.00%
8. WMU 0% ELIMINATED
9. OHIO U. 35.00%
4. MIAMI 45.00%
5. AKRON 55%
12. TOLEDO 0.00% ELIMINATED
2. BSU 50.00%
7. CMU 50.00%
10. EMU 0.00% ELIMINATED
3. BUFFALO 50.00%
6. KENT 50.00%
11. NIU 0.00% ELIMINATED

% Chance of Reaching Finals
1. BGSU 32.05%
8. WMU 0.00% ELIMINATED
9. OHIO U. 12.25%
4. MIAMI 24.86%
5. AKRON 30.39%
12. TOLEDO 0.00% ELIMINATED
2. BSU 17.50%
7. CMU 17.50%
10. EMU 0.00% ELIMINATED
3. BUFFALO 32.50%
6. KENT 32.50%
11. NIU 0.00% ELIMINATED


% Chance of Winning MAC Tourney
1. BGSU 20.23%
8. WMU 0.00% ELIMINATED
9. OHIO U. 4.93%
4. MIAMI 13.95%
5. AKRON 18.08%
12. TOLEDO 0.00% ELIMINATED
2. BSU 5.31%
7. CMU 4.29%
10. EMU 0.00% ELIMINATED
3. BUFFALO 16.85%
6. KENT 16.35%
11. NIU 0.00% ELIMINATED