(03-11-2020 06:13 PM)MWC Tex Wrote: (03-11-2020 05:34 PM)HiddenDragon Wrote: (03-11-2020 04:45 PM)Bronco14 Wrote: Absolutely ridiculous
Why? Because you're not gonna get infected?
1. No test available country-wide for the virus.
2. It takes one jerk person who is sick with the virus to go to a game and sneeze or cough on someone.
3. Virus not contained.
4. CDC doesn't know if the virus will go dormant in a few months.
5. No vaccine for the virus.
6. Elderly and children susceptible to the virus.
Not understanding why this is absolutely ridiculous?
Because the flu has killed tens of thousands of people this year. If the media hyped the flu like they are with this virus, you would see even more people scared. Yet nobody has panicked that 70 million people got infected by the flu and killed some 50,000 people. Elderly and children are susceptible to the flu.
The flu has killed 30,000%+ more than the coronavirus
That ratio is going to go down rapidly as the covid19 spreads.
There is no partial immunity in the population, which people have from exposure to ancestral lineages of the current flu going around, and no vaccine, so without taking any action the infection rates are likely to be higher ... and the death rates to date (mortality per 1,000 people infected) are substantially higher.
Quote: If this was going to be a pandemic, the whole city in China where it started of 11 million would have been affected. And the deaths would be in the millions.
(1) that's not what pandemic means ... pandemic refers to how widely distributed an outbreak is. It can be a pandemic without a single fatality.
(2) Not only Wuhan but all of Hubei would have been effected if they had not shut down transportation and schools and universities and cinemas and restaurants and factories and any but essential services and basically put all of Wuhan under lock down. Until social isolation measures were put into effect, it was doubling every six days or so. And it still took several weeks for the rate of new cases to stop growing. And then when Spring Festival was over and the migrant workers returned from Hubei to their jobs in Shanghai and Guangzhou and Shenzhen and Beijing, it would have taken off in a similar way in those cities.
In Beijing ... which does not have a large number of cases ... you get your temperature taken if you take the subway, you get your temperature taken if you go to the supermarket, you get your temperature taken if you go into a small shop that sells fancy French bread and baked goods, you have an id tag to wear around your neck on a lanyard for the residential compound that you live in and you get your temperature taken when you come back into the compound after getting your food, and if you don't have the id you need to convince the guards at the gate why you should be permitted to enter the compound.
So taking China's overall rate of infection as an indication of what is going to happen in the US if it goes ahead with business as usual is a bit silly.