(11-02-2023 06:46 PM)schmolik Wrote: Big 10 TV Draft:
I'll leave the first weekend unscheduled.
FOX CBS NBC
Aug. 31
Sept. 7 Iowa State at Iowa Colorado at Nebraska Michigan at Texas
Sept. 14 Alabama at Wisconsin Indiana at UCLA Notre Dame at Purdue
Sept. 21 Iowa at Minnesota USC at Michigan Northwestern at Washington
Sept. 28 Minnesota at Michigan Oregon at UCLA Illinois at Penn State
Oct. 5 Iowa at Ohio State UCLA at Penn State Michigan at Washington
Oct. 12 Washington at Iowa? Ohio State at Oregon Penn State at USC
Oct. 19 Michigan at Illinois USC at Maryland UCLA at Rutgers
Oct. 26 Michigan State at Michigan Penn State at Wisconsin Nebraska at Ohio State
Nov. 2 Ohio State at Penn State USC at Washington Oregon at Michigan
Nov. 9 Purdue at Ohio State Iowa at UCLA Washington at Penn State
Nov. 16 Ohio State at Northwestern UCLA at Washington Nebraska at USC
Nov. 23 Penn State at Minnesota Indiana at Ohio State USC at UCLA
Nov. 30 Michigan at Ohio State Notre Dame at USC Washington at Oregon
I tried to keep Pacific teams out of the Big Nooner but couldn't find a decent game for FOX on Oct. 12 otherwise.
Do you think this is fair to the three networks? How would you even it up?
When I put my schedule proposal together, I tried to spread out the big games in the hope of at least one big one each week. Look at October 19, yikes. Schedule your fall wedding for that weekend now!
I think you’re overvaluing Washington and UCLA a bit compared to schools like Wisconsin, Michigan State, Nebraska and Iowa if we’re going by an “all things equal” basis based on brand names. (Now, obviously if Washington is ranked #4 and Michigan State and Wisconsin look like how they are this season, then Washington is more valuable for that particular season, but my point is that history shows a playoff-contending MSU and Wisconsin teams have drawn ratings in line or maybe even better than a playoff-contending Washington.)
I’d break it down on these tiers based on brand name (once again not taking into account that a school’s performance in a given season have move it up or down for that season):
TIER 1
Michigan
Ohio State
Penn State
USC
Oregon
TIER 2
Wisconsin
Michigan State
Nebraska
Iowa
Washington
UCLA
TIER 3
Illinois
Indiana
Maryland
Minnesota
Northwestern
Purdue
Rutgers
Tier 1 is fixed - they don’t ever move down even if they’re a weak performing team in a given year.
Tier 2 is more variable year-to-year - they can move up a tier for a season if they’re a playoff contender or move down a tier if they are particularly bad (e.g. recent Nebraska levels).
Tier 3 requires a team to be a playoff contender to move up a tier for a season. A merely solid team (like last year’s Illinois and Purdue teams) isn’t good enough.
In terms of network desirability
Tier 1 vs. Tier 1 = All Fox/CBS/NBC
Tier 1 vs. Tier 2 = All Fox/CBS/NBC (with maybe very rare exceptions)
Tier 2 vs. Tier 2 = Some Fox/CBS/NBC, some FS1, possible Peacock or BTN depending on when they pick in a given week - this level of matchup is the most dependent on how the Tier 2 teams are performing in a given season
Tier 1 vs. Tier 3 = Some Fox/CBS/NBC, some FS1, some “strategic” time slots (e.g. Friday night games), a high percentage of Peacock games (e.g. big brand to get subscribers but not against opponents that you’d prioritize on OTA), some BTN
Tier 2 vs. Tier 3 = Little to no Fox/CBS/NBC (e.g. need to be desperate like some NBC weeks this year), a lot of FS1 (this is their bread and butter), a high percentage of strategic time slots (this is also the bread and butter Friday night combo), some Peacock, a lot of BTN
Tier 3 vs. Tier 3 = No Fox/CBS/NBC outside of no other choice (see NBC this year again), some FS1, possible Peacock, a LOT of BTN (the vast majority)