D-Day is finally here, time for my long awaited crackpot theory
If we use the same press we have been using this year and in years past we are setting ourselves up for failure and we will suffer another embarrassing loss at the hands of the Bruins. It isn't so much that we press, I`m not against putting pressure on Belmont including pressuring them up the floor, I am against the trapping that we employ in our press. Trapping is just another way of saying double teaming, by definition we will be putting two players on one and leaving one man open. In the case of Belmont that one man is almost always a good shooter, particularly an outside shooter. If we rely on trapping Belmont we will lose, I have no doubt about that.
For years we have done a lot of trapping and played a lot of zone defense against Belmont, something that has played right into the strength of their team and caused us to get murdered. Why? Because trapping and zone defenses deliberately leaves guys open and challenges the other team to find the open man and make shots. Rick Byrd's teams have proven time and time again that they can find the open man and make open shots. I am still not sure whether its arrogance or downright stupidity that has made Bartow and Co continue to challenge Belmont to find the open man and make shots. Our press has been most effective against undisciplined teams or teams without quick guards that are good ball handlers. Belmont is the exact opposite of that description, they are a very disciplined team and in Alex Renfro they have a very quick guard that is also a good ball handler. Belmont has never had trouble breaking our press, and even though our press is better this year the foundation of our press has not changed, we still leave guys open on purpose.
We run a
VERY aggressive press, I would argue we run an overly aggressive press, we take a lot of chances going after passes, we cut guys off, we often put 3 guys in the front court which only leaves 2 guys back, and of course we trap
A LOT. Belmont has fed off us being overly aggressive since we joined the A-Sun, their guys rarely get themselves trapped against the press because they attack the middle of the floor(usually the kryptonite of any press), and even when they do head toward a trap they usually know exactly where they're going with the ball next and they catch us with our pants down.
We don't need to give Belmont anything, especially open shots. We need to make Belmont earn open shots, that means very little trapping, that means no zone defense, that means not doubling down low or on pick and rolls, that means our perimeter guys should not leave their man to help when others get beat 1 on 1. If Belmont can win the game by beating us going to the basket 1 on 1 so be it, if they can beat us posting up down low so be it. I will gladly take Belmont trying to score 2pt shots than 3pt shots, they've proven they can hit them. I've never understood why Bartow and Co couldn't see that trading 2's for 3's is a recipe for disaster.
As for what we should do
I`m not against pressuring Belmont, just not the way we have been pressing teams. If we want to pressure Belmont all the way up the court I`m fine with that, but not if it includes trapping or putting more guys in the front court and leaving guys open. We need to play straight man to man defense
FOR THE ENTIRE GAME Even though Bartow may think we aren't capable of 40mins of man to man last year's tourney game says different. We played straight man for the majority of the game last year, we closed out on 3pt shooters, we switched on pick and rolls, and we did very little trapping. Bartow loves to trap off on inbound plays around the basket,
BAD IDEA vs Belmont. Trapping will just leave someone open to nail a 3. This is not about being afraid of Belmont, or being dictated to, this about not playing into another team's strength. This is about forcing Belmont to do something they aren't use to needing to do, getting open shots on their own.
For the last 3 years we have gave Belmont open shots then sat back shocked when Belmont hit them. If we want to trap or press occasionally fine, nothing wrong with doing the unexpected or keeping Belmont guessing. But we better not trap or press regularly and hope to win the game, it will not happen IMO. We better not play into Belmont's strength and that this time will be different while playing Belmont the same way we have since we joined the A-Sun. What Belmont likes to do hasn't changed, and what we like to do hasn't worked against them, we are the ones that need to adapt and change our approach.