(03-26-2021 07:35 PM)georgia_tech_swagger Wrote: (03-26-2021 07:00 PM)BullsFanInTX Wrote: Agree. Greenville, Colorado Springs. LOL, really. Not a chance. Not sure why they are even being suggested.
XFL needs a mix big markets to maximize their TV deal, plus St. Louis, San Antonio, and Orlando. The end. I mean I could see a San Diego also, but I'm not sure how much they supported the AAF team.
Gate revenue is part of profitability at this level. The XFL had teams in DC, NY, LA, Tampa Bay, and Houston. They all did terrible at the gate. About 15k. The XFL attendance success stories were St. Louis and Seattle. If I were a franchise owner in this hypothetical league I'd take SLC or San Antonio or Orlando over NY/SF/LA/CHI/DFW and it's not close. You want big markets NOT served by the NFL or recently abandoned by them. I bet you a franchise in Greenville or Colorado Springs would outdraw a franchise in LA or CHI or DFW or NY. Don't be the little fish in a big pond ... be the big fish in a medium pond.
Where would the Greenville team play? And if I'm not mistaken the Air Force stadium is in the middle of nowhere so that wouldn't be ideal, especially since February/March are the snowiest months in Colorado. Keep in mind DLC didn't draw that well for the AAF.
Fan support isn't a cut and dry equation, some recent southern non-NFL markets like Memphis flopped while northern NFL cities like Seattle worked. You can draw well in NFL markets with a strong local sports culture, if the NFL team is lousy, or if the other stadium isn't nearby. MLS stadiums don't have a high ceiling but even meh crowds there look decent on TV and the lack of supply can push up prices/revenue.
If I had to rank where I'd put startup teams (including backups, or potential expansion after a few years if it succeeds) here's what it'd be:
1. San Antonio (football crazy market without NFL team)
2. St. Louis (see my first post)
3. Orlando (no NFL, renovated stadium, good AAF attendance)
4. Seattle (strong XFL fan support)
5. San Diego (can use new SDSU stadium)
6. Milwaukee (good football market without a nearby NFL team, would only work if they could use Miller Park)
7. San Francisco/Oakland (SF drew well for original XFL and can use the Giants ballpark far from the 49ers, or Oakland if the new A's stadium happens)
8. Portland (no NFL, MLS stadium, rival potential with Seattle)
9. Dallas (didn't draw well for XFL but imo because they were in Arlington so close to the Cowboys, something like the MLS stadium could be better and be a much more intimate venue)
10. DC (numbers weren't great but they filled up the new MLS stadium pretty well, could gain traction since people hate Dan Snyder and their stadium out in Maryland)
11. Sacramento (no NFL and will have MLS stadium soon)
12. Miami (Dolphins are way up north, they could use Marlins Park near the city core)
13. Boston (cold weather and have to compete with the Pats, but strong sports culture and Fenway/Harvard would be much closer to downtown than Foxboro)
14. Louisville/Memphis/Birmingham/Raleigh (insert small southern city here)