RE: Who will be the next school(s) to move up to Division 1 for the 2024-25 season?
I can't see Eastern Washington, Weber State, or Northern Arizona moving up to FBS. EWU doesn't have the finances, WSU is too close to BYU and Utah, and NAU would need a completely new stadium.
If the MWC has to go fish from FCS, I would expect they take some combination of Cal Poly, UC Davis, and Sacramento State if not all three. Montana, Montana State, Idaho, and the Dakotas would be next. If not all of the aforementioned are able to move, then the MWC starts taking WAC FCS schools. This is of course would be after any current FBS schools are interested in joining, which will likely be only UTEP and NMSU.
I don't see the Big Sky being pushed below 6 FCS schools, but if they need members in any capacity, they will take some combination of Southern Utah, Utah Tech, Cal Baptist, and Seattle from the WAC (Grand Canyon and Utah Valley are absolute last resorts). Denver might even be available if the Summit is falling apart, although Denver doesn't want to be in a conference with most of the current WAC membership.
If by some chance the Big Sky has to pull from Division II, Central Washington is likely the only football playing school that makes sense, but the Big Sky would need them to add golf and/or tennis for both men and women, as CWU only has 13 varsity teams, 2 of which are men's and women's rugby. Western Washington would probably be the next most logical, especially if they replace men's soccer with football. Western Oregon would be one of the smallest public schools in Division I, and it would likely not be viable for them to upgrade.
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