axeme Wrote:Anyway, back to the original topic--with there being so much "parity" (i.e. mediocrity) in the MAC this year, when has first game seeding been more important?
It's so hard to win four in row, espeically if you start on the road that the 9-13 spots are very much to be avoided. Obviously it's a big advantage to skip the first game, but once things hit the Gund I think it's going to come down to matchups more than talent. Avoid the teams that best exploit your weaknesses and you have a much smoother path to the end. ANd those teams differ for everyone, since we lack a truly dominent team.
This is the type of dialogue I was hoping to start, rather than an OU-Kent flame war.
After this week's upsets, I'm not sure who will be hosting in the first round. OU will probably be on the road, unless we can pull off a highly improbable three game win streak (vs. Marshall, @Miami, @Kent). Buffalo and UT are also, obviously road bound.
If I had to predict things right now, I would guess that BSU (10-8), WMU (9-9), Marshall (9-9) & Akron (9-9) host in the first round, along with the loser of NIU/CMU/Miami/Kent who gets to beat Buffalo at home.
In that scenario, BSU gets the 5, WMU 6, Marshall 7, Akron 8.
EMU & BG (8-10) would be the 9/10, OU the 11 (7-11), and UT the 12 (5-13).
Even if OU wins one of its road games, it would still be the 11 in this scenario, losing the tie-breakers to EMU & BG.
Putting on my OU hat, I'd much prefer to see us play at Akron or Marshall. WMU always beats us in K-Zoo. We seem to have Marshall's number lately, and Hipsher is always terrible in the MAC Tourney.
If it plays out this way, I'd expect to see all the home teams win, with the possible exception of an EMU upset. Of course, with the unpredictable nature of the MAC, we'll probably have OU, EMU, & BG all hosting.