(11-12-2023 07:09 PM)Acres Wrote: (11-12-2023 06:55 PM)JRsec Wrote: (11-12-2023 06:51 PM)Acres Wrote: (11-12-2023 05:52 PM)PicksUp Wrote: (11-12-2023 03:14 PM)Acres Wrote: They definitely do not need the money. The way they recruit, they’d have a shot at the playoffs every year. Run the conference. Get out of UT’s drama.
Politics wouldn’t let them do it, but this for them would be the path to a NC. Much like Florida State, Clemson and the ACC.
If they went back to the Big XII their recruting would take a big hit. They would lose recruits to the SEC newbies.
Probably, still I think that’s going to happen anyway. I think Texas and Oklahoma will redefine A&M place in the SEC. I think there is a reckoning coming, based on pure politics and ego. A&M thrived without UT in the SEC. Now that they are going to be in the same conference, it’s inevitable that something is going to give between the two.
Jumbo’s firing today is a piece of that. It’s going to be a lot tougher for A&M to get in the playoffs in the SEC than outside the SEC. The big12 would be a impossible decision for them, but I would not rule out the ACC.
No, it won't. Eventually there will be 2 super conferences and the playoff will be contained between them. Pay for play is going to winnow the field of those who are heavily subsidized, smaller less well-endowed privates, and schools from very poor states. Texas isn't one of those states.
The ruling the other day will only accelerate consolidation, and nobody who is a part of the SEC or Big 10 would even consider stepping back from membership in one of the two ultimate surviving conferences which when separated will earn even more. And all of the schadenfreude and wishing in the world won't make it so. A&M will make another splashy hire and hope for a different outcome. If they are smart they will avoid Jimmy Sexton clients. There's a long track record behind that suggestion.
Perhaps, when is this 2 super conferences and consolidation supposed to happen. There is supposedly a breakaway that will inevitably happen but no one has laid out realistic logistics on how that would work.
Not even considering political interference, subcommittee hearing and litigations that could ensue that would impact formation of these 2 super conferences.
To the latter, those happen at the whim of corporate political lobby. The courts are paving the way now. So much for litigation. Congress has refused to get involved. So much for political intrusion.
It is happening and has been happening since 1991. It was being contemplated since 1983. It won't announce itself; it will just happen.
NIL, pay for play, the downturn in enrollment aged applicants for college, a downsizing of higher education which proliferated following WWII, the GI Bill, Pell Grants for Boomer kids, and the Federal Student Loan program are long overdue. Consolidation is as much about a response to those factors as it is about sports. Heavily subsidizing sports which universities can't afford on their own steam is going to come to an end because the State and Federal government don't need things that compete for the tax dollars they need and don't currently have.
Texas and Oklahoma didn't move to the SEC just to play sports any more than USC, UCLA, UW and Oregon moved to the Big 10 to do it. They are clustering as the oldest and most established names in education outside of the Ivy League so that they are positioned to garner the lion's share of enrollees. And that consolidation is only the beginning, and sports is only a minor part of it.
Just because you don't see it, doesn't mean it is not happening.
Enough has happened already that people should be clued in. But none of these entities are going to lay out their thinking and their blueprint to the future. That invites obstruction. They will just quietly get there, and it will be reality. People will wake up one day and that'll be the way it is. Radical political changes were launched in the late 60's, started gaining traction in universities in late 80's and early 90's and the public is just now waking up and saying, "What the hell is going on here?" This isn't as nefarious, but it is happening the same way. And the ideas for this have been around since the early 70's.