(08-23-2023 11:49 PM)NoQuarterBrigade Wrote: (08-23-2023 12:29 AM)Fishpro10987 Wrote: (08-22-2023 10:02 PM)Owls9878 Wrote: I’ll eat my hat if Temple only wins 3 games this season. Their over under win total set by Vegas is 5.5 games.
My hat is ready for the roster oven as well. I say we go 6-6.
Warner is legit and is only going to get better. I trust Vegas more than this Sideline Sports projection. Temple bowling this year would not shock me.
This is NOT a Sidelines Sports projection. It is ESPN's data. Period.
Sideline Sports simply put it in a tweet.
ESPN does this every year for every CFB game, and updates it as their analytics change with games played.
The projected individual percentages are shown for every game scheduled, from now to the end of the season, for anybody to read. They are called ESPN Match Predictors. You can see them by clicking on the schedule line for any game, usually where the game time is located.
I have followed these for years. Sometimes they are better than the betting odds, sometimes not. Most of the time, they are close.
I used them exclusively to predict winners in some of those pick'em contests, and so far I've won 2 seasons, and have been ranked high in most of the others.
And just like betting odds, they tend to get more accurate the closer they get to the game date. JMO.
Also, just because a team is favored in X # of games does not mean they are actually projected to win all those games. Dig into KenPom's numbers sometimes. But now we're getting more sophisticated than an analytic like this tends to be.