CSNbbs

According to http://www.rpiforecast.com/ Kent is a 100% lock on the tournament. They list Akron as having a 1.8% of an at large bid and Ohio have a 0.08% for an at large(so there is a chance). The website predicts seeds as well. I think they are optimistic but they list Kent as a #6 and Akron winning the tournament and receiving a #14 spot.

They are insane. If KSU runs the table, a 9 seed would be fortunate, except nobody really wants an 8/9 seed, more likely a 10. If KSU gets an at-large, probably then an 11 or 12. A 14 is probably right for 2-5 seeds winning the MAC tourney. Anyone else is looking at 15-16.
MAC team will always get a seed line or two above their RPI ranking: 40 RPI should = 10 seed, but usually equals 11/12 seed. Never, ever, ever lower.

Akron, Ohio and everyone not named Kent State have 0.0% of an at-large bid.

Kent gets in the 8-9 or 7-10 game with a championship round apperance. WMU, Ohio, or Akron would be a 12 or 13 seed depending on the draw. Anyone else could be 14 or worse

This is hilarious, starting a thread with "...Akron to the dance" in the title based upon something saying they have a 1.8% chance.

Polish Hammer Wrote:This is hilarious, starting a thread with "...Akron to the dance" in the title based upon something saying they have a 1.8% chance.

Agreed. I would not have bothered to be critical of the statement had it not been for the goofy title of this thread.

Liam9903 Wrote:Kent gets in the 8-9 or 7-10 game with a championship round apperance. WMU, Ohio, or Akron would be a 12 or 13 seed depending on the draw. Anyone else could be 14 or worse

No way, Liam, will they get an 8 or 9. A 10 seed would be outstanding historically, by MAC standards. If KSU wins the tourney, they might get a 10. Not saying it is right just that I've watched the committee screw the league time and time again, especially in the last few years. A lot also depends on the perception of the committee of the overall strength of the entire field.

If KSU goes out before the MAC finals and gets an at-large, they will be an 11 or 12 seed. You watch....

In fact, since seeding for the NCAA tournament began in 1979, only 8 times has a MAC team received a #10 seed or better. Also, remember that the field has been expanded, so some of the really good seeds were before the field became 64.

1978-79 Toledo 13-3 MAC, 22-7 #5 seed
1979-80 Toledo 14-2 MAC, 23-6 #9 seed
1983-84 Miami 16-2 MAC, 24-6 #8 seed
1985-86 Miami 16-2 MAC, 24-7 #10 seed
1988-89 Ball St. 14-2 MAC, 29-3 #9 seed
1995-96 E. Mich 14-4 MAC, 25-6 #9 seed
1998-99 Miami 15-3 MAC, 24-8 #10 seed
2001-02 Kent St.17-1 MAC, 30-6 #10 seed

In 2003-04 WMU won the regular season (15-3) and finished 26-4 and got a #11 seed.

I don't see this KSU team as that dominant. Also, remember that the committee has in past years created a "moving target" in terms of pointing to and/or ignoring the RPI numbers as they choose.

Polish Hammer Wrote:This is hilarious, starting a thread with "...Akron to the dance" in the title based upon something saying they have a 1.8% chance.

I included the part about Akron and Ohio based on them still being listed(Honestly, I thought it was funny). I understand that everyone needs to win the tournament other than Kent.

1994 Ohio 25-8 14-4 had a 12 seed. This was a strong 12th seed and drew #5 Indiana with Alan Henderson, Damon Bailey, Greg Graham and ofcourse Bob Knight as coach.

Ohio had Gary Trent and Geno Ford that year. That team upset #14 Connecticut in Hawaii that year. Ohio took a 13 game winning streak in the NCAA tournament. You look at the scores during the win streak and it was blowout city every nite. Ohio was shocked that they got that terrible a seed. Everybody had Ohio as the upset special on ESpn.....The size of the guards was the difference in the game.