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Full Version: Bowl Eligibility Update--11/13
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In order to be Bowl eligible this year, a team must have over a .500 winning percentage. Here is a breakdown of conferences and the teams with over a .500 winning percentage so far.

ACC--8
Big 12--7
Big East--4
Big 10--7
CUSA--4
Independents--2
MWC--3
PAC 10--5
SEC--6
Sun Belt--1
WAC--4

MAC--5

I believe there are 58 Bowl slots. Not counting the MAC, there are 51 teams so far with over a .500 winning percentage. I see CUSA and the MWC as likely to gain 1 more Bowl eligible team each. If that happens and otherwise things remain the same, there would be a total of 53 Bowl eligible teams (not counting the MAC) with 3 slots remaining open.

If that's the way things end up, the Conferences most likely to fill these 3 extra slots would be the MAC and the WAC. Notice that the summary given above already lists the WAC with 4 Bowl eligible teams. Hawaii will not be Bowl eligible this year so the Conference most likely to fill this slot will be the WAC.

So, even if all 4 of these WAC teams receive Bowl invites, that still would leave 3 Bowl slots open. The Sun Belt might also gain a Bowl eligible team and if so could well receive an invitation to the New Orleans Bowl. If that happened, there would still be 2 Bowl slots open.

My conclusion--the MAC still has a good shot of receiving at least 3 Bowl bids. One additional reason to believe this is that the Bowls most likely not to fill their contracted slots are in the Eastern part of the country.
here it is a little more detailed: (im going on SFF's assumption of 58 bowl spots...i didnt count)

Revised...sff was wrong...there are only 56

Bowlelligible already are....

ACC: FSU, clemson, BC, VTech, Miami, G Tech, Virginia (7)
On the bubble.....NCST (has to win last two....wont)
Maryland(5-4) will make it
NC (has to win last two....wont)

BEAST: WV, Louisville, Rutgers (3)
ON the bubble.....SFlorida (will make it)
Pitt (5-5) has to win against WV....wont
Cincy (has to beat Sflorida and rutgers...prob wont)

CUSA: CFlorida, Utep, Tulsa (3)
On the bubble.....SMiss (5-3) will make it
marshall 4-5
Memphis 4-5 They play eachother...one will prob make it...both might not
UAB (must win last two....wont)
Houston (must win 2 of last three....prob will)

PAC 10: USC, UCLA, Cal, Oregon (4)
On the bubble.......ASU (at 5-4 will make it)
OSU (must beat Oregon....key game....shouldnt win)
Stanford (must beat either cal or NDame....i dont think they do)


MOUNTW: TCU, BYU, NM (3)
ON the bubble......col st (will win its last game)
utah (needs to beat byu to get in....shouldnt)


SEC: Geor, Flor, SC, Bama, Auburn, LSU (6)
On the bubble.......Tenn (Needs to win last two....should but here is a good upset hope)


B12: Col, Missou, ISU, Neb, Tex, Okl, TTech (7)
On the bubble......OSU (needs to win last two including OK....wont)
TaM (has to beat Texas....wont)
Kansas (Has to beat ISU......shouldnt)


B10: PSU, OSU, Mich, Wis, NW, Iowa, Minn (7)
On the bubble.....MSU (ha to beat PSU....wont)


Indys: ND (1)
On the bubble.....Navy (WIn one of last two....will)


WAC: BSU, Fresno, Ltech, NEV (4)
On the bubble....none


SUN Belt....looks like only one will make it out of that mess.



Sooooooo

We have 45 for sure bowl elligible teams outside of the MAC

Plus

One sunbelt because they will get a waiver if neccessary

Plus

Maryland, Southern Florida, SMiss, Marshall or Memphis, Houston, Arizona State, Colorado State, Tennessee, and Navy who should make it. (9)

That gets us to 55......

We need a few more upsets, and the WAC to not look as attractive to the bowls as us in order to get more than our two in
I didn't look up, but aren't there only 56 slots. We addes a bowl, but dropped a bowl from last year.
Santa Fe...I'm pretty sure that there are still 28 bowls (one new one and one gone), so there are only 56 slots, which makes a pretty big difference in trying to find that elusive 3rd bowl slot for the MAC.

Also, C-USA could easily end up with 6 bowl eligible teams as they have a bunch of teams aroiund .500, so they would grab a southern bowl before a MAC team would I would think. Again, as you state they may just end up with 5, matching their bowl commitments.

I'd have to say that the odds are very long against the MAC gaining a 3rd bid this year...
Quote:Maryland, Southern Florida, SMiss, Marshall or Memphis, Houston, Arizona State, Colorado State, Tennessee, and Navy who should make it. (9)


You mention ONE slot would still be open even if these teams go bowling, among others.

However....

1) It is quite possible Memphis will lose at Southern Miss (knocking the Tigers out of bowl consideration), then beat Marshall at home (knocking out the Herd). This scenario opens up an additional bowl slot.

2) Although not as likely, these teams could also play their way out:

Maryland
Tennessee
Arizona St
Houston
correct.....i am just trying to highlight where we need to focus our interest next week....I said that these 9 teams SHOULD make it but there is a long way between should and will....

I am hoping for a couple of those 9 teams to choke and for NONE of the schools I listed as "should -not" to pull an upset.

PLUS....THis scenario also has 4 WAc and 4 MW schools getting invites. Half of those would be at large and the MAC sould be just as much in the running for those....all depends on geography and expected ticket sales on those invites....

Crossing fingers for all of us in the MAC
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