(09-12-2019 06:46 PM)Attackcoog Wrote: (09-12-2019 07:24 AM)tanqtonic Wrote: (09-11-2019 06:19 PM)Kaplony Wrote: https://theweek.com/speedreads/864371/su...ake-effect
Quote:The Supreme Court on Wednesday said the Trump administration can enforce a strict new restriction against asylum seekers who arrive at the southern border, lifting a lower court's block on the policy.
In July, the administration said it would only consider asylum requests from migrants who sought protection in the first country they traveled through, which in many cases would be Mexico, and were denied. The restriction primarily affects Central Americans. Immediately after the new policy was announced, four immigrant-rights groups filed lawsuits, and earlier this week, a federal judge reinstated a nationwide injunction prohibiting the Trump administration from denying asylum to migrants. Those lawsuits are ongoing.
Its actually not a big win. The lawsuit regarding the issue of law is yet to be decided. All this thing does is pull away a preliminary injunction on the implementation of the law while the underlying question is being adjudicated. And no, the SC did not *clear* the regulations.
No matter which side 'won' this portion, it is really a non-issue in light of the stance of the underlying case.
Actually, its a pretty big win. It not only drops the current injunction---but stops any other Federal court from issuing a similar injunction. I suspect its also a fairly good indication that the SC believes the Trump administration will almost certainly prevail.
Actually when you look at the elements of a prelim, the most important one will be 'is there a party to this case that *should* have a status quo protected from harm'.
When you look at the rationale of the new rules, the government plainly stated a good reason that the status quo of injunction leads to an overall harm to the government position if the rule is gutted by injunction in the interim.
The balance of that status quo against the position of the immigrants harmed by the rule is so overwhelmingly in the government's favor as to be almost dispositive in and by itself.
To *earn* the preliminary injunction the plaintiff (in this case the immigrant's side) you *have* to show each of the following: (1) it has no adequate remedy other than an injunction (such as money damages); (2) truly irreparable harm will occur in the absence of an injunction; (3) it is more likely than not that the moving party will prevail on the underlying merits when the matter ultimately goes to trial; (4) the benefit to the party seeking the injunction outweighs the burden of the party opposed to the injunction; and (5) the moving party’s right to the relief sought is clear.
If any one of the above fails, the preliminary injunction fails.
So, #s is correct that the 'court tips it's hand to the prevailing side', but *only* when the injunction is granted (or sustained). A *failure* to gain an injunction does no such hand tipping, unless a written ruling specifically says that.
Sorry, we have *zero* basis to judge the reason why the SC overturned to the prelim. And, to be blunt, any success on any element above can overturn a prelim. I think the weight stacked against the immigrant's side on the matter of the 'weight of who carries the burden of the status quo' seems to be as good a reason, if not better, than failing on element 4 above.