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Full Version: Realistic Season based on empirical data from wk1
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@FAU > Thumped by UT + Home field advantage = 70% chance of Blazer Victory.

@UTK > Tonights game results unknown as of this entry + perennial SEC power + home field advantage = No chance of Blazer victory.

Alabama State > Loss at Florida A&M + good band - visiting Birmingham = 100% chance of Blazer Victory.

@USC > Ole Ball Coach + Scary SEC D + Thumped the hell out of NC State + Home field = No chance of Blazer Victory.

Memphis > Thumped by Ole Sissy - inferior BBQ - visiting The 'Ham - I never have thought Tommy West was all that - will be poisoned by Legion field Hot Dogs = 70% chance of Blazer victory.

@Houston > Scrimmage vs. I-AA + High Power Coog offense + home field advantage = 10% chance of Blazer victory.

Marshall > Scrimmage vs. I-AA - still rebuilding + Never lost to UAB - visiting Birmingham = 55-60% chance of Blazer Victory.

@USM > Defeated ULaLa + Never Loses to UAB - No longer has Bower at coach + Home field advantage = 20% chance of Blazer victory.

@Tulane > Hasn't opened as of this entry + home field advantage - not picked to rate = 70% chance of Blazer Victory.

ECU > Massive win over VaTech + probably will win the east + Pinkney is a Senior and still a stud - THE CURSE - visiting The 'Ham = 20% chance of Blazer Victory.

@UCF > Uninspired performance over I-AA - Should be reeling from a number of bad losses by the time they get to us + home field = 60% chance of Blazer Victory.
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All of the above is based on our play vs. Tulsa vs. my opinion of our schedule's play in their games. Only basing it on week one results (you know Tulane is going to lose to Bammar U anyway and UTK is probably going to beat UCLA...).

No Kool Aid was required.

That's 6 wins. Go ahead and say we Coog™ in one of the close (sub 70% chance) games and we would still have 5!!

Give us an upset and we are back to 6...

This could still be a very surprising season. Seriously.
[quote=BlazingGoat]
@FAU > Thumped by UT + Home field advantage = Loss

@UTK > Tonights game results unknown as of this entry + perennial SEC power + home field advantage = Loss

Alabama State > Loss at Florida A&M + good band - visiting Birmingham = Win

@USC > Ole Ball Coach + Scary SEC D + Thumped the hell out of NC State + Home field = Loss

Memphis > Thumped by Ole Sissy - inferior BBQ - visiting The 'Ham - I never have thought Tommy West was all that - will be poisoned by Legion field Hot Dogs = Win

@Houston > Scrimmage vs. I-AA + High Power Coog offense + home field advantage = Loss

Marshall > Scrimmage vs. I-AA - still rebuilding + Never lost to UAB - visiting Birmingham = Win

@USM > Defeated ULaLa + Never Loses to UAB - No longer has Bower at coach + Home field advantage = Loss

@Tulane > Hasn't opened as of this entry + home field advantage - not picked to rate = Loss

ECU > Massive win over VaTech + probably will win the east + Pinkney is a Senior and still a stud - THE CURSE - visiting The 'Ham = Loss

@UCF > Uninspired performance over I-AA - Should be reeling from a number of bad losses by the time they get to us + home field = Loss
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05-bump

You guys don't think so huh?

I still think there is plenty of life left in the team that I saw start way down by their own 5 and drive for an opening TD to start the game.
I don't think you can try to base the season off one game. So many variables still in play. I do think a lot of you guys aren't taking FAU seriously and will be highly disappointed after next week outcome.

That being said, I still think it is possible for UAB to win 4 games max. Many have pointed to tackling as being correctable immediately and I don't think it is. It is hard to teach a old dog new tricks but we'll see.
So do you guys think that we stay at the same talent level for the entire season? Do you guys see absolutely no improvement out of our squad? You seem to be forgetting that Zero is no longer here, I know that he has conditioned us to have this attitude, but I think that Coach Cal will refuse to accept that this was the best his team could do and he will push them to get better every week.

I think the Tulsa game was a good starting point. At least we got one good half out of the guys. If we stay healthy, I think the goal of the coaching staff should be to get that same performance to last the entire game.

That will make us a better team and increase our chances of winning games higher towards the end of the season.
iam4uab Wrote:So do you guys think that we stay at the same talent level for the entire season?

Well no, but remember that everyone else should improve too (barring injuries of course).

With that said, I can see some real positives on offense. The offensive line play looked great, and Joe Webb was fantastic. With some improvements by the receivers, there's a lot of promise on that side of the ball. Hopefully, they'll be able to keep us in some games.

On the other side of the ball, however...

If you are looking for a positive, let's just say there's a lot of room for improvement, and loads of chances for players to step up.

I'm not sure they'll be able to contain FAU, nor most any team on the schedule. Still, I'd bet we'll win against ASU, Marshall, and Tulane. Most other games look like a toss up to me.
One thing is for sure, we will know a heck of a lot about where we are this year after this FAU game.
HiddenDragon Wrote:I don't think you can try to base the season off one game. So many variables still in play. I do think a lot of you guys aren't taking FAU seriously and will be highly disappointed after next week outcome.

That being said, I still think it is possible for UAB to win 4 games max. Many have pointed to tackling as being correctable immediately and I don't think it is. It is hard to teach a old dog new tricks but we'll see.

I think everyone is taking FAU seriously. Anyone who watched FAU dismantle a Memphis team that took us to the woodshed knows it will be a difficult game. What people also see is a team in FAU that is no where near the offensive talent that Tulsa has. Don't get me wrong, they are good but not as good as they were last year or near as good as Tulsa. Couple that with FAU having an injured qb and having a defense that is worse than Tulsa's and UAB should have it's chances to win the ball game. It's also not like UAB will be traveling into a hostile environment. Our crowd against Tulsa would be a sellout for them in that screwed up soccer stadium with a majority of seats in the endzone.

I like our chances Saturday.
I am still holding to my prediction on the season.
However, I think we can pull out an upset or two.
3 wins. very little chance this weekend.
I won't agree with little chance but I will say we have to play better to win the game. FAU is a very winnable game for us.
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