(03-06-2022 03:59 PM)MemphisTigerPawr Wrote:  

(03-06-2022 03:54 PM)Tigerspartan Wrote:  On a pleasent side note, smu is down at the half yo Tulane

If that's holds up we get the 2 seed

Are they using win%

(03-06-2022 04:00 PM)Tigerspartan Wrote:  No team matched up with us should be pissed. But they should be most definitely be scared.

If I am a 6 I wouldn't be happy with that matchup...

If I am a 3 in the 2nd round ...They probably don't care at that point.

ESPN bubble watch was just updated. Changed from work to do to should be in. Says the one thing that could change that would be quad 3 loss in quarters

win 1 game in the AAC tourney against either UCF or Temple and we're a 10 seed IMHO.

(03-06-2022 04:09 PM)UofMemphis Wrote:  win 1 game in the AAC tourney against either UCF or Temple and we're a 10 seed IMHO.

I don't think they give us that much respect...

I do think we dodge the play in though.

(03-06-2022 03:54 PM)Tigerspartan Wrote:  On a pleasent side note, smu is down at the half yo Tulane

You did it --it works every time

(03-06-2022 04:07 PM)Tigerspartan Wrote:  ESPN bubble watch was just updated. Changed from work to do to should be in. Says the one thing that could change that would be quad 3 loss in quarters

Well I know who I'm cheering for in that UCF USF game.

We are top 35 in NET, KenPom, BPI, and Sagarin.
A first round conference win likely won't change that + or -.
A 2nd round quad 1 loss to SMU likely won't change that more than 1-2 positions.
So odds are that we are at least a top 36 rated team.
That should be a 9-10 seed.

Beat SMU, and we move up to 8-9 seed terrritory.
Win it all, and we're 7ish seed.
Lose in the 1st round, and we should be 11 seed - but could be Dayton.

Here's an analytics-based list that might be interesting. Number on the left is projected seed on selection day and the number on the right is projected seed if selection were to occur today. The asterisks indicate an auto-bid. Tends to agree with the "9" seed theory.

01 Gonzaga*** 1
01 Arizona*** 1
01 Baylor*** 1
01 Kentucky 2

02 Auburn*** 1
02 Kansas 2
02 Villanova*** 3
02 Tennessee 3

03 Purdue 3
03 Texas Tech 3
03 Wisconsin*** 2
03 Duke*** 2

04 Illinois 4
04 UCLA 4
04 Arkansas 4
04 Providence 4

05 Connecticut 5
05 LSU 6
05 Texas 5
05 Alabama 6

06 Saint Mary's 5
06 Ohio St. 6
06 Iowa 6
06 Houston*** 5

07 Murray St.*** 7
07 Colorado St.*** 7
07 Seton Hall 7
07 USC 7

08 North Carolina 9
08 Michigan St. 8
08 Michigan 11
08 Marquette 8

09 Iowa St. 8
09 San Diego St. 9
09 Memphis 11
09 Boise St. 8

10 San Francisco 9
10 Loyola Chicago*** 12
10 TCU 9
10 Miami FL 11

11 Wake Forest 10
11 SMU F4O
11 Notre Dame 11
11 Creighton 10
11 Xavier 11
11 Davidson*** 10

12 Florida N4O
12 Indiana F4O
12 North Texas*** 12
12 South Dakota St.*** 12

13 Chattanooga*** 13
13 Toledo*** 13
13 Iona*** 13
13 Vermont*** 13

14 New Mexico St.*** 14
14 Towson*** 14
14 Princeton*** 14
14 Wagner***

15 Longwood*** 16
15 Montana St.*** 14
15 Colgate*** 15
15 Long Beach St.*** 15

16 Jacksonville***
16 Norfolk St.*** 16
16 Georgia St.*** 15
16 Nicholls St.*** 16
16 Texas Southern***
16 Fort Wayne***

If we move into 8/9 seed area

I want Auburn’s region

And no, Auburn fans, that doesn’t mean you are not really good

(03-07-2022 12:12 PM)Mimi Wrote:  If we move into 8/9 seed area

I want Auburn’s region

And no, Auburn fans, that doesn’t mean you are not really good

The top 2 seed lines all look pretty daunting...As they should.

If I am picking one of the top 8 I would pick Kansas.

(03-07-2022 11:29 AM)msu35 Wrote:  Here's an analytics-based list that might be interesting. Number on the left is projected seed on selection day and the number on the right is projected seed if selection were to occur today. The asterisks indicate an auto-bid. Tends to agree with the "9" seed theory.

09 Iowa St. 8
09 San Diego St. 9
09 Memphis 11
09 Boise St. 8

An 11-seed as of today would be a rip-off. We are top 35 in all metrics. That deserves a 9-seed - as of today.

#28 in AP top 25.

(03-07-2022 12:33 PM)Tigerspartan Wrote:  #28 in AP top 25.

wow
Quite the respect shown by the writers

(03-07-2022 12:30 PM)Tiger87 Wrote:  

(03-07-2022 11:29 AM)msu35 Wrote:  Here's an analytics-based list that might be interesting. Number on the left is projected seed on selection day and the number on the right is projected seed if selection were to occur today. The asterisks indicate an auto-bid. Tends to agree with the "9" seed theory.

09 Iowa St. 8
09 San Diego St. 9
09 Memphis 11
09 Boise St. 8

An 11-seed as of today would be a rip-off. We are top 35 in all metrics. That deserves a 9-seed - as of today.

Yeah...

Non-P5s don't get that kind of respect from the metrics.

Where do you think Murray State gets seeded?

And I agree with Houston not being seeded as one of the top 16 seeds although they are top 10 everywhere you look.

(03-07-2022 12:33 PM)Tigerspartan Wrote:  #28 in AP top 25.

Impressive considering last week we didn't get even one vote in the AP poll.

(03-07-2022 05:12 PM)jamgut Wrote:  

(03-07-2022 12:33 PM)Tigerspartan Wrote:  #28 in AP top 25.

Impressive considering last week we didn't get even one vote in the AP poll.

One of the benefits of high profile games, I guess. Millions of eyeballs watched us dismantle a good team.